Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fluminense FC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 21:30 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Maracana.

Match Details

  • Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Oct SC Recife A 2–2 D
28 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
31 Aug Santos FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct EC Juventude H 0–0 D
28 Sep Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
20 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–1 L
14 Sep Santos FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug EC Vitoria A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Fluminense FC CA Mineiro
#4 Position #7
48 Points 40
28 Played 27
13 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 9
44 Scored 36
36 Conceded 32
+8 GD +4
1.71 PPG 1.48
46% Win % 41%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts). CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A
CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Fluminense FC welcome CA Mineiro for this crunch clash at Maracana.
  • 5' CA Mineiro are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kevin Serna made 14 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' GOAL! Samuel Xavier fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and CA Mineiro are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Mineiro is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 44' The referee shows Fluminense FC player a card on 44.
  • 46' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Gabriel Menino comes on to replace Igor Gomes.
  • 48' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
  • 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Fluminense FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 58' Kevin Serna does the damage! The net is bulging and Fluminense FC surge ahead!
  • 61' The referee shows CA Mineiro player a card on 61.
  • 62' The CA Mineiro manager makes a substitution. Ivan Roman departs to be replaced by Gabriel Teixeira.
  • 63' Time for substitution for CA Mineiro. Guilherme Arana is replaced by Caio Paulista.
  • 68' The referee calls foul for Vitor Hugo. He receives a card.
  • 73' Fluminense FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 73.
  • 75' A change in the CA Mineiro ranks — Hulk exits the field as Reinier enters on 75.
  • 80' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 81' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. John Kennedy is withdrawn and Everaldo gets his opportunity.
  • 86' With 2 assists to his name this season, Agustin Canobbio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fluminense FC.
  • 87' Poor challenge from Caio Paulista. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 88' Kevin Serna picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Kevin Serna makes way for Keno at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.75 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Fluminense FC to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC58% Draw25% CA Mineiro17%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
82%
Draw or CA Mineiro
42%
Fluminense FC or CA Mineiro
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC40% Draw46% CA Mineiro14%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.1%
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.3%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
2.8%
0 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 24% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.