Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
1 – 3
Full Time
Sat 16 Feb 2019 · 19:30 UTC Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia.

Match Details

  • Referee Alessandro Costanzo
  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Fabrizio Pasqua
  • Referee Gianluca Vuoto

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb AC Milan H 1–3 L
10 Feb SPAL 2013 H 2–1 W
04 Feb Cagliari Calcio A 1–0 W
27 Jan AS Roma H 3–3 D
20 Jan Frosinone Calcio A 5–0 W
29 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 6–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Feb Atalanta BC A 3–1 W
10 Feb Cagliari Calcio H 3–0 W
03 Feb AS Roma A 1–1 D
26 Jan SSC Napoli H 0–0 D
21 Jan Genoa CFC A 2–0 W
29 Dec SPAL 2013 H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC AC Milan
#11 Position #5
6 Points 11
5 Played 5
2 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
5 Scored 10
7 Conceded 4
-2 GD +6
1.20 PPG 2.20
40% Win % 60%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Atalanta BC host AC Milan — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Gianluigi Donnarumma, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 18' Marten de Roon has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 18.
  • 23' Etrit Berisha is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
  • 27' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Suso gets a Yellow card.
  • 32' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 33' What composure from Remo Freuler! The Switzerland international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 38' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 43' Atalanta BC is showing some good football. However, Atalanta BC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 45' Against the run of play, Krzysztof Piatek has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' Krzysztof Piatek with the second goal in the match!
  • 51' A quiet spell here at Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. Atalanta BC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 55' What a strike from Hakan Calhanoglu! The score is 1-3.
  • 59' The Atalanta BC bench stirs into life. Alejandro Gomez is withdrawn and Dejan Kulusekvski gets his opportunity.
  • 61' Krzysztof Piatek doubles the advantage! 1-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 65' Fresh legs for Atalanta BC! Robin Gosens comes on to replace Hans Hateboer.
  • 68' AC Milan make a change. Krzysztof Piatek trudges off to be replaced by Patrick Cutrone on 68 minutes.
  • 73' Timothy Castagne needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 77' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Suso by Samu Castillejo on 77 minute.
  • 78' Atalanta BC ring the changes. Duvan Zapata has done his job and it is now time for Musa Barrow to step up.
  • 83' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 87' Diego Laxalt gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Lucas Paqueta and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Ricardo Rodriguez.
  • The final score is 1-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.9 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC20% Draw25% AC Milan55%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
45%
Draw or AC Milan
80%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC14% Draw43% AC Milan43%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.9%
1 – 1
10.7%
0 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 3
7.1%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 1
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
0 – 4
3.5%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 38% — 62%
+1 38% 23% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 19% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
41% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.