Saturday , 14 November 2026

Atalanta BC vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2020-21
Fri 12 Mar 2021 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia HT 45+2' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia.

Match Details

  • Referee Luigi Nasca
  • Referee Domenico Rocca
  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Referee Valerio Marini
  • Referee

Head-to-Head

4
2
Atalanta BC 6 games · Avg 4.0 goals Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Spezia Calcio H 3–1 W
08 Mar FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
03 Mar FC Crotone H 5–1 W
28 Feb UC Sampdoria A 2–0 W
24 Feb Real Madrid CF H 0–1 L
21 Feb SSC Napoli H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Atalanta BC A 1–3 L
06 Mar Benevento Calcio H 1–1 D
02 Mar Juventus FC A 0–3 L
27 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–2 D
19 Feb ACF Fiorentina A 0–3 L
13 Feb AC Milan H 2–0 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atalanta BC
Nikola Krstovic 7 G 2 A
Ederson 2 G
Giacomo Raspadori 1 G
Lazar Samardzic 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Atalanta BC vs Spezia Calcio — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 7' Rafael Toloi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 7.
  • 12' The travelling Spezia Calcio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 17' Atalanta BC have won 732 goals from 536 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 22' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' The referee shows Atalanta BC player a Yellow card on 25.
  • 30' Daniele Verde is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Atalanta BC tonight.
  • 35' Spezia Calcio are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gian Piero Gasperini might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Giulio Maggiore is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Spezia Calcio.
  • 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 53' Assisted by Josip Ilicic with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mario Pasalic makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 54' Christian Romero is replacing Berat Gjimshiti for the Atalanta BC side.
  • 55' Luis Muriel makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Atalanta BC are in front.
  • 56' It is a substitution in Atalanta BC team. Berat Gjimshiti is replaced by Christian Romero on 56 minute.
  • 61' Mbala N'Zola has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 66' Atalanta BC make a change. Luis Muriel trudges off to be replaced by Duvan Zapata on 66 minutes.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Spezia Calcio. Luca Vignali is replaced by Gennaro Acampora.
  • 72' Mario Pasalic does the damage! The net is bulging and Atalanta BC surge ahead!
  • 77' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 80' Another substitution for Spezia Calcio to replace Daniele Verde by Diego Farias on 80 minute.
  • 81' A stunning finish from Roberto Piccoli — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 86' Leo Sena is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Spezia Calcio so far.
  • 90' The Atalanta BC bench stirs into life. Robin Gosens is withdrawn and Matteo Ruggeri gets his opportunity.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.93 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC60% Draw23% Spezia Calcio17%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
83%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
40%
Atalanta BC or Spezia Calcio
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC43% Draw44% Spezia Calcio13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
1 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 24% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.