Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 4 Dec 2024 · 23:00 UTC Morumbi 31,442 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Gabriel Taliari
0–2 62' Erick
Luciano 77' 1–2
Y 83' Gabriel

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs EC JuventudeSerie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec EC Juventude H 1–2 L
01 Dec Grêmio FBPA A 1–2 L
24 Nov CA Mineiro H 2–2 D
20 Nov RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
10 Nov CA Paranaense H 2–1 W
06 Nov EC Bahia A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec Sao Paulo FC A 2–1 W
27 Nov CA Mineiro A 3–2 W
23 Nov Cuiaba EC H 1–1 D
20 Nov Grêmio FBPA A 2–2 D
09 Nov EC Bahia H 2–1 W
02 Nov Fortaleza EC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Sao Paulo FC welcome EC Juventude for this crunch clash at Morumbi.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Sao Paulo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Brazil international Alisson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 18' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Barbosa on 18 minutes.
  • 23' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Lucas Barbosa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 28' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Juventude is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 33' Sao Paulo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Juventude backline.
  • 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and EC Juventude are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' The EC Juventude manager makes a substitution. Nene departs to be replaced by Luiz Mandaca.
  • 51' Luciano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
  • 52' Gabriel Taliari has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 52 minutes.
  • 57' EC Juventude fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 62' A stunning finish from Erick — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 64' William da Silva is replacing Erick for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 69' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joao Lucas is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sao Paulo FC.
  • 71' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Alisson exits the field as Rodrigo Nestor enters on 71.
  • 76' EC Juventude are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 77' Goal! Luciano scores his 63 goal in 386 matches.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Joao Moreira. He replaces Igor Vinicius on 78 minute.
  • 83' The referee calls foul for Gabriel. He receives a card.
  • 83' Another change for EC Juventude made on 83 minute. Ewerthon leaves to be changed by Ze Marcos.
  • 87' Fresh legs for EC Juventude! Gabriel Inocencio comes on to replace Erick.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sao Paulo FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: Sao Paulo FC or EC Juventude 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC37% Draw29% EC Juventude34%
Actual: EC Juventude win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
66%
Draw or EC Juventude
63%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Juventude
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC27% Draw47% EC Juventude26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 0
8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27%
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.