Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bristol Rovers FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Bristol Rovers FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Carlisle United FC
Sat 24 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Memorial Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 16' Josh Vela
Chris Martin 34' 1–1
Scott Sinclair 51' 2–1
Jack Hunt 22' Y
Luke Thomas 50' Y
Y 56' Harrison Neal
Y 90' Luke Armstrong
John Marquis 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol Rovers FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Memorial Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Parsons (England)
  • Assistant 1 Alan Cresswell (England)
  • Assistant 2 Andrew Aylott

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Lincoln City FC 46 103
2 Cardiff City FC 46 91
3 Stockport County FC 46 77
4 Bradford City AFC 46 77
5 Bolton Wanderers FC 46 75
6 Stevenage FC 46 75
7 Luton Town FC 46 74
8 Plymouth Argyle FC 46 73
9 Huddersfield Town AFC 46 67
10 Mansfield Town FC 46 65
11 Wycombe Wanderers FC 46 63
12 Reading FC 46 63
13 Blackpool FC 46 60
14 Doncaster Rovers FC 46 60
15 Barnsley FC 46 59
16 Wigan Athletic FC 46 56
17 Burton Albion FC 46 54
18 Peterborough United FC 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient FC 46 52
21 Exeter City FC 46 49
22 Port Vale FC 46 42
23 Rotherham United FC 46 41
24 Northampton Town FC 46 35

Head-to-Head

2
Bristol Rovers FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Carlisle United FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-02-24 Bristol Rovers FC 2–1 Carlisle United FC 2023-11-11 Carlisle United FC 0–1 Bristol Rovers FC

Recent Form

Bristol Rovers FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
17 Feb Northampton Town FC A 1–3 L
13 Feb Stevenage FC A 3–2 W
10 Feb Burton Albion FC H 1–2 L
06 Feb Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L
03 Feb Exeter City FC A 1–0 W
Carlisle United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Feb Bristol Rovers FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Cambridge United FC H 0–4 L
10 Feb Portsmouth FC H 0–1 L
03 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 2–3 L
27 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–4 L
16 Jan Barnsley FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Bristol Rovers FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bristol Rovers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Carlisle United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 16' Josh Vela puts Carlisle United FC on the lead.
  • 21' Carlisle United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 21.
  • 22' That looks like a foul for a card for Jack Hunt.
  • 27' It looks surprising Carlisle United FC does not make any changes. Sam Lavelle has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jevani Brown, as he is very good at scoring at Memorial Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 34' What a strike from Chris Martin! The score is 1-1.
  • 39' The travelling Carlisle United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 49' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 50' The referee shows Bristol Rovers FC player a card on 50.
  • 51' GOAL! Scott Sinclair scores on 51. Assisted by Jevani Brown
  • 56' Carlisle United FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jack Armer made 378 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bristol Rovers FC that had 291 games and scored 317 goals.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Carlisle United FC. Fin Back is replaced by Daniel Butterworth.
  • 72' Tristan Crama needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 7 Yellow cards this season.
  • 77' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 78' Harry Vaughan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luke Thomas on 78 minute.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Joshua Grant. He replaces Jevani Brown on 82 minute.
  • 87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jordan Gibson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 89' Another change for Bristol Rovers FC made on 89 minute. Harvey Vale leaves to be changed by John Marquis.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Carlisle United FC player. Luke Armstrong gets a card.
  • 90' Another substitution for Bristol Rovers FC to replace Scott Sinclair by Tristan Crama on 90 minute.
  • With this win, Bristol Rovers FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Bristol Rovers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Matt Taylor

Carlisle United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Chris Martin 1
Scott Sinclair 1
Josh Vela 1

Head to Head

2024-02-24 Bristol Rovers FC 2–1 Carlisle United FC 2023-11-11 Carlisle United FC 0–1 Bristol Rovers FC

Bristol Rovers FC Form

2024-02-24 Bristol Rovers FC 2–1 Carlisle United FC W 2024-02-17 Northampton Town FC 3–1 Bristol Rovers FC L 2024-02-13 Stevenage FC 2–3 Bristol Rovers FC W 2024-02-10 Bristol Rovers FC 1–2 Burton Albion FC L 2024-02-06 Bristol Rovers FC 0–2 Fleetwood Town FC L 2024-02-03 Exeter City FC 0–1 Bristol Rovers FC W

Carlisle United FC Form

2024-02-24 Bristol Rovers FC 2–1 Carlisle United FC L 2024-02-17 Carlisle United FC 0–4 Cambridge United FC L 2024-02-10 Carlisle United FC 0–1 Portsmouth FC L 2024-02-03 Leyton Orient FC 3–2 Carlisle United FC L 2024-01-27 Carlisle United FC 1–4 Bolton Wanderers FC L 2024-01-16 Barnsley FC 2–1 Carlisle United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Bristol Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC51% Draw26% Carlisle United FC23%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Bristol Rovers FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
49%
Bristol Rovers FC or Carlisle United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC32% Draw48% Carlisle United FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Bristol Rovers FC

Handicap Bristol Rovers FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.