Saturday , 14 November 2026

Bristol Rovers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Memorial Stadium 9,937 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 55' Dwight Gayle
0–2 58' Thomas Barkhuizen
0–3 89' Martyn Waghorn

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol Rovers FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Memorial Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Lee Swabey
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Staten (England)
  • Assistant 2 James Vallance (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Derby County FC H 0–3 L
02 Mar Leyton Orient FC A 1–0 W
24 Feb Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
17 Feb Northampton Town FC A 1–3 L
13 Feb Stevenage FC A 3–2 W
10 Feb Burton Albion FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 3–0 W
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
13 Feb Exeter City FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Bristol Rovers FC vs Derby County FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Bristol Rovers FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' Dwight Gayle needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 34' It’s a booking for Bristol Rovers FC player. Kamil Conteh gets a card.
  • 38' Ebou Adams is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
  • 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Chris Martin.
  • 50' Chris Martin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 55' A goal from the England international Dwight Gayle! He fires home on 55 to make it 0-1!
  • 58' GOAL! Thomas Barkhuizen fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 63' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 68' The referee has no hesitation. Dwight Gayle is booked for Derby County FC — card on 68.
  • 73' The home supporters are growing impatient. Bristol Rovers FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 74' The Bristol Rovers FC bench stirs into life. Lewis Gordon is withdrawn and Jevani Brown gets his opportunity.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Bristol Rovers FC — John Marquis on, Sam Finley off on 79 minutes.
  • 83' Another change for Derby County FC made on 83 minute. Thomas Barkhuizen leaves to be changed by Kane Wilson.
  • 88' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 89' The deadlock is broken! Martyn Waghorn gets on the scoresheet on 89 minutes.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Corey Blackett-Taylor on, Conor Hourihane off on 90 minutes.
  • 0-3 the final result. Bristol Rovers FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 Bristol Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC25% Draw27% Derby County FC48%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Bristol Rovers FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Bristol Rovers FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC18% Draw45% Derby County FC37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Bristol Rovers FC

Handicap Bristol Rovers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 23% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.