Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia.
- Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alessandro Costanzo
- Referee Fabio Maresca
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Referee Fabrizio Pasqua
- Referee Gianluca Vuoto
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | AC Milan | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Feb | SPAL 2013 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Feb | Cagliari Calcio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jan | AS Roma | H | 3–3 | D |
| 20 Jan | Frosinone Calcio | A | 5–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 6–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb | Atalanta BC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Feb | Cagliari Calcio | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Feb | AS Roma | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | SSC Napoli | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jan | Genoa CFC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Dec | SPAL 2013 | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Atalanta BC | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 59 | Points | 70 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 15 / 14 / 9 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 |
| 51 | Scored | 53 |
| 36 | Conceded | 35 |
| +15 | GD | +18 |
| 1.55 | PPG | 1.84 |
| 39% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Atalanta BC and AC Milan has kicked off!
- 5' Atalanta BC have won 714 goals from 525 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Atalanta BC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' The 37-year-old Etrit Berisha has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Marten de Roon.
- 23' A quiet spell here at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. Atalanta BC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 27' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Suso gets a Yellow card.
- 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 33' Brilliant from the ! Remo Freuler makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 33.
- 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' What composure from Krzysztof Piatek! The Poland international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 46' What a strike from Krzysztof Piatek! The score is 1-2.
- 51' Alessio Romagnoli has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 55' Hakan Calhanoglu doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 59' The Atalanta BC manager makes a substitution. Alejandro Gomez departs to be replaced by Dejan Kulusekvski.
- 61' Brilliant from the ! Krzysztof Piatek makes it 1-4 with a superb finish on 61.
- 65' Robin Gosens is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hans Hateboer at the 65 minute mark.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Patrick Cutrone. He replaces Krzysztof Piatek on 68 minute.
- 73' Atalanta BC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 77' AC Milan make a change. Suso trudges off to be replaced by Samu Castillejo on 77 minutes.
- 78' Atalanta BC make a change. Duvan Zapata trudges off to be replaced by Musa Barrow on 78 minutes.
- 83' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 87' Diego Laxalt is replacing Lucas Paqueta for the AC Milan side.
- 88' Ricardo Rodriguez was booked on 88.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 2
-
33
Hans Hateboer ↓ Robin Gosens 65'
- 21
- 6
- 10
- 11
- 72
- 15
-
91
Duvan Zapata ↓ Musa Barrow 78'
- 19
Bench
- 41
- 95
- 31
- 5
- 23
-
8
Robin Gosens ↑ 65'
-
99
Musa Barrow ↑ 78'
-
44
Dejan Kulusevski ↑ 59'
- 22
- 88
- 7
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
39
Lucas Paqueta ↓ Diego Laxalt 87'
- 99
- 2
- 13
- 68
- 22
- 79
-
8
Suso ↓ Samu Castillejo 77'
- 10
- 14
- 19
Bench
- 90
- 20
- 12
- 18
- 21
- 4
-
63
Patrick Cutrone ↑ 68'
- 11
-
93
Diego Laxalt ↑ 87'
- 16
-
7
Samu Castillejo ↑ 77'
- 35
Coach
Gennaro Gattuso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Josip Ilicic | 3 |
| Duvan Zapata | 3 |
| Ademola Lookman | 3 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Ederson | 2 |
| Krzysztof Piatek | 2 |
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.17
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Atalanta BC or AC Milan 72% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
56%
Draw or AC Milan
72%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 16% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 22% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.