Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 PROMOTION PLAY OFFS FINAL
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Aston Villa FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Paul Tierney
- Referee Ian Hussin
- Referee Chris Kavanagh
- Referee Adrian Holmes
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 May | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 May | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 May | Norwich City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Leeds United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May | Aston Villa FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 May | Leeds United FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 11 May | Leeds United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 May | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 01 May | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Bristol City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Aston Villa FC and Derby County FC.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jayden Bogle suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Conor Hourihane has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 28' The referee calls foul for Anwar El Ghazi. He receives a Yellow card.
- 33' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jed Steer, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
- 43' Richard Keogh needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 44' GOAL! Anwar El Ghazi scores on 44. Assisted by Ahmed El Mohamady
- 47' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Mason Bennett gets a Yellow card.
- 48' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Conor Hourihane.
- 51' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Fikayo Tomori gets a Yellow card.
- 56' Aston Villa FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 59' What a strike from John McGinn! The score is 2-0.
- 63' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Tom Huddlestone by Jack Marriott on 63 minute.
- 68' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 69' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Mason Bennett departs to be replaced by Martyn Waghorn.
- 73' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Albert Adomah departs to be replaced by Andre Green.
- 78' Mason Mount has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 81' Goal! Martyn Waghorn scores his 40 goal in 385 matches.
- 86' Aston Villa FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kortney Hause is hanging Tyrone Mings on the field on 86 minute.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Harry Wilson on 90.
- Another three points for Aston Villa FC.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
40
Tyrone Mings ↓ Kortney Hause 86'
- 18
- 27
- 3
- 4
- 10
-
37
Albert Adomah ↓ Andre Green 73'
- 14
- 22
- 7
- 12
Bench
-
19
Andre Green ↑ 73'
-
30
Kortney Hause ↑ 86'
- 15
- 8
- 6
- 26
- 28
Coach
Dean Smith
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 6
- 37
- 15
-
44
Tom Huddlestone ↓ Jack Marriott 63'
- 10
-
20
Mason Bennett ↓ Martyn Waghorn 69'
- 8
- 5
- 7
- 26
Bench
- 1
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↑ 69'
- 17
-
11
Florian Jozefzoon ↑ 73'
-
14
Jack Marriott ↑ 63'
- 39
- 50
Coach
Frank Lampard
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Conor Hourihane | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 2 |
| John McGinn | 2 |
| Jack Grealish | 1 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 1 |
| Anwar El Ghazi | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2019-05-27
Aston Villa FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2019-05-15
Leeds United FC
2–4
Derby County FC
W
2019-05-11
Derby County FC
0–1
Leeds United FC
L
2019-05-05
Derby County FC
3–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
2019-05-01
Swansea City AFC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2019-04-27
Bristol City FC
0–2
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
47%
Aston Villa FC or Derby County FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 22% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.