Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Botafogo FR, 2025 QUARTER FINALS

Copa Libertadores · 2025
5 6
4 – 5 pen
Full Time
Thu 26 Sep 2024 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Botafogo FR — 0 .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Sep Botafogo FR H 5–6 L
22 Sep SC Internacional H 1–3 L
19 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–0 D
15 Sep Cruzeiro EC A 1–0 W
01 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
25 Aug EC Vitoria H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 6–5 W
21 Sep Fluminense FC A 1–0 W
19 Sep Sao Paulo FC H 0–0 D
15 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W
01 Sep Fortaleza EC H 2–0 W
25 Aug EC Bahia A 0–0 D

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sao Paulo FC launch into their encounter with Botafogo FR.
  • With this win, Botafogo FR is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Botafogo FR Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 Botafogo FR xG
I would bet for: Sao Paulo FC or Botafogo FR 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC33% Draw24% Botafogo FR43%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Botafogo FR
67%
Sao Paulo FC or Botafogo FR
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC27% Draw39% Botafogo FR34%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–6 not predicted
5 – 6
Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.6%
3 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Botafogo FR covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 16% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 18% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
14%
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.