Sunday , 16 August 2026

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2019-20
5 0
Full Time
Sun 22 Dec 2019 · 11:30 UTC Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Massimiliano Irrati
  • Referee Filippo Meli
  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Referee Valentino Fiorito
11 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec AC Milan H 5–0 W
15 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L
11 Dec FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 3–0 W
07 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 3–2 W
30 Nov Brescia Calcio A 3–0 W
26 Nov GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Dec Atalanta BC A 0–5 L
15 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–0 D
08 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 3–2 W
01 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–0 W
23 Nov SSC Napoli H 1–1 D
10 Nov Juventus FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Atalanta BC AC Milan
#10 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 10th (0 pts). AC Milan are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia!
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Brilliant from the ! Alejandro Gomez makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 10.
  • 15' Atalanta BC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's shape.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Pierluigi Gollini has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' Atalanta BC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 37' The referee calls foul for Mateo Musacchio. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 42' Atalanta BC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 44' Controversy at the stadium! Suso argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 46' Timothy Castagne catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 46.
  • 46' Ricardo Rodriguez makes way for Davide Calabria at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 51' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 56' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Marten de Roon on 56 minutes.
  • 61' Goal! Mario Pasalic scores his 63 goal in 169 matches.
  • 63' A stunning finish from Josip Ilicic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 65' AC Milan make a change. Giacomo Bonaventura trudges off to be replaced by Krzysztof Piatek on 65 minutes.
  • 70' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atalanta BC and AC Milan are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 71' A moment of madness from Alessio Romagnoli on 71 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 72' GOAL! Josip Ilicic fires home to make it 4-0!
  • 77' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 77.
  • 80' Luis Muriel has so much to prove this time. He replaces Josip Ilicic on 80 minute.
  • 83' Luis Muriel doubles the advantage! 5-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 84' A tactical swap from AC MilanSamu Castillejo on, Suso off on 84 minutes.
  • 88' Atalanta BC make a change. Alejandro Gomez trudges off to be replaced by Remo Freuler on 88 minutes.
  • 89' Hans Hateboer is replacing Robin Gosens for the Atalanta BC side.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.54 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC53% Draw30% AC Milan17%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
83%
Draw or AC Milan
47%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC35% Draw55% AC Milan10%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
19.6%
0 – 0
18.2%
2 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.1%
2 – 2
2%
4 – 0
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 17% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 28% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 10% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
59%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.