Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs Bologna FC 1909, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 17 May 2026 · 16:00 UTC Gewiss Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 78' Riccardo Orsolini

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Bologna FC 1909Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Perenzoni (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Dario Garzelli (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Gianluca Grasso (Italy)
16 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 2.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Bologna FC 1909 H 0–1 L
10 May AC Milan A 3–2 W
02 May Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
27 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–3 L
18 Apr AS Roma A 1–1 D
11 Apr Juventus FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Atalanta BC A 1–0 W
11 May SSC Napoli A 3–2 W
03 May Cagliari Calcio H 0–0 D
25 Apr AS Roma H 0–2 L
19 Apr Juventus FC A 0–2 L
16 Apr Aston Villa FC A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Atalanta BC Bologna FC 1909
#7 Position #8
59 Points 56
38 Played 38
15 / 14 / 9 W / D / L 16 / 8 / 14
51 Scored 49
36 Conceded 46
+15 GD +3
1.55 PPG 1.47
39% Win % 42%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). Bologna FC 1909 are 8th (56 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Gewiss Stadium that hosts another battle between Atalanta BC and Bologna FC 1909.
  • 5' Bologna FC 1909 is showing some good football. However, Bologna FC 1909 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Atalanta BC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tommaso Pobega, as he is very good at scoring at Gewiss Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' Atalanta BC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marco Carnesecchi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Federico Bernardeschi made 519 appearances and scored 34 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' It looks surprising Bologna FC 1909 does not make any changes. Nicola Zalewski has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 50' Joao Mario Lopes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 49 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 52' Bologna FC 1909 receives a card for a hard tackle on 52.
  • 57' It looks like no one’s ball. Bologna FC 1909 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 62' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 67' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 77' The referee shows Atalanta BC player a card on 77.
  • 78' Goal! Riccardo Orsolini scores his 72 goal in 480 matches.
  • 83' Bologna FC 1909 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 88' Berat Djimsiti needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Bologna FC 1909 players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Bologna FC 1909 xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC41% Draw31% Bologna FC 190928%
Actual: Bologna FC 1909 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
72%
Draw or Bologna FC 1909
59%
Atalanta BC or Bologna FC 1909
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC29% Draw52% Bologna FC 190919%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push Bologna FC 1909 covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
39%
Bologna FC 1909 keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.