Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Newcastle United FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 12:45 UTC Stadium of Light HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 35' Daniel Ballard og
0–2 46' Alexander Isak
0–3 90' Alexander Isak pen

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Newcastle United FCFA Cup at Stadium of Light.

Head-to-Head

2
1
Sunderland AFC 3 games · Avg 2.3 goals Newcastle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Newcastle United FC H 0–3 L
01 Jan Preston North End FC H 2–0 W
29 Dec Rotherham United FC A 1–1 D
26 Dec Hull City AFC A 1–0 W
23 Dec Coventry City FC H 0–3 L
16 Dec Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan Sunderland AFC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Liverpool FC A 2–4 L
26 Dec Nottingham Forest FC H 1–3 L
23 Dec Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
16 Dec Fulham FC H 3–0 W
13 Dec AC Milan H 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Sunderland AFC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Harvey Barnes 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Stadium of Light. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Sunderland AFC and Newcastle United FC.
  • 5' Newcastle United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Stadium of Light. Newcastle United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' Sunderland AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 35' What composure from Daniel Ballard! The Northern Ireland international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 39' The referee calls foul for Trai Hume. He receives a card.
  • 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' Alexander Isak is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 47' Another substitution for Newcastle United FC to replace Joelinton by Lewis Miley on 47 minute.
  • 52' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 57' Paul Dummett has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 61' That is a card for Sunderland AFC. Alex Pritchard will be fuming at that decision.
  • 66' The referee calls foul for Anthony Gordon. He receives a card.
  • 71' Newcastle United FC is showing some good football. However, Newcastle United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 72' The referee shows Newcastle United FC player a card on 72.
  • 77' It is a cagey affair so far. Sunderland AFC in their trying to find a way past Newcastle United FC's compact .
  • 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luke O'Nien.
  • 83' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sunderland AFC and Newcastle United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 85' Sunderland AFC make a change. Nazarii Rusyn trudges off to be replaced by Abdoullah Ba on 85 minutes.
  • 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Daniel Ballard on 88.
  • 90' Against the run of play, Alexander Isak has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' Jamaal Lascelles has so much to prove this time. He replaces Fabian Schar on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC26% Draw27% Newcastle United FC47%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
53%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
74%
Sunderland AFC or Newcastle United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC17% Draw45% Newcastle United FC38%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
5.5%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 47% 53%
+1 47% 23% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
18%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.