Bristol City FC vs Watford FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 3

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FA Cup · 2025-26

Bristol City FC

5 – 1

Full Time

Watford FC

Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Watford FC — FA Cup .

Bristol City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Watford FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Tom Reeves

3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 5.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

Bristol City FC 11 games · Avg 2.7 goals Watford FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-10 Bristol City FC 5–1 Watford FC 2025-11-07 Watford FC 1–1 Bristol City FC 2025-04-05 Bristol City FC 2–1 Watford FC 2024-11-26 Watford FC 1–0 Bristol City FC 2024-01-20 Bristol City FC 1–1 Watford FC

Recent Form

Bristol City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	Watford FC	H	5–1	W
04 Jan	Preston North End FC	H	0–2	L
01 Jan	Portsmouth FC	H	5–0	W
29 Dec	Millwall FC	A	1–2	L
26 Dec	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	2–1	W
20 Dec	Middlesbrough FC	H	2–0	W

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	1–5	L
01 Jan	Birmingham City FC	H	3–0	W
29 Dec	Norwich City FC	A	1–0	W
26 Dec	Leicester City FC	A	2–1	W
20 Dec	Stoke City FC	H	1–0	W
13 Dec	Wrexham AFC	A	2–2	D

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bristol City FC

Emil Riis Jakobsen

3 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
It finishes all square. Bristol City FC and Watford FC share the spoils 5-1.

Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ismaila Sarr	2
Will Hughes	1
Ryan Andrews	1
Nahki Wells	1
Philip Zinckernagel	1
Ross McCrorie	1
Harry Cornick	1
Mamadou Doumbia	1

Head to Head

Bristol City FC Form

2026-01-10 Bristol City FC 5–1 Watford FC W 2026-01-04 Bristol City FC 0–2 Preston North End FC L 2026-01-01 Bristol City FC 5–0 Portsmouth FC W 2025-12-29 Millwall FC 2–1 Bristol City FC L 2025-12-26 West Bromwich Albion FC 1–2 Bristol City FC W 2025-12-20 Bristol City FC 2–0 Middlesbrough FC W

Watford FC Form

2026-01-10 Bristol City FC 5–1 Watford FC L 2026-01-01 Watford FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC W 2025-12-29 Norwich City FC 0–1 Watford FC W 2025-12-26 Leicester City FC 1–2 Watford FC W 2025-12-20 Watford FC 1–0 Stoke City FC W 2025-12-13 Wrexham AFC 2–2 Watford FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.88 Bristol City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.09 Watford FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bristol City FC53% Draw25% Watford FC22%

Actual: Bristol City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Watford FC

47%

Bristol City FC or Watford FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bristol City FC39% Draw43% Watford FC18%

Actual: Bristol City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

8.9%

1 – 0

8.9%

0 – 0

6.8%

3 – 1

1 – 2

5.5%

3 – 0

5.5%

2 – 2

5.2%

0 – 1

4.8%

3 – 2

3.3%

0 – 2

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap	Bristol City FC covers	Push	Watford FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	17%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	22%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	13%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.