Derby County FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Bristol Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tom Reeves
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Steve Durnall (England)
5 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 14.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Oxford United FC | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton Town FC | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14 | 23 |
| 6 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 15 | 23 |
| 7 | Reading FC | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Bradford City AFC | 13 | 22 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 14 | 21 |
| 10 | Cambridge United FC | 14 | 21 |
| 11 | Leicester City FC | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town FC | 13 | 19 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient FC | 13 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion FC | 15 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage FC | 12 | 16 |
| 17 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 16 |
| 18 | Notts County FC | 12 | 14 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic FC | 15 | 14 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 13 | 12 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Peterborough United FC | 13 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley FC | 13 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Nov | Crewe Alexandra FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Nov | Barnsley FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Crewe Alexandra FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Oct | Northampton Town FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | Stevenage FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov | Derby County FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Carlisle United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Nov | Reading FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | Whitby Town FC | H | 7–2 | W |
| 28 Oct | Northampton Town FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | Stevenage FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Pride Park Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Eiran Cashin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Luke Thomas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Bristol Rovers FC tonight.
- 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 25' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bristol Rovers FC backline.
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for James Collins suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 45' Bristol Rovers FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bristol Rovers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 60' It looks surprising Bristol Rovers FC does not make any changes. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 62' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Thomas Barkhuizen is withdrawn and Tyrese Fornah gets his opportunity.
- 66' What composure from Jack Hunt! The England international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 71' Bristol Rovers FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 73' Bristol Rovers FC ring the changes. George Friend has done his job and it is now time for Jevani Brown to step up.
- 74' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Max Bird exits the field as Sonny Bradley enters on 74.
- 79' Over 79 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 81' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Martyn Waghorn is hanging James Collins on the field on 81 minute.
- 86' Derby County FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 87' A stunning finish from Chris Martin — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 90' What a strike from Nathaniel Mendez-Laing! The score is 1-2.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Derby County FC take all three points.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
12
Korey Smith ↓ Kane Wilson 62'
-
8
Max Bird ↓ Sonny Bradley 74'
- 11
- 4
- 24
- 35
-
9
James Collins ↓ Martyn Waghorn 81'
- 17
- 6
- 7
- 1
Bench
-
10
Martyn Waghorn ↑ 81'
-
2
Kane Wilson ↑ 62'
- 23
- 31
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↑ 74'
- 19
-
22
Tyrese Fornah ↑ 62'
Coach
Paul Warne
Bristol Rovers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 42
- 18
-
8
Grant Ward ↓ Luke Thomas 73'
-
32
George Friend ↓ Jevani Brown 73'
- 6
-
10
Aaron Collins ↓ John Marquis 81'
- 5
- 4
- 21
- 33
- 19
Bench
- 15
-
9
John Marquis ↑ 81'
-
11
Luke Thomas ↑ 73'
- 28
-
20
Jevani Brown ↑ 73'
- 17
- 31
Coach
Andrew Mangan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| David McGoldrick | 4 |
| Antony Evans | 2 |
| James Collins | 1 |
| Bobby Thomas | 1 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 1 |
| Chris Martin | 1 |
| Dwight Gayle | 1 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Bristol Rovers FC Form
2023-11-25
Derby County FC
2–1
Bristol Rovers FC
L
2023-11-11
Carlisle United FC
0–1
Bristol Rovers FC
W
2023-11-07
Reading FC
1–1
Bristol Rovers FC
D
2023-11-04
Bristol Rovers FC
7–2
Whitby Town FC
W
2023-10-28
Bristol Rovers FC
2–1
Northampton Town FC
W
2023-10-24
Bristol Rovers FC
1–1
Stevenage FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.65
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
50%
Derby County FC or Bristol Rovers FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Bristol Rovers FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.