Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Auckland FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Auckland FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Referee Casey Reibelt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Auckland FC H 0–0 D
04 May Newcastle United Jets FC H 1–1 D
25 Apr Macarthur FC A 2–1 W
19 Apr Auckland FC H 0–2 L
12 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC A 3–2 W
29 Mar Adelaide United FC H 5–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Melbourne Victory FC A 0–0 D
03 May Western United FC A 2–4 L
27 Apr Perth Glory FC H 1–0 W
19 Apr Melbourne Victory FC A 2–0 W
12 Apr Sydney FC A 2–2 D
05 Apr Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Auckland FC
#4 Position #3
40 Points 42
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 9 / 6
44 Scored 42
33 Conceded 29
+11 GD +13
1.54 PPG 1.62
42% Win % 42%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Auckland FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Auckland FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Auckland FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC35% Draw30% Auckland FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Auckland FC
65%
Melbourne Victory FC or Auckland FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC24% Draw50% Auckland FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
10%
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Auckland FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✗
Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.