Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burnley FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
1 – 4
Full Time
Sat 7 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
Wilson Odobert 15' 1–0
1–1 42' Ameen Al Dakhil og
1–2 50' Cole Palmer pen
1–3 65' Raheem Sterling
1–4 75' Nicolas Jackson

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Chelsea FC — Premier League at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 Constantine Hatzidakis
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
6 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
03 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–1 W
30 Sep Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–1 L
18 Sep Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Oct Burnley FC A 4–1 W
02 Oct Fulham FC A 2–0 W
24 Sep Aston Villa FC H 0–1 L
17 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 0–0 D
02 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
25 Aug Luton Town FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
7/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 5 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 5 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 3 G 3 A
Pedro Neto 3 G 1 A
Jordan Henderson 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Burnley FC vs Chelsea FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Mykhailo Mudryk is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 15' The deadlock is broken! Wilson Odobert gets on the scoresheet on 15 minutes.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' Lyle Foster, a South Africa , has 9 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 26' It’s a booking for Chelsea FC player. Cucurella gets a Yellow card.
  • 27' Enzo Fernandez picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 30' A moment of madness from Josh Cullen on 30 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Burnley FC will be frustrated.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 38' Wilson Odobert was booked on 38.
  • 42' The Belgium Ameen Al Dakhil breaks the deadlock on 42 minutes. 2-0!
  • 45' Thiago Silva catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 45.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Armando Broja as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Jackson steps in for Chelsea FC.
  • 50' Cole Palmer is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the midfielder.
  • 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and Chelsea FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hannes Delcroix is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Chelsea FC.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Connor Roberts. He replaces Vitinho on 61 minute.
  • 65' Magnificent from Raheem Sterling! That is 113 goals in 451 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 70' It looks surprising Chelsea FC does not make any changes. Mike Tresor has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 74' Moises Caicedo was booked on 74.
  • 75' Goal! Nicolas Jackson scores his 50 goal in 422 matches.
  • 79' Wilson Odobert makes way for Jacob Bruun Larsen at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
  • 83' Raheem Sterling makes way for Mykhailo Mudryk at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Chelsea FC.
  • 86' Ian Maatsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cole Palmer at the 86 minute mark.
  • Chelsea FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Chelsea FC to win 56% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC20% Draw24% Chelsea FC56%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
44%
Draw or Chelsea FC
80%
Burnley FC or Chelsea FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC14% Draw43% Chelsea FC43%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
0 – 2
10.4%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 0
7.1%
0 – 3
6.7%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 0
4.3%
0 – 4
3.4%
1 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 23% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 19% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.