Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Newcastle United FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sunderland AFC
0 – 3
Full Time
Newcastle United FC
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 12:45 UTC Stadium of Light HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 35' Daniel Ballard og
0–2 46' Alexander Isak
0–3 90' Alexander Isak pen
Trai Hume 39' Y
Alex Pritchard 61' Y
Y 66' Anthony Gordon
Y 72' Bruno Guimaraes
Luke O'Nien 78' Y
Daniel Ballard 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Newcastle United FC — FA Cup at Stadium of Light.

Head-to-Head

2
1
Sunderland AFC 3 games · Avg 2.3 goals Newcastle United FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-01-06 Sunderland AFC 0–3 Newcastle United FC

Recent Form

Sunderland AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Newcastle United FC H 0–3 L
01 Jan Preston North End FC H 2–0 W
29 Dec Rotherham United FC A 1–1 D
26 Dec Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
23 Dec Coventry City FC H 0–3 L
16 Dec Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
Newcastle United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Sunderland AFC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–4 L
26 Dec Nottingham Forest FC H 1–3 L
23 Dec Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
16 Dec Fulham FC H 3–0 W
13 Dec AC Milan H 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Stadium of Light as Sunderland AFC face off against Newcastle United FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Newcastle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sunderland AFC and Newcastle United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' Newcastle United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Stadium of Light. Sunderland AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' Sunderland AFC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' Sunderland AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Newcastle United FC backline.
  • 35' Daniel Ballard makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Sunderland AFC are in front.
  • 39' Sunderland AFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 39.
  • 44' Kieran Trippier has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 395 appearances.
  • 46' What composure from Alexander Isak! The Sweden international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 47' Time for substitution for Newcastle United FC. Joelinton is replaced by Lewis Miley.
  • 52' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sunderland AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 61' The referee has no hesitation. Alex Pritchard is booked for Sunderland AFC — card on 61.
  • 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Anthony Gordon.
  • 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sunderland AFC that had 377 games and scored 490 goals.
  • 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Bruno Guimaraes.
  • 77' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 78' Sunderland AFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
  • 83' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 83 minutes.
  • 85' A change in the Sunderland AFC ranks — Nazarii Rusyn exits the field as Abdoullah Ba enters on 85.
  • 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Daniel Ballard on 88.
  • 90' Against the run of play, Alexander Isak has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Newcastle United FC. Fabian Schar is replaced by Jamaal Lascelles.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Sunderland AFC.

Lineups

Sunderland AFC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Beale

Newcastle United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Eddie Howe

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC26% Draw27% Newcastle United FC47%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
53%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
74%
Sunderland AFC or Newcastle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC17% Draw45% Newcastle United FC38%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 23% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.