Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hull City AFC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC The MKM Stadium 24,463 HT 45' · FT 45'
Abu Kamara 5' 1–0
1–1 46' Ao Tanaka
1–2 62' Daniel James
1–3 72' Joel Piroe
Joao Pedro Galvao 81' 2–3
Abu Kamara 89' 3–3
Y 83' Joe Rodon

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Leeds United FC H 3–3 D
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 0–1 L
29 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Preston North End FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec Swansea City AFC H 2–1 W
14 Dec Coventry City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Hull City AFC A 3–3 D
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–1 D
29 Dec Derby County FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Stoke City FC A 2–0 W
21 Dec Oxford United FC H 4–0 W
14 Dec Preston North End FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Hull City AFC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' A goal from the England international Abu Kamara! He fires home on 5 to make it 1-0!
  • 10' Daniel James has been relatively quiet despite scoring 48 goals in his last 383 appearances.
  • 15' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' It looks surprising Hull City AFC does not make any changes. Mason Burstow has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Leeds United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 30' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 35' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Leeds United FC that had 358 games and scored 532 goals.
  • 40' Hull City AFC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Leeds United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Ao Tanaka does the damage! The net is bulging and Leeds United FC surge ahead!
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Hull City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Leeds United FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' Joe Rothwell has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' Leeds United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Daniel James on 62.
  • 66' Maximilian Wober makes way for Sam Byram at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Leeds United FC.
  • 67' The whistle greets Mason Burstow as he departs to be replaced by Harry Vaughan.
  • 68' Another change for Hull City AFC made on 68 minute. Steven Alzate leaves to be changed by Xavier Simons.
  • 72' Joel Piroe adds to his 0 season tally! Leeds United FC lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 81' The deadlock is broken! Joao Pedro Galvao gets on the scoresheet on 81 minutes.
  • 83' It’s gonna be a card for Joe Rodon.
  • 88' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 89' What a strike from Abu Kamara! The score is 3-3.
  • 90' A change in the Leeds United FC ranks — Joe Rothwell exits the field as Josuha Guilavogui enters on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Leeds United FC 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC30% Draw28% Leeds United FC42%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
58%
Draw or Leeds United FC
70%
Hull City AFC or Leeds United FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hull City AFC23% Draw45% Leeds United FC32%
Actual: Hull City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
21%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.