Sunday , 15 November 2026

Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Fri 30 Jan 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Nield
6 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Derby County FC H 0–5 L
24 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–0 W
20 Jan Ipswich Town FC A 0–2 L
17 Jan Oxford United FC A 0–0 D
10 Jan Watford FC H 5–1 W
04 Jan Preston North End FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Bristol City FC A 5–0 W
23 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 2–1 W
17 Jan Preston North End FC A 1–0 W
11 Jan Leeds United FC H 1–3 L
04 Jan Wrexham AFC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Bristol City FC Derby County FC
#17 Position #23
18 Points 10
15 Played 15
5 / 3 / 7 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
16 Scored 14
24 Conceded 30
-8 GD -16
1.20 PPG 0.67
33% Win % 13%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Bristol City FC are 17th (18 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bristol City FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
1/7
61-75
1/2
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bristol City FC
Scott Twine 5 G
Dominic Ballard 4 G
Lorent Tolaj 2 G 1 A
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-5 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Bristol City FC or Derby County FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol City FC31% Draw27% Derby County FC42%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Derby County FC
69%
Bristol City FC or Derby County FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bristol City FC23% Draw44% Derby County FC33%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–5 not predicted
0 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.9%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap Bristol City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 21% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.