Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Atalanta BC vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2020-21
Fri 12 Mar 2021 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia HT 45+2' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Spezia Calcio — Serie A at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia.

Match Details

  • Referee Luigi Nasca
  • Referee Domenico Rocca
  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Referee Valerio Marini
  • Referee

Head-to-Head

4
2
Atalanta BC 6 games · Avg 4.0 goals Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Spezia Calcio H 3–1 W
08 Mar FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
03 Mar FC Crotone H 5–1 W
28 Feb UC Sampdoria A 2–0 W
24 Feb Real Madrid CF H 0–1 L
21 Feb SSC Napoli H 4–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Atalanta BC A 1–3 L
06 Mar Benevento Calcio H 1–1 D
02 Mar Juventus FC A 0–3 L
27 Feb Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–2 D
19 Feb ACF Fiorentina A 0–3 L
13 Feb AC Milan H 2–0 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Atalanta BC vs Spezia Calcio — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 7' A moment of madness from Rafael Toloi on 7 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Atalanta BC will be frustrated.
  • 12' Giulio Maggiore, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' Atalanta BC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' Marten de Roon picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Daniele Verde, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' Spezia Calcio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atalanta BC that had 527 games and scored 717 goals.
  • 50' Josip Ilicic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 44 goals in his last 527 appearances.
  • 53' A goal from the Croatia international Mario Pasalic! He fires home on 53 to make it 1-0!
  • 54' The whistle greets Berat Gjimshiti as he departs to be replaced by Christian Romero.
  • 55' What composure from Luis Muriel! The Colombia international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 56' A change in the Atalanta BC ranks — Berat Gjimshiti exits the field as Christian Romero enters on 56.
  • 61' Atalanta BC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 66' Duvan Zapata is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luis Muriel at the 66 minute mark.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Spezia Calcio team. Luca Vignali is replaced by Gennaro Acampora on 67 minute.
  • 72' Mario Pasalic adds to his 0 season tally! Atalanta BC lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 77' Leo Sena has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 80' Another substitution for Spezia Calcio to replace Daniele Verde by Diego Farias on 80 minute.
  • 81' Roberto Piccoli adds to his 0 season tally! Spezia Calcio lead 3-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 86' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 90' A change in the Atalanta BC ranks — Robin Gosens exits the field as Matteo Ruggeri enters on 90.
  • With this win, Atalanta BC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.93 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC60% Draw23% Spezia Calcio17%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
83%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
40%
Atalanta BC or Spezia Calcio
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC43% Draw44% Spezia Calcio13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
10.9%
1 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 24% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.