Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
1 – 4
Full Time
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
Wilson Odobert 15' 1–0
1–1 42' Ameen Al Dakhil og
1–2 50' Cole Palmer pen
1–3 65' Raheem Sterling
1–4 75' Nicolas Jackson

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Chelsea FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
3 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
03 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–1 W
30 Sep Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–1 L
18 Sep Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Burnley FC A 4–1 W
02 Oct Fulham FC A 2–0 W
24 Sep Aston Villa FC H 0–1 L
17 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 0–0 D
02 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
25 Aug Luton Town FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 3 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 3 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 2 G 2 A
Pedro Neto 1 G
Romeo Lavia 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Burnley FC welcome Chelsea FC for this crunch clash at Turf Moor.
  • 5' Josh Cullen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Wilson Odobert makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Burnley FC are in front.
  • 20' Jacob Bruun Larsen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' James Trafford is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chelsea FC tonight.
  • 26' Cucurella has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 26.
  • 27' That is a Yellow card for Chelsea FC. Enzo Fernandez will be fuming at that decision.
  • 30' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Josh Cullen.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 38' Burnley FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 38.
  • 42' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ameen Al Dakhil makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 45' Thiago Silva was booked on 45.
  • 46' Nicolas Jackson is replacing Armando Broja for the Chelsea FC side.
  • 50' Cole Palmer does the damage! The net is bulging and Chelsea FC surge ahead!
  • 55' Axel Disasi, a France defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 61' Connor Roberts is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vitinho at the 61 minute mark.
  • 65' Goal! Raheem Sterling scores his 113 goal in 438 matches.
  • 70' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burnley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 74' Poor challenge from Moises Caicedo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 75' GOAL! Nicolas Jackson scores on 75. Assisted by Cole Palmer
  • 79' Fresh legs for Burnley FC! Jacob Bruun Larsen comes on to replace Wilson Odobert.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Chelsea FC team. Raheem Sterling is replaced by Mykhailo Mudryk on 83 minute.
  • 86' Ian Maatsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cole Palmer at the 86 minute mark.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Chelsea FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Chelsea FC to win 56% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC20% Draw24% Chelsea FC56%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
44%
Draw or Chelsea FC
80%
Burnley FC or Chelsea FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC14% Draw43% Chelsea FC43%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
0 – 2
10.4%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 0
7.1%
0 – 3
6.7%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 0
4.3%
0 – 4
3.4%
1 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 23% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 19% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.