Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Brisbane Roar FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Fri 28 Nov 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Hugh Fenton-White (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Brisbane Roar FC 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-28 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-11-09 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-04-20 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–0	W
23 Nov	Auckland FC	A	1–1	D
09 Nov	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	3–0	W
31 Oct	Melbourne City FC	H	0–0	D
26 Oct	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–2	L
17 Oct	Macarthur FC	H	1–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	A	0–1	L
22 Nov	Sydney FC	A	0–3	L
08 Nov	Melbourne City FC	H	0–2	L
31 Oct	Perth Glory FC	A	2–0	W
24 Oct	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	2–5	L
18 Oct	Auckland FC	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#11	Position	#4
26	Points	40
26	Played	26
6 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
27	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
-9	GD	+11
1.00	PPG	1.54
23%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Brisbane Roar FC and Melbourne Victory FC get this one started.
The points are shared — Brisbane Roar FC 1-0 Melbourne Victory FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kosta Barbarouses	7
Scott McDonald	3
Ola Toivonen	3
Marco Rojas	2
Riku Danzaki	2
Andrew Nabbout	2
Alex Parsons	1
Matt Ridenton	1

Head to Head

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2025-11-28 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-11-23 Auckland FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2025-11-09 Brisbane Roar FC 3–0 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2025-10-31 Brisbane Roar FC 0–0 Melbourne City FC D 2025-10-26 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2025-10-17 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Macarthur FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-11-28 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-11-22 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-11-08 Melbourne Victory FC 0–2 Melbourne City FC L 2025-10-31 Perth Glory FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-10-24 Newcastle United Jets FC 5–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-10-18 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Auckland FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.27 Brisbane Roar FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.11 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Brisbane Roar FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Brisbane Roar FC45% Draw28% Melbourne Victory FC27%

Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw

73%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

55%

Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Brisbane Roar FC27% Draw50% Melbourne Victory FC23%

Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

11.5%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.1%

2 – 1

2 – 0

7.2%

1 – 2

0 – 2

5.5%

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

3.4%

3 – 0

1 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap	Brisbane Roar FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	21%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	18%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.