Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Juventude, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 4 Dec 2024 · 23:00 UTC Morumbi 31,442 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Gabriel Taliari
0–2 62' Erick
Luciano 77' 1–2
Y 83' Gabriel

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs EC JuventudeSerie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec EC Juventude H 1–2 L
01 Dec Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
24 Nov CA Mineiro H 2–2 D
20 Nov RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
10 Nov CA Paranaense H 2–1 W
06 Nov EC Bahia A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec Sao Paulo FC A 2–1 W
27 Nov CA Mineiro A 3–2 W
23 Nov Cuiaba EC H 1–1 D
20 Nov Gremio FBPA A 2–2 D
09 Nov EC Bahia H 2–1 W
02 Nov Fortaleza EC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
/8
61-75
3/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 7 G 1 A
Luciano 6 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Sao Paulo FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Ronaldo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 385 appearances.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and EC Juventude are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 18' EC Juventude receives a card for a hard tackle on 18.
  • 23' Patryck, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 28' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Zubeldía will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Juventude needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 43' The travelling EC Juventude supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' Another change for EC Juventude made on 46 minute. Nene leaves to be changed by Luiz Mandaca.
  • 51' Nene needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 52' Against the run of play, Gabriel Taliari has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 57' It looks surprising EC Juventude does not make any changes. Robert Arboleda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' Brilliant from the ! Erick makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 62.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Erick is replaced by William da Silva.
  • 69' Lucas Freitas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Juventude tonight.
  • 71' The whistle greets Alisson as he departs to be replaced by Rodrigo Nestor.
  • 76' Over 76 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 77' Luciano makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Sao Paulo FC are in front.
  • 78' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Igor Vinicius exits the field as Joao Moreira enters on 78.
  • 83' EC Juventude player sees a card in front of him.
  • 83' Another substitution for EC Juventude to replace Ewerthon by Ze Marcos on 83 minute.
  • 87' EC Juventude make a change. Erick trudges off to be replaced by Gabriel Inocencio on 87 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.39 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 EC Juventude xG
I would bet for: Sao Paulo FC or EC Juventude 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC37% Draw29% EC Juventude34%
Actual: EC Juventude win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
66%
Draw or EC Juventude
63%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Juventude
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC27% Draw47% EC Juventude26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 0
8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Juventude covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27%
EC Juventude keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.