Saturday , 14 November 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sun 11 May 2025 · 11:00 UTC St James' Park 52,231 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sandro Tonali 2' 1–0
Bruno Guimaraes 90' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Chelsea FC — Premier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
9 games this season 🟨 4.9/game ⚽ 13.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Chelsea FC H 2–0 W
04 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
26 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 3–0 W
19 Apr Aston Villa FC A 1–4 L
16 Apr Crystal Palace FC H 5–0 W
13 Apr Manchester United FC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
04 May Liverpool FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr Everton FC H 1–0 W
20 Apr Fulham FC A 2–1 W
13 Apr Ipswich Town FC H 2–2 D
06 Apr Brentford FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Newcastle United FC Chelsea FC
#12 Position #5
12 Points 16
10 Played 10
3 / 3 / 4 W / D / L 5 / 1 / 4
13 Scored 19
16 Conceded 16
-3 GD +3
1.20 PPG 1.60
30% Win % 50%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Newcastle United FC are 12th (12 pts). Chelsea FC are 5th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chelsea FC
0-15
7/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Harvey Barnes 2 G 2 A
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A
Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 5 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 5 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 3 G 3 A
Pedro Neto 3 G 1 A
Jordan Henderson 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.99 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC50% Draw24% Chelsea FC26%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Chelsea FC
50%
Newcastle United FC or Chelsea FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Newcastle United FC36% Draw41% Chelsea FC23%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 0
5.6%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 1
4%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 20% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✗
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.