Sunday , 16 August 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Aston Villa FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 17:30 UTC Riverside HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 88' Matty Cash

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Aston Villa FCFA Cup at Riverside.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Aston Villa FC H 0–1 L
01 Jan Coventry City FC H 1–3 L
29 Dec Huddersfield Town AFC A 2–1 W
26 Dec Rotherham United FC A 0–1 L
23 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–0 W
16 Dec Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Middlesbrough FC A 1–0 W
30 Dec Burnley FC H 3–2 W
26 Dec Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
22 Dec Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D
17 Dec Brentford FC A 2–1 W
09 Dec Arsenal FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Middlesbrough FC get us underway at Riverside.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jhon Duran is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Middlesbrough FC.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Middlesbrough FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 23' A moment of madness from Isaiah Jones on 23 minutes earns him a card. Middlesbrough FC will be frustrated.
  • 28' Middlesbrough FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 33' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 37' Ezri Konsa was booked on 37.
  • 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Leon Bailey.
  • 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 383 games and scored 467 goals.
  • 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Carrick will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 59' The crowd applauds Hayden Hackney as he leaves the pitch. Jonny Howson steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
  • 64' It looks surprising Middlesbrough FC does not make any changes. Morgan Rogers has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 69' Jhon Duran makes way for Ollie Watkins at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
  • 70' Nicolo Zaniolo is replacing Leon Bailey for the Aston Villa FC side.
  • 74' Aston Villa FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 79' The home supporters are growing impatient. Middlesbrough FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 80' A moment of madness from Nicolo Zaniolo on 80 minutes earns him a card. Aston Villa FC will be frustrated.
  • 82' That is a card for Aston Villa FC. Clement Lenglet will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' Middlesbrough FC ring the changes. Daniel Barlaser has done his job and it is now time for Alex Gilbert to step up.
  • 88' Magnificent from Matty Cash! That is 21 goals in 372 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.94 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC25% Draw29% Aston Villa FC46%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
75%
Middlesbrough FC or Aston Villa FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC17% Draw49% Aston Villa FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 24% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.