Atalanta BC vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs US Lecce — Serie A .
- Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
- US Lecce 38 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gianluca Manganiello
7 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 12.3 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | US Lecce | H | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | AC Pisa 1909 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 May | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 17 May | Genoa CFC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 May | AS Roma | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Atalanta BC | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #17 |
| 59 | Points | 38 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 15 / 14 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 20 |
| 51 | Scored | 28 |
| 36 | Conceded | 50 |
| +15 | GD | -22 |
| 1.55 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 39% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Atalanta BC to score. At the same time, US Lecce does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- With this win, Atalanta BC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duvan Zapata | 5 |
| Mateo Retegui | 3 |
| Federico Baschirotto | 2 |
| Giulio Donati | 2 |
| Marco Brescianini | 2 |
| Giorgio Scalvini | 1 |
| Alejandro Gomez | 1 |
| Rasmus Hojlund | 1 |
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.96
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
Atalanta BC to win 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
86%
Draw or US Lecce
36%
Atalanta BC or US Lecce
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
13%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
50%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

