Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Fri 22 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
16 Aug Coventry City FC H 3–5 L
09 Aug Stoke City FC A 1–3 L
03 May Stoke City FC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
21 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Derby County FC A 1–1 D
16 Aug Charlton Athletic FC H 0–0 D
09 Aug Sheffield United FC A 4–1 W
12 May Sheffield United FC A 0–3 L
08 May Sheffield United FC H 0–3 L
03 May Preston North End FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Bristol City FC
#8 Position #12
69 Points 62
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 17 / 11 / 18
67 Scored 59
59 Conceded 59
+8 GD +0
1.50 PPG 1.35
43% Win % 37%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.5 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Bristol City FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC39% Draw27% Bristol City FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Bristol City FC
61%
Derby County FC or Bristol City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC28% Draw45% Bristol City FC27%
Actual: Bristol City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Bristol City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.