Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hull City AFC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC The MKM Stadium 24,463 HT 45' · FT 45'
Abu Kamara 5' 1–0
1–1 46' Ao Tanaka
1–2 62' Daniel James
1–3 72' Joel Piroe
Joao Pedro Galvao 81' 2–3
Abu Kamara 89' 3–3
Y 83' Joe Rodon

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Leeds United FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Backhouse
  • Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
  • Assistant 2 Paul Hodskinson
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Leeds United FC H 3–3 D
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 0–1 L
29 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Preston North End FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec Swansea City AFC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Hull City AFC A 3–3 D
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D
29 Dec Derby County FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Stoke City FC A 2–0 W
21 Dec Oxford United FC H 4–0 W
14 Dec Preston North End FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Hull City AFC is hosting Leeds United FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' A stunning finish from Abu Kamara — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 10' Leeds United FC is showing some good football. However, Leeds United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Finley Burns is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hull City AFC so far.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Hull City AFC and Leeds United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Regan Slater suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mateo Fernandez, as he is very good at scoring at The MKM Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' Against the run of play, Ao Tanaka has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Leeds United FC that had 363 games and scored 538 goals.
  • 56' Hull City AFC currently sit 22 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 61' Hull City AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 62' Daniel James has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 62 minutes.
  • 66' A change in the Leeds United FC ranks — Maximilian Wober exits the field as Sam Byram enters on 66.
  • 67' The Hull City AFC manager makes a substitution. Mason Burstow departs to be replaced by Harry Vaughan.
  • 68' Xavier Simons is ready to make an impact after coming on for Steven Alzate at the 68 minute mark.
  • 72' A goal from the Netherlands international Joel Piroe! He fires home on 72 to make it 1-3!
  • 77' Jayden Bogle has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 81' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Joao Pedro Galvao makes no mistake. 2-3!
  • 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Joe Rodon.
  • 88' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 89' Against the run of play, Abu Kamara has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' Leeds United FC ring the changes. Joe Rothwell has done his job and it is now time for Josuha Guilavogui to step up.
  • The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Leeds United FC 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC30% Draw28% Leeds United FC42%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
58%
Draw or Leeds United FC
70%
Hull City AFC or Leeds United FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC23% Draw45% Leeds United FC32%
Actual: Hull City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.