Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Brisbane Roar FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Fri 28 Nov 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Brisbane Roar FC 3 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Hugh Fenton-White (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Brisbane Roar FC 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-28 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-11-09 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-04-20 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–0	W
23 Nov	Auckland FC	A	1–1	D
09 Nov	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	3–0	W
31 Oct	Melbourne City FC	H	0–0	D
26 Oct	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–2	L
17 Oct	Macarthur FC	H	1–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	A	0–1	L
22 Nov	Sydney FC	A	0–3	L
08 Nov	Melbourne City FC	H	0–2	L
31 Oct	Perth Glory FC	A	2–0	W
24 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	2–5	L
18 Oct	Auckland FC	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#3	Position	#9
7	Points	3
3	Played	4
2 / 1 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 3 / 1
5	Scored	5
3	Conceded	6
+2	GD	-1
2.33	PPG	0.75
67%	Win %	0%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Brisbane Roar FC are 3rd (7 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/1

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC

Justin Vidic	2 G
Tom Aldred	1 G
Tae-Hee Nam	1 G
Sabit James	1 G

Melbourne Victory FC

Keegan Jelacic	2 G
Jordi Valadon	2 G
Charles Nduka	1 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Brisbane Roar FC have kicked off against Melbourne Victory FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
1-0 the final result. Melbourne Victory FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kosta Barbarouses	7
Ola Toivonen	3
Scott McDonald	3
Riku Danzaki	2
Andrew Nabbout	2
Marco Rojas	2
Thomas Waddingham	1
Ben Folami	1

Head to Head

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2025-11-28 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-11-23 Auckland FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2025-11-09 Brisbane Roar FC 3–0 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2025-10-31 Brisbane Roar FC 0–0 Melbourne City FC D 2025-10-26 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2025-10-17 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Macarthur FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-11-28 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-11-22 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-11-08 Melbourne Victory FC 0–2 Melbourne City FC L 2025-10-31 Perth Glory FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-10-24 Newcastle United Jets FC 5–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-10-18 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Auckland FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.76 Brisbane Roar FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.75 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Brisbane Roar FC to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Brisbane Roar FC60% Draw24% Melbourne Victory FC16%

Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.51

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw

84%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

40%

Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Brisbane Roar FC41% Draw46% Melbourne Victory FC13%

Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

12.3%

1 – 1

11.5%

0 – 0

10.1%

2 – 1

9.1%

3 – 0

3 – 1

5.4%

0 – 1

5.1%

1 – 2

3.8%

2 – 2

3.5%

4 – 0

3.1%

4 – 1

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap	Brisbane Roar FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	19%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	25%	40%
-0.5	60%	—	40%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	10%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

48% ✗

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.