Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bristol Rovers FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 24 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Memorial Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Josh Vela
Chris Martin 34' 1–1
Scott Sinclair 51' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol Rovers FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Memorial Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Parsons (England)
  • Assistant 1 Alan Cresswell (England)
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Aylott
6 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
Bristol Rovers FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Carlisle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
17 Feb Northampton Town FC A 1–3 L
13 Feb Stevenage FC A 3–2 W
10 Feb Burton Albion FC H 1–2 L
06 Feb Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
03 Feb Exeter City FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Bristol Rovers FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Cambridge United FC H 0–4 L
10 Feb Portsmouth FC H 0–1 L
03 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 2–3 L
27 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–4 L
16 Jan Barnsley FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Memorial Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Bristol Rovers FC and Carlisle United FC.
  • 5' The 27-year-old Daniel Butterworth has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 16' Carlisle United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Josh Vela on 16.
  • 21' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 22' Bristol Rovers FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 27' It looks surprising Bristol Rovers FC does not make any changes. Harrison Neal has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' The energy levels are beginning to show. Matt Taylor might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 34' GOAL! Chris Martin fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 39' Both keepers have barely been tested. Bristol Rovers FC and Carlisle United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lewis Gordon made 349 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 49' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Luke Thomas.
  • 51' Scott Sinclair adds to his 0 season tally! Bristol Rovers FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 56' The referee calls foul for Harrison Neal. He receives a card.
  • 61' Over 61 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 67' Fresh legs for Carlisle United FC! Daniel Butterworth comes on to replace Fin Back.
  • 72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
  • 77' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 78' Bristol Rovers FC make a change. Luke Thomas trudges off to be replaced by Harry Vaughan on 78 minutes.
  • 82' Bristol Rovers FC make a change. Jevani Brown trudges off to be replaced by Joshua Grant on 82 minutes.
  • 87' Carlisle United FC have won 53 goals from 57 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 89' John Marquis gets the nod from Bristol Rovers FC. He replaces Harvey Vale and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Luke Armstrong. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Bristol Rovers FC — Tristan Crama on, Scott Sinclair off on 90 minutes.
  • With this win, Bristol Rovers FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Bristol Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC51% Draw26% Carlisle United FC23%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Bristol Rovers FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
49%
Bristol Rovers FC or Carlisle United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC32% Draw48% Carlisle United FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Bristol Rovers FC

Handicap Bristol Rovers FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.