Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs SPAL 2013, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
2 1
Full Time
Sat 29 Dec 2018 · 19:30 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SPAL 2013Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Emanuele Prenna
  • Referee Daniele Chiffi
  • Referee Domenico Rocca
  • Referee Rosario Abisso
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec SPAL 2013 H 2–1 W
26 Dec Frosinone Calcio A 0–0 D
22 Dec ACF Fiorentina H 0–1 L
18 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
13 Dec PAE Olympiakos SFP A 1–3 L
09 Dec Torino FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec AC Milan A 1–2 L
26 Dec Udinese Calcio H 0–0 D
22 Dec SSC Napoli A 0–1 L
16 Dec AC Chievo Verona H 0–0 D
09 Dec Genoa CFC A 1–1 D
01 Dec Empoli FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AC Milan host SPAL 2013 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' SPAL 2013 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 13' What a moment for Andrea Petagna! That strike on 13 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 16' What a strike from Samu Castillejo! The score is 1-1.
  • 21' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' SPAL 2013 come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 36' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 41' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Lorenzo Dickmann as he leaves the pitch. Francesco Vicari steps in for SPAL 2013.
  • 51' SPAL 2013 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 51.
  • 53' Another change for SPAL 2013 made on 53 minute. Filippo Costa leaves to be changed by Mohamed Salim Fares.
  • 56' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Samu Castillejo.
  • 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 62' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Davide Calabria is hanging Ignazio Abate on the field on 62 minute.
  • 64' Gonzalo Higuain doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 69' It’s high time Gennaro Gattuso made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for Pasquale Schiattarella. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 73' Poor challenge from Cristian Zapata. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 74' Mirko Valdifiori gets the nod from SPAL 2013. He replaces Pasquale Schiattarella and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Suso.
  • 82' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Fabio Borini comes on to replace Gonzalo Higuain.
  • 87' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 89' It’s gonna be a Red card for Suso.
  • Full Time. AC Milan beats SPAL 2013

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.18 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 SPAL 2013 xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan41% Draw30% SPAL 201329%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
72%
Draw or SPAL 2013
59%
AC Milan or SPAL 2013
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan27% Draw52% SPAL 201321%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.6%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push SPAL 2013 covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
37%
SPAL 2013 keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.