Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Aston Villa FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 17:30 UTC Riverside HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 88' Matty Cash

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Aston Villa FCFA Cup at Riverside.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Aston Villa FC H 0–1 L
01 Jan Coventry City FC H 1–3 L
29 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–1 W
26 Dec Rotherham United FC A 0–1 L
23 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–0 W
16 Dec Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
30 Dec Burnley FC H 3–2 W
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
22 Dec Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Brentford FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Aston Villa FC gets underway.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Isaiah Jones has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Aston Villa FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 23' That looks like a foul for a card for Isaiah Jones.
  • 28' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 37' Ezri Konsa was booked on 37.
  • 40' The referee calls foul for Leon Bailey. He receives a card.
  • 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ollie Watkins made 344 appearances and scored 138 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 50' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matt Clarke, as he is very good at scoring at Riverside with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Jonny Howson. He replaces Hayden Hackney on 59 minute.
  • 64' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 64 minutes.
  • 69' Ollie Watkins has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jhon Duran on 69 minute.
  • 70' Another change for Aston Villa FC made on 70 minute. Leon Bailey leaves to be changed by Nicolo Zaniolo.
  • 74' It’s a booking for Aston Villa FC player. Matty Cash gets a card.
  • 79' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolo Zaniolo on 80.
  • 82' Clement Lenglet is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
  • 83' Middlesbrough FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alex Gilbert is hanging Daniel Barlaser on the field on 83 minute.
  • 88' What a strike from Matty Cash! The score is 0-1.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.94 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC25% Draw29% Aston Villa FC46%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
75%
Middlesbrough FC or Aston Villa FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC17% Draw49% Aston Villa FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 24% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.