Melbourne Victory FC vs Auckland FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Auckland FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- Auckland FC 26 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ben Abraham
- Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Auckland FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Mar | Adelaide United FC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Sydney FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 09 Mar | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Auckland FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 40 | Points | 42 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 9 / 6 |
| 44 | Scored | 42 |
| 33 | Conceded | 29 |
| +11 | GD | +13 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.62 |
| 42% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Melbourne Victory FC is hosting Auckland FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Auckland FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tommy Smith, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' Auckland FC looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Lachlan Brook scoring 1 goals.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' Nando Pijnaker has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 328 appearances.
- 35' Australia international Marlee Francois has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' Hiroki Sakai is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Auckland FC so far.
- 44' It is a substitution in Auckland FC team. Luis Gallegos is replaced by Cameron Howieson on 44 minute.
- 49' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Logan Rogerson made 169 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 53' Louis Verstraete puts Auckland FC on the lead.
- 58' Auckland FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 59' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Callan Elliot on 59 minutes.
- 61' Another change for Auckland FC made on 61 minute. Callan Elliot leaves to be changed by Tommy Smith.
- 66' Daniel Arzani is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
- 71' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 74' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Alex Badolato is replaced by Bruno Fornaroli on 74 minute.
- 79' Hiroki Sakai catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
- 80' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Daniel Arzani departs to be replaced by Jing Reec.
- 81' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joshua Inserra is hanging Joshua Rawlins on the field on 81 minute.
- 86' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 89' Guillermo May Bartesaghi does the damage! The net is bulging and Auckland FC surge ahead!
- 90' Marlee Francois is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Another three points for Auckland FC.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 4
- 21
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Jing Reec 80'
- 1
-
22
Joshua Rawlins ↓ Joshua Inserra 81'
- 17
-
23
Alex Badolato ↓ Bruno Fornaroli 74'
- 14
- 28
- 9
Bench
- 5
-
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 74'
- 25
-
16
Joshua Inserra ↑ 81'
- 18
-
19
Jing Reec ↑ 80'
- 26
Coach
Arthur Diles
Auckland FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
-
22
Jake Brimmer ↓ Marlee Francois 81'
- 6
-
27
Logan Rogerson ↓ Neyder Moreno 61'
-
17
Callan Elliot ↓ Tommy Smith 61'
- 4
- 23
- 12
- 10
- 15
- 28
Bench
- 1
-
5
Tommy Smith ↑ 61'
- 9
-
11
Marlee Francois ↑ 81'
-
25
Neyder Moreno ↑ 61'
-
7
Cameron Howieson ↑ 44'
- 21
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Cosgrove | 1 |
| Louis Verstraete | 1 |
| Guillermo May Bartesaghi | 1 |
| Nishan Velupillay | 1 |
| Franco Lino | 1 |
| Lachlan Brook | 1 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-04-19
Melbourne Victory FC
0–2
Auckland FC
L
2025-04-12
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2025-03-29
Melbourne Victory FC
5–3
Adelaide United FC
W
2025-03-15
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
4–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-03-08
Melbourne Victory FC
3–0
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2025-03-01
Brisbane Roar FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
Auckland FC Form
2025-04-19
Melbourne Victory FC
0–2
Auckland FC
W
2025-04-12
Sydney FC
2–2
Auckland FC
D
2025-04-05
Auckland FC
1–1
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
D
2025-03-30
Brisbane Roar FC
0–2
Auckland FC
W
2025-03-16
Auckland FC
2–2
Central Coast Mariners FC
D
2025-03-09
Newcastle United Jets FC
1–1
Auckland FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.25
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Auckland FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC or Auckland FC 71% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Auckland FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Auckland FC
68%
Melbourne Victory FC or Auckland FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Auckland FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 21% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.