Sao Paulo FC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs EC Juventude — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
- EC Juventude 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec | EC Juventude | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Dec | Grêmio FBPA | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 Nov | Cuiaba EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Nov | Grêmio FBPA | A | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Sao Paulo FC welcome EC Juventude for this crunch clash at Morumbi.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' Sao Paulo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' Brazil international Alisson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 18' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Barbosa on 18 minutes.
- 23' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Lucas Barbosa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 28' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Juventude is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 33' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Juventude backline.
- 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and EC Juventude are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' The EC Juventude manager makes a substitution. Nene departs to be replaced by Luiz Mandaca.
- 51' Luciano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
- 52' Gabriel Taliari has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 52 minutes.
- 57' EC Juventude fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 62' A stunning finish from Erick — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 64' William da Silva is replacing Erick for the Sao Paulo FC side.
- 69' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joao Lucas is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
- 71' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Alisson exits the field as Rodrigo Nestor enters on 71.
- 76' EC Juventude are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 77' Goal! Luciano scores his 63 goal in 386 matches.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Joao Moreira. He replaces Igor Vinicius on 78 minute.
- 83' The referee calls foul for Gabriel. He receives a card.
- 83' Another change for EC Juventude made on 83 minute. Ewerthon leaves to be changed by Ze Marcos.
- 87' Fresh legs for EC Juventude! Gabriel Inocencio comes on to replace Erick.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sao Paulo FC.
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 33
- 10
- 5
- 2
- 7
- 16
- 28
- 17
- 36
- 23
Bench
- 93
- 13
- 20
- 35
- 11
- 4
- 22
- 39
- 30
- 18
- 21
- 37
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
EC Juventude Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1
- 96
- 16
-
19
Gabriel Taliari ↓ Gilberto 71'
-
10
Nene ↓ Luiz Mandaca 46'
- 43
- 2
- 4
-
21
Lucas Barbosa ↓ Marcelinho 71'
- 14
-
7
Erick ↓ Gabriel Inocencio 87'
Bench
-
9
Gilberto ↑ 71'
- 28
- 13
- 30
-
3
Ze Marcos ↑ 83'
- 77
-
11
Marcelinho ↑ 71'
- 5
-
12
Gabriel Inocencio ↑ 87'
- 70
- 20
-
44
Luiz Mandaca ↑ 46'
Coach
Fábio Matias
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Reinaldo | 3 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Luciano Neves | 2 |
| Capixaba | 1 |
| Gabriel Taliari | 1 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Emiliano Rigoni | 1 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
EC Juventude xG
I would bet for:
Sao Paulo FC or EC Juventude 71% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Juventude win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
66%
Draw or EC Juventude
63%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Juventude
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 0
8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Juventude covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

