Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Melbourne City FC
3 – 2
Full Time
Brisbane Roar FC
Fri 11 Apr 2025 · 09:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 50' Austin Ludwik
Steven Ugarkovic 69' Y
German Ferreyra 86' Y
Y 90' Samuel Klein
Mathew Leckie 90' Y
Y 90' Hosine Bility
Nathaniel Atkinson 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Brisbane Roar FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Casey Reibelt

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Newcastle United Jets FC 26 48
2 Adelaide United FC 26 43
3 Auckland FC 26 42
4 Melbourne Victory FC 26 40
5 Sydney FC 26 39
6 Melbourne City FC 26 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 34
8 Wellington Phoenix FC 26 33
9 Central Coast Mariners FC 26 32
10 Perth Glory FC 26 31
11 Brisbane Roar FC 26 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 26 21

Head-to-Head

14
3
4
Melbourne City FC 21 games · Avg 3.4 goals Brisbane Roar FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-11 Melbourne City FC 3–2 Brisbane Roar FC 2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-12-06 Brisbane Roar FC 1–4 Melbourne City FC 2024-02-10 Brisbane Roar FC 5–1 Melbourne City FC 2023-12-28 Melbourne City FC 8–1 Brisbane Roar FC

Recent Form

Melbourne City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Brisbane Roar FC H 3–2 W
05 Apr Central Coast Mariners FC H 1–0 W
29 Mar Sydney FC A 3–2 W
12 Mar Newcastle United Jets FC H 0–1 L
07 Mar Macarthur FC H 2–0 W
28 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–0 W
Brisbane Roar FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Melbourne City FC A 2–3 L
04 Apr Macarthur FC H 1–5 L
30 Mar Auckland FC H 0–2 L
15 Mar Perth Glory FC A 3–1 W
08 Mar Adelaide United FC A 1–1 D
01 Mar Melbourne Victory FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Brisbane Roar FC
#6 Position #11
38 Points 26
26 Played 26
10 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 12
33 Scored 27
33 Conceded 36
+0 GD -9
1.46 PPG 1.00
38% Win % 23%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds AAMI Park will turn into a battlefield for Melbourne City FC and Brisbane Roar FC.
  • 5' Melbourne City FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker Marcus Younis scoring 2 goals.
  • 9' Goal! Asumah Abubakar-Ankra scores his 4 goal in 6 matches.
  • 14' It’s high time Aurelio Vidmar made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 19' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 39' Patrick Beach is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Brisbane Roar FC so far.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hosine Bility, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' The Melbourne City FC bench stirs into life. Callum Talbot is withdrawn and Steven Ugarkovic gets his opportunity.
  • 50' Austin Ludwik was booked on 50.
  • 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 57' What a moment for Marco Tilio! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 61' Sensational shot from Max Caputo. Melbourne City FC is back in the lead.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Brisbane Roar FC. Austin Ludwik is replaced by Lucas Herrington.
  • 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Melbourne City FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
  • 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Keegan Jelacic makes it 2-2.
  • 69' Controversy at the stadium! Steven Ugarkovic argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 72' It is a substitution in Brisbane Roar FC team. Walid Shour is replaced by Louis Zabala on 72 minute.
  • 77' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 82' Another change for Melbourne City FC made on 82 minute. Alessandro Lopane leaves to be changed by Lawrence Wong.
  • 85' What a moment for German Ferreyra! That strike on 85 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 86' German Ferreyra catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 86.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Samuel Klein is booked for Brisbane Roar FC — card on 90.
  • 90' Harry Politidis is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marco Tilio at the 90 minute mark.
  • Melbourne City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Aurelio Vidmar

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ruben Zadkovich

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jamie MacLaren 9
James O'Shea 4
Roy O'Donovan 3
Connor Metcalfe 3
Thomas Waddingham 2
Yonatan Cohen 2
Leo Natel 2
Curtis Good 2

Head to Head

2025-04-11 Melbourne City FC 3–2 Brisbane Roar FC 2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-12-06 Brisbane Roar FC 1–4 Melbourne City FC 2024-02-10 Brisbane Roar FC 5–1 Melbourne City FC 2023-12-28 Melbourne City FC 8–1 Brisbane Roar FC

Melbourne City FC Form

2025-04-11 Melbourne City FC 3–2 Brisbane Roar FC W 2025-04-05 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-03-29 Sydney FC 2–3 Melbourne City FC W 2025-03-12 Melbourne City FC 0–1 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-03-07 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Macarthur FC W 2025-02-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–1 Melbourne City FC W

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2025-04-11 Melbourne City FC 3–2 Brisbane Roar FC L 2025-04-04 Brisbane Roar FC 1–5 Macarthur FC L 2025-03-30 Brisbane Roar FC 0–2 Auckland FC L 2025-03-15 Perth Glory FC 1–3 Brisbane Roar FC W 2025-03-08 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Brisbane Roar FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC56% Draw23% Brisbane Roar FC21%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Brisbane Roar FC
44%
Melbourne City FC or Brisbane Roar FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne City FC38% Draw42% Brisbane Roar FC20%
Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Brisbane Roar FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 16% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 21% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.