Sunday , 16 August 2026

Atalanta BC vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
4 1
Full Time
Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs US LecceSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep US Lecce H 4–1 W
30 Aug Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–1 D
24 Aug AC Pisa 1909 H 1–1 D
25 May Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–3 L
17 May Genoa CFC A 3–2 W
12 May AS Roma H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Atalanta BC A 1–4 L
29 Aug AC Milan H 0–2 L
23 Aug Genoa CFC A 0–0 D
25 May SS Lazio A 1–0 W
18 May Torino FC H 1–0 W
11 May Hellas Verona FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Atalanta BC US Lecce
#10 Position #20
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 10th (0 pts). US Lecce are 20th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Atalanta BC and US Lecce get this one started.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.12 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.43 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Under — clean sheet likely 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC54% Draw31% US Lecce15%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes25% 0% No75%
Avg goals/match: 1.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 46%
54%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
86%
Draw or US Lecce
46%
Atalanta BC or US Lecce
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC32% Draw60% US Lecce8%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
23.7%
1 – 0
22.5%
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
11%
0 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
2.3%
1 – 2
2.1%
0 – 2
1.7%
2 – 2
1.4%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 29% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 10% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
65%
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.