Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
4 1
Full Time
Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs US LecceSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
7 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 12.3 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep US Lecce H 4–1 W
30 Aug Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–1 D
24 Aug AC Pisa 1909 H 1–1 D
25 May Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–3 L
17 May Genoa CFC A 3–2 W
12 May AS Roma H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Atalanta BC A 1–4 L
29 Aug AC Milan H 0–2 L
23 Aug Genoa CFC A 0–0 D
25 May SS Lazio A 1–0 W
18 May Torino FC H 1–0 W
11 May Hellas Verona FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Atalanta BC US Lecce
#7 Position #17
59 Points 38
38 Played 38
15 / 14 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 20
51 Scored 28
36 Conceded 50
+15 GD -22
1.55 PPG 1.00
39% Win % 26%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Atalanta BC to score. At the same time, US Lecce does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • With this win, Atalanta BC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.96 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC to win 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC64% Draw22% US Lecce14%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
86%
Draw or US Lecce
36%
Atalanta BC or US Lecce
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC46% Draw44% US Lecce10%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
13%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.2%
1 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 25% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
50%
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.