Sunday , 15 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 PROMOTION PLAY OFFS FINAL

Championship · 2018-19
Mon 27 May 2019 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Referee Ian Hussin
  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
  • Referee Adrian Holmes
6 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 May Derby County FC H 2–1 W
14 May West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–1 L
11 May West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
05 May Norwich City FC H 1–2 L
28 Apr Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
22 Apr Millwall FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 May Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
15 May Leeds United FC A 4–2 W
11 May Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
05 May West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–1 W
01 May Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Bristol City FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Aston Villa FC launch into their encounter with Derby County FC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from John McGinn, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 15' Aston Villa FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Axel Tuanzebe is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 28' It’s a booking for Aston Villa FC player. Anwar El Ghazi gets a Yellow card.
  • 33' Aston Villa FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 43' A quiet spell here at . Aston Villa FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 44' A stunning finish from Anwar El Ghazi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 47' Mason Bennett is having his name booked by the referee on 47.
  • 48' Conor Hourihane has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 48.
  • 51' Fikayo Tomori has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 51.
  • 56' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Ahmed El Mohamady has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 59' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. John McGinn makes it 2-0.
  • 63' Jack Marriott is replacing Tom Huddlestone for the Derby County FC side.
  • 68' Over 68 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 69' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Martyn Waghorn comes on to replace Mason Bennett.
  • 73' The whistle greets Albert Adomah as he departs to be replaced by Andre Green.
  • 78' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 81' What a strike from Martyn Waghorn! The score is 2-1.
  • 86' The Aston Villa FC bench stirs into life. Tyrone Mings is withdrawn and Kortney Hause gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Harry Wilson on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Aston Villa FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC53% Draw25% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
47%
Aston Villa FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC37% Draw45% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.