Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fluminense FC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 21:30 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs CA MineiroSerie A at Maracana.

Match Details

  • Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Oct SC Recife A 2–2 D
28 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
31 Aug Santos FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–3 L
01 Oct EC Juventude H 0–0 D
28 Sep Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
20 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–1 L
14 Sep Santos FC H 1–1 D
31 Aug EC Vitoria A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Fluminense FC CA Mineiro
#4 Position #11
38 Points 29
23 Played 21
10 / 8 / 5 W / D / L 8 / 5 / 8
34 Scored 27
28 Conceded 27
+6 GD +0
1.65 PPG 1.38
43% Win % 38%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
19% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts). CA Mineiro are 11th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Fluminense FC welcome CA Mineiro for this crunch clash at Maracana.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Fluminense FC in their trying to find a way past CA Mineiro's compact .
  • 15' GOAL! Samuel Xavier scores on 15.
  • 20' Thiago Silva, a Brazil centre-back, has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' Fluminense FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 44' John Kennedy catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 44.
  • 46' Igor Gomes makes way for Gabriel Menino at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
  • 48' Alan Franco is having his name booked by the referee on 48.
  • 53' The travelling CA Mineiro supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 58' Kevin Serna does the damage! The net is bulging and Fluminense FC surge ahead!
  • 61' Ivan Roman is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 62' A tactical swap from CA MineiroGabriel Teixeira on, Ivan Roman off on 62 minutes.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Caio Paulista. He replaces Guilherme Arana on 63 minute.
  • 68' Vitor Hugo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 75' Hulk makes way for Reinier at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
  • 80' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 81' John Kennedy makes way for Everaldo at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 86' CA Mineiro have won 475 goals from 475 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 87' The referee calls foul for Caio Paulista. He receives a card.
  • 88' Kevin Serna catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
  • 90' Keno is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin Serna at the 90 minute mark.
  • With this win, Fluminense FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Fluminense FC to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC59% Draw24% CA Mineiro17%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
83%
Draw or CA Mineiro
41%
Fluminense FC or CA Mineiro
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC41% Draw46% CA Mineiro13%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 0
11.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 24% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
44%
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.