Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Luton Town FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
John McGinn 17' 1–0
Moussa Diaby 49' 2–0
Tom Lockyer og 62' 3–0
3–1 83' Emiliano Martinez og

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Luton Town FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
5 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 13.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
Aston Villa FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
22 Oct West Ham United FC H 4–1 W
08 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 6–1 W
24 Sep Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
16 Sep Crystal Palace FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–3 L
21 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 2–2 D
07 Oct Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Burnley FC H 1–2 L
30 Sep Everton FC A 2–1 W
23 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Aston Villa FC and Luton Town FC is underway.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Luton Town FC's compact 5-3-2.
  • 17' A stunning finish from John McGinn — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 22' The home supporters are growing impatient. Aston Villa FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 27' Issa Kabore has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 28' Nicolo Zaniolo was booked on 28.
  • 33' It looks like no one’s ball. Aston Villa FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 38' The energy levels are beginning to show. Unai Emery might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' The whistle greets Nicolo Zaniolo as he departs to be replaced by Leon Bailey.
  • 49' What a moment for Moussa Diaby! That strike on 49 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 51' Matty Cash is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
  • 53' The referee shows Luton Town FC player a Yellow card on 53.
  • 57' Luton Town FC make a change. Gabriel Osho trudges off to be replaced by Andros Townsend on 57 minutes.
  • 58' The Luton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Jacob Brown departs to be replaced by Tahith Chong.
  • 62' GOAL! Tom Lockyer fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 63' GOAL! Tom Lockyer scores on 63.
  • 68' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Boubacar Kamara on 71.
  • 75' Controversy at the stadium! Alfie Doughty argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Marvelous Nakamba as he leaves the pitch. Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu steps in for Luton Town FC.
  • 79' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Alfie Doughty exits the field as Ryan John Giles enters on 79.
  • 83' Sensational shot from Emiliano Martinez. Aston Villa FC is back in the lead.
  • 88' Luton Town FC have won 477 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 89' Douglas Luiz makes way for Leander Dendoncker at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
  • 90' The whistle greets Moussa Diaby as he departs to be replaced by Bertrand Traore.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.23 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Aston Villa FC to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC61% Draw21% Luton Town FC18%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Luton Town FC
39%
Aston Villa FC or Luton Town FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC44% Draw40% Luton Town FC16%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.5%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.