Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs SPAL 2013, Serie A 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2018-19
AC Milan
2 – 1
Full Time
SPAL 2013
Sat 29 Dec 2018 · 19:30 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 51' Jasmin Kurtic
Samu Castillejo 56' Y
Y 70' Pasquale Schiattarella
Cristian Zapata 73' Y
Suso 79' Y
Suso 89' R

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SPAL 2013 — Serie A at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Emanuele Prenna
  • Referee Daniele Chiffi
  • Referee Domenico Rocca
  • Referee Rosario Abisso
  • Referee

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

4
2
4
AC Milan 10 games · Avg 2.3 goals SPAL 2013
Last 5 meetings
2018-12-29 AC Milan 2–1 SPAL 2013 2018-02-18 SPAL 2013 2–1 AC Milan 2017-09-24 AC Milan 0–1 SPAL 2013 2017-03-12 AC Milan 0–1 SPAL 2013 2016-10-23 SPAL 2013 1–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec SPAL 2013 H 2–1 W
26 Dec Frosinone Calcio A 0–0 D
22 Dec ACF Fiorentina H 0–1 L
18 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 0–0 D
13 Dec PAE Olympiakos SFP A 1–3 L
09 Dec Torino FC H 0–0 D
SPAL 2013
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec AC Milan A 1–2 L
26 Dec Udinese Calcio H 0–0 D
22 Dec SSC Napoli A 0–1 L
16 Dec AC Chievo Verona H 0–0 D
09 Dec Genoa CFC A 1–1 D
01 Dec Empoli FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AC Milan host SPAL 2013 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and SPAL 2013 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 13' What a moment for Andrea Petagna! That strike on 13 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 16' Against the run of play, Samu Castillejo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 21' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 26' Gianluigi Donnarumma, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alessio Romagnoli suffering a number of foals already.
  • 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 41' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' Another substitution for SPAL 2013 to replace Lorenzo Dickmann by Francesco Vicari on 46 minute.
  • 51' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Jasmin Kurtic.
  • 53' The supporters are chanting for Mohamed Salim Fares. He replaces Filippo Costa on 53 minute.
  • 56' Samu Castillejo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 56.
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 515 games and scored 600 goals.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Davide Calabria. He replaces Ignazio Abate on 62 minute.
  • 64' The Argentina Gonzalo Higuain breaks the deadlock on 64 minutes. 2-1!
  • 69' Thiago Cionek is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SPAL 2013 tonight.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Pasquale Schiattarella is booked for SPAL 2013 — Yellow card on 70.
  • 73' Poor challenge from Cristian Zapata. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Mirko Valdifiori. He replaces Pasquale Schiattarella on 74 minute.
  • 79' The referee calls foul for Suso. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 82' AC Milan make a change. Gonzalo Higuain trudges off to be replaced by Fabio Borini on 82 minutes.
  • 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 89' That is a Red card for AC Milan. Suso will be fuming at that decision.
  • 2-1 the final result. SPAL 2013 will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gennaro Gattuso

SPAL 2013 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leonardo Semplici

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Francesco Vicari 2
Franck Kessie 2
Rafael Leao 1
Andrea Petagna 1
Gonzalo Higuain 1
Samu Castillejo 1
Mohamed Salim Fares 1
Hakan Calhanoglu 1

Head to Head

2018-12-29 AC Milan 2–1 SPAL 2013 2018-02-18 SPAL 2013 2–1 AC Milan 2017-09-24 AC Milan 0–1 SPAL 2013 2017-03-12 AC Milan 0–1 SPAL 2013 2016-10-23 SPAL 2013 1–1 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2018-12-29 AC Milan 2–1 SPAL 2013 W 2018-12-26 Frosinone Calcio 0–0 AC Milan D 2018-12-22 AC Milan 0–1 ACF Fiorentina L 2018-12-18 Bologna FC 1909 0–0 AC Milan D 2018-12-13 PAE Olympiakos SFP 3–1 AC Milan L 2018-12-09 AC Milan 0–0 Torino FC D

SPAL 2013 Form

2018-12-29 AC Milan 2–1 SPAL 2013 L 2018-12-26 SPAL 2013 0–0 Udinese Calcio D 2018-12-22 SSC Napoli 1–0 SPAL 2013 L 2018-12-16 SPAL 2013 0–0 AC Chievo Verona D 2018-12-09 Genoa CFC 1–1 SPAL 2013 D 2018-12-01 SPAL 2013 2–2 Empoli FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.18 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 SPAL 2013 xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan41% Draw30% SPAL 201329%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
72%
Draw or SPAL 2013
59%
AC Milan or SPAL 2013
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan27% Draw52% SPAL 201321%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.6%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push SPAL 2013 covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
SPAL 2013 keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.