Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 25 Nov 2023 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park Stadium 26,623 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jack Hunt og 66' 1–0
1–1 87' Chris Martin

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Bristol Rovers FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Reeves
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Steve Durnall (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
14 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC H 1–3 L
11 Nov Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC A 2–2 D
31 Oct Northampton Town FC H 4–0 W
28 Oct Stevenage FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Derby County FC A 1–2 L
11 Nov Carlisle United FC A 1–0 W
07 Nov Reading FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Whitby Town FC H 7–2 W
28 Oct Northampton Town FC H 2–1 W
24 Oct Stevenage FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Derby County FC and Bristol Rovers FC get this one started.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Ireland international Conor Hourihane has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Bristol Rovers FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 40' Matthew Cox has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bristol Rovers FC that had 291 games and scored 317 goals.
  • 62' Another change for Derby County FC made on 62 minute. Thomas Barkhuizen leaves to be changed by Tyrese Fornah.
  • 66' Jack Hunt does the damage! The net is bulging and Bristol Rovers FC surge ahead!
  • 71' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 73' Jevani Brown gets the nod from Bristol Rovers FC. He replaces George Friend and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Max Bird by Sonny Bradley on 74 minute.
  • 79' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 81' Martyn Waghorn is ready to make an impact after coming on for James Collins at the 81 minute mark.
  • 86' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Bristol Rovers FC tonight.
  • 87' A goal from the Scotland international Chris Martin! He fires home on 87 to make it 0-2!
  • 90' A goal from the Guatemala international Nathaniel Mendez-Laing! He fires home on 90 to make it 1-2!
  • Another three points for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.65 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC50% Draw26% Bristol Rovers FC24%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
50%
Derby County FC or Bristol Rovers FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC34% Draw46% Bristol Rovers FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.