Saturday , 14 November 2026

Atalanta BC vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
4 – 1
Full Time
Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs US Lecce — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 4.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep US Lecce H 4–1 W
30 Aug Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–1 D
24 Aug AC Pisa 1909 H 1–1 D
25 May Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–3 L
17 May Genoa CFC A 3–2 W
12 May AS Roma H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Atalanta BC A 1–4 L
29 Aug AC Milan H 0–2 L
23 Aug Genoa CFC A 0–0 D
25 May SS Lazio A 1–0 W
18 May Torino FC H 1–0 W
11 May Hellas Verona FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Atalanta BC US Lecce
#12 Position #14
14 Points 10
11 Played 11
4 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 7
17 Scored 12
20 Conceded 22
-3 GD -10
1.27 PPG 0.91
36% Win % 27%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
18% Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season

Atalanta BC are 12th (14 pts). US Lecce are 14th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atalanta BC
Nikola Krstovic 7 G 2 A
Ederson 2 G
Giacomo Raspadori 1 G
Lazar Samardzic 1 G
US Lecce
Lassana Coulibaly 2 G 2 A
Tiago Gabriel 2 G 1 A
Olaf Gorter 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Atalanta BC and US Lecce get this one started.
  • 4-1 the final result. US Lecce will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.27 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Atalanta BC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC63% Draw21% US Lecce16%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
84%
Draw or US Lecce
37%
Atalanta BC or US Lecce
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC46% Draw39% US Lecce15%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 22% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.