Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bristol Rovers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Memorial Stadium 9,937 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 55' Dwight Gayle
0–2 58' Thomas Barkhuizen
0–3 89' Martyn Waghorn

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol Rovers FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Memorial Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lee Swabey
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Staten (England)
  • Assistant 2 James Vallance (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Derby County FC H 0–3 L
02 Mar Leyton Orient FC A 1–0 W
24 Feb Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
17 Feb Northampton Town FC A 1–3 L
13 Feb Stevenage FC A 3–2 W
10 Feb Burton Albion FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 3–0 W
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
13 Feb Exeter City FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Bristol Rovers FC gets underway.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Bristol Rovers FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' Bristol Rovers FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol Rovers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' Kamil Conteh has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 34' Bristol Rovers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 34.
  • 38' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ebou Adams on 38 minutes.
  • 43' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 45' Chris Martin picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bristol Rovers FC that had 291 games and scored 317 goals.
  • 55' The deadlock is broken! Dwight Gayle gets on the scoresheet on 55 minutes.
  • 58' Thomas Barkhuizen doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 63' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bristol Rovers FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 68' The referee has no hesitation. Dwight Gayle is booked for Derby County FC — card on 68.
  • 73' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 74' The Bristol Rovers FC manager makes a substitution. Lewis Gordon departs to be replaced by Jevani Brown.
  • 79' John Marquis gets the nod from Bristol Rovers FC. He replaces Sam Finley and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Derby County FC make a change. Thomas Barkhuizen trudges off to be replaced by Kane Wilson on 83 minutes.
  • 88' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 89' A stunning finish from Martyn Waghorn — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' Derby County FC ring the changes. Conor Hourihane has done his job and it is now time for Corey Blackett-Taylor to step up.
  • Full Time. Derby County FC beats Bristol Rovers FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 Bristol Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC25% Draw27% Derby County FC48%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Bristol Rovers FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Bristol Rovers FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC18% Draw45% Derby County FC37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Bristol Rovers FC

Handicap Bristol Rovers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 23% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.