Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bristol Rovers FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 15:00 UTC Memorial Stadium 9,937 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 55' Dwight Gayle
0–2 58' Thomas Barkhuizen
0–3 89' Martyn Waghorn

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Derby County FC H 0–3 L
02 Mar Leyton Orient FC A 1–0 W
24 Feb Carlisle United FC H 2–1 W
17 Feb Northampton Town FC A 1–3 L
13 Feb Stevenage FC A 3–2 W
10 Feb Burton Albion FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 3–0 W
02 Mar Port Vale FC H 3–0 W
27 Feb Charlton Athletic FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
17 Feb Stevenage FC H 1–0 W
13 Feb Exeter City FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Memorial Stadium!
  • 5' Connor Taylor has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 380 appearances.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Conor Hourihane made 355 appearances and scored 33 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Bristol Rovers FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 20' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Bristol Rovers FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 30' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
  • 34' Kamil Conteh has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 34.
  • 38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ebou Adams on 38.
  • 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' That is a card for Bristol Rovers FC. Chris Martin will be fuming at that decision.
  • 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 55' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Dwight Gayle on 55.
  • 58' Thomas Barkhuizen has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
  • 63' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 68' Dwight Gayle has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 68.
  • 73' The 24-year-old Liam Thompson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 74' Lewis Gordon makes way for Jevani Brown at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bristol Rovers FC.
  • 79' John Marquis is replacing Sam Finley for the Bristol Rovers FC side.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Thomas Barkhuizen as he leaves the pitch. Kane Wilson steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 88' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Bristol Rovers FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 89' Martyn Waghorn adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Conor Hourihane is replaced by Corey Blackett-Taylor on 90 minute.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Bristol Rovers FC and Derby County FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 Bristol Rovers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC25% Draw27% Derby County FC48%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Bristol Rovers FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Derby County FC
75%
Bristol Rovers FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bristol Rovers FC18% Draw45% Derby County FC37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Bristol Rovers FC

Handicap Bristol Rovers FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 23% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.