Bristol City FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2023-24

Bristol City FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Stoke City FC

Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Ashton Gate HT 45' · FT 45'

Sam Bell 5' 1–0

Nahki Wells 15' 2–0

2–1 20' Mehdi Leris

2–2 47' Sead Haksabanovic

2–3 89' Nathan Lowe

Y 90' Junior Tchamadeu

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.

Bristol City FC 46 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jeremy Simpson
Assistant 1 Matthew Jones
Assistant 2 Matthew Smith

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Bristol City FC 16 games · Avg 2.7 goals Stoke City FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-30 Bristol City FC 2–3 Stoke City FC 2023-04-07 Stoke City FC 1–2 Bristol City FC 2022-12-17 Bristol City FC 1–2 Stoke City FC 2022-04-15 Stoke City FC 0–1 Bristol City FC 2021-11-24 Bristol City FC 1–0 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Bristol City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	Stoke City FC	H	2–3	L
23 Sep	Leicester City FC	A	0–1	L
19 Sep	Plymouth Argyle FC	H	4–1	W
16 Sep	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	0–0	D
02 Sep	Swansea City AFC	A	2–1	W
25 Aug	Hull City AFC	A	1–1	D

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	Bristol City FC	A	3–2	W
24 Sep	Hull City AFC	H	1–3	L
20 Sep	Huddersfield Town AFC	A	2–2	D
16 Sep	Norwich City FC	A	0–1	L
02 Sep	Preston North End FC	H	0–2	L
26 Aug	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Bristol City FC		Stoke City FC
#12	Position	#17
62	Points	55
46	Played	46
17 / 11 / 18	W / D / L	15 / 10 / 21
59	Scored	51
59	Conceded	56
+0	GD	-5
1.35	PPG	1.20
37%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Ashton Gate. Bristol City FC are looking to make home advantage count against Stoke City FC.
5' Sam Bell puts Bristol City FC on the lead.
6' Sam Bell doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
11' Over 11 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
15' What composure from Nahki Wells! The Bermuda international strokes it home. 3-0.
20' What composure from Mehdi Leris! The Algeria international strokes it home. 3-1.
25' Taylor Gardner-Hickman, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
28' The Bristol City FC bench stirs into life. George Tanner is withdrawn and Taylor Gardner-Hickman gets his opportunity.
33' Bristol City FC is showing some good football. However, Bristol City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
38' Bristol City FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Stoke City FC's 4-3-3 shape.
43' Ben Pearson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
46' Stoke City FC ring the changes. Lynden Gooch has done his job and it is now time for Junior Tchamadeu to step up.
47' Sead Haksabanovic adds to his 2 season tally! Stoke City FC lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
48' Sead Haksabanovic does the damage! The net is bulging and Stoke City FC surge ahead!
53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
54' Another change for Bristol City FC made on 54 minute. Nahki Wells leaves to be changed by Harry Cornick.
55' The whistle greets Mark Sykes as he departs to be replaced by Ephraim Yeboah.
60' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alex Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
65' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
66' The whistle greets Josh Laurent as he departs to be replaced by Jordan Thompson.
71' Ki-Jana Hoever is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
76' Stoke City FC make a change. Daniel Johnson trudges off to be replaced by Wouter Burger on 76 minutes.
81' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bristol City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
83' The crowd applauds Sead Haksabanovic as he leaves the pitch. Joon-ho Bae steps in for Stoke City FC.
88' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
89' Stoke City FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nathan Lowe on 89.
90' Junior Tchamadeu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
90' Bristol City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tommy Conway is hanging Joe Williams on the field on 90 minute.
The points are shared — Bristol City FC 2-3 Stoke City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

3
Cameron Pring
6
Matty James
21
Nahki Wells ↓ Harry Cornick 54'
8
Joe Williams ↓ Tommy Conway 90'
4
Kal Naismith
16
Rob Dickie
17
Mark Sykes ↓ Ephraim Yeboah 55'
12
Jason Knight
19
George Tanner ↓ Taylor Gardner-Hickman 55'
20
Sam Bell ↓ Andreas Weimann 54'
1
Max O'Leary

Bench

14
Andreas Weimann ↑ 54'
10
Andy King
9
Harry Cornick ↑ 54'
24
Haydon Roberts
23
Stefan Bajic
11
Anis Mehmeti
15
Tommy Conway ↑ 90'
77
Taylor Gardner-Hickman ↑ 55'
29
Ephraim Yeboah ↑ 55'

Coach Nigel Pearson

Stoke City FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

11
Dwight Gayle
15
Jordan Thompson ↑ 66'
13
Jack Bonham
6
Wouter Burger ↑ 76'
23
Luke McNally
24
Junior Tchamadeu ↑ 46'
35
Nathan Lowe
30
Sol Sidibe
22
Joon-ho Bae ↑ 83'

Coach Alex Neil

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nahki Wells	5
Anis Mehmeti	3
Sam Bell	2
Nick Powell	2
Million Manhoef	2
Famara Diedhiou	2
Jacob Brown	1
Andrew Moran	1

Head to Head

Bristol City FC Form

2023-09-30 Bristol City FC 2–3 Stoke City FC L 2023-09-23 Leicester City FC 1–0 Bristol City FC L 2023-09-19 Bristol City FC 4–1 Plymouth Argyle FC W 2023-09-16 Bristol City FC 0–0 West Bromwich Albion FC D 2023-09-02 Swansea City AFC 1–2 Bristol City FC W 2023-08-25 Hull City AFC 1–1 Bristol City FC D

Stoke City FC Form

2023-09-30 Bristol City FC 2–3 Stoke City FC W 2023-09-24 Stoke City FC 1–3 Hull City AFC L 2023-09-20 Huddersfield Town AFC 2–2 Stoke City FC D 2023-09-16 Norwich City FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L 2023-09-02 Stoke City FC 0–2 Preston North End FC L 2023-08-26 Millwall FC 1–0 Stoke City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.56 Bristol City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.27 Stoke City FC xG

I would bet for: Bristol City FC or Stoke City FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Bristol City FC43% Draw27% Stoke City FC30%

Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.83

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Stoke City FC

57%

Bristol City FC or Stoke City FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bristol City FC31% Draw46% Stoke City FC23%

Actual: Bristol City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

12.6%

2 – 1

8.8%

1 – 0

8.3%

0 – 0

7.8%

1 – 2

7.1%

2 – 0

7.1%

0 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.6%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.6%

3 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap	Bristol City FC covers	Push	Stoke City FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	21%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	17%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.