Atalanta BC vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs US Lecce — Serie A .
- Atalanta BC 11 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- US Lecce 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gianluca Manganiello
3 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 4.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | US Lecce | H | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | AC Pisa 1909 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 May | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 17 May | Genoa CFC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 May | AS Roma | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Atalanta BC | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #14 |
| 14 | Points | 10 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 4 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 7 |
| 17 | Scored | 12 |
| 20 | Conceded | 22 |
| -3 | GD | -10 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 0.91 |
| 36% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
Atalanta BC this season
18%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
Atalanta BC are 12th (14 pts). US Lecce are 14th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atalanta BC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atalanta BC
| Nikola Krstovic | 7 G | 2 A |
| Ederson | 2 G | |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 1 G | |
| Lazar Samardzic | 1 G |
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 2 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | 1 A |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Atalanta BC and US Lecce get this one started.
- 4-1 the final result. US Lecce will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duvan Zapata | 5 |
| Mateo Retegui | 3 |
| Giulio Donati | 2 |
| Marco Brescianini | 2 |
| Federico Baschirotto | 2 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 1 |
| Josip Ilicic | 1 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 1 |
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.27
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Atalanta BC to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
84%
Draw or US Lecce
37%
Atalanta BC or US Lecce
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.4%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 19% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 22% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

