Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 26,623 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jack Hunt og 66' 1–0
1–1 87' Chris Martin

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Bristol Rovers FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Steve Durnall (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
14 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC H 1–3 L
11 Nov Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC A 2–2 D
31 Oct Northampton Town FC H 4–0 W
28 Oct Stevenage FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Derby County FC A 1–2 L
11 Nov Carlisle United FC A 1–0 W
07 Nov Reading FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Whitby Town FC H 7–2 W
28 Oct Northampton Town FC H 2–1 W
24 Oct Stevenage FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Bristol Rovers FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The travelling Bristol Rovers FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' It’s high time Andrew Mangan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Chris Martin needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 24 Yellow cards this season.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 40' Bristol Rovers FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol Rovers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for George Friend suffering a number of foals already.
  • 50' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 60' Bristol Rovers FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 62' Tyrese Fornah has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thomas Barkhuizen on 62 minute.
  • 66' Bristol Rovers FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jack Hunt on 66.
  • 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Bristol Rovers FC. George Friend is replaced by Jevani Brown.
  • 74' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Max Bird is replaced by Sonny Bradley on 74 minute.
  • 79' It looks like no one’s ball. Bristol Rovers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 81' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Martyn Waghorn is hanging James Collins on the field on 81 minute.
  • 86' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joe Wildsmith made 385 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 87' GOAL! Chris Martin scores on 87.
  • 90' GOAL! Nathaniel Mendez-Laing scores on 90. Assisted by Tyrese Fornah
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.65 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC50% Draw26% Bristol Rovers FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
50%
Derby County FC or Bristol Rovers FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC34% Draw46% Bristol Rovers FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.