Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Villa Park.
- Aston Villa FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Referee Lee Mason
- Referee Harry Lennard
- Referee Ian Hussin
7 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Feb | Brentford FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 02 Feb | Reading FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Aston Villa FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Feb | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Villa Park!
- 5' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
- 9' What a strike from Conor Hourihane! The score is 1-0.
- 14' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 19' Over 19 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 23' A moment of madness from George Evans on 23 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- 24' Aston Villa FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 24.
- 29' Harry Wilson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 55 goals in his last 399 appearances.
- 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 37' The England Tammy Abraham breaks the deadlock on 37 minutes. 2-0!
- 42' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 44' GOAL! Conor Hourihane fires home to make it 3-0!
- 45' What a moment for Jack Grealish! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 46' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Ashley Cole is withdrawn and Scott Malone gets his opportunity.
- 47' Jack Grealish adds to his 0 season tally! Aston Villa FC lead 5-0 — and this changes everything.
- 52' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 55' Jayden Bogle is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mason Bennett at the 55 minute mark.
- 60' Kortney Hause has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 60.
- 65' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 67' Fresh legs for Aston Villa FC! Neil Taylor comes on to replace Tommy Elphick.
- 71' Tom Carroll has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jack Grealish on 71 minute.
- 72' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Duane Holmes on 72 minutes.
- 77' It looks like no one’s ball. Aston Villa FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 80' Aston Villa FC make a change. Anwar El Ghazi trudges off to be replaced by Andre Green on 80 minutes.
- 85' Derby County FC have won 463 goals from 399 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 90' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Aston Villa FC players.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 40
- 18
- 30
- 27
-
10
Jack Grealish C ↓ Tom Carroll 71'
- 37
- 14
- 6
-
22
Anwar El Ghazi ↓ Andre Green 80'
-
24
Tommy Elphick ↓ Neil Taylor 67'
- 12
Bench
-
19
Andre Green ↑ 80'
-
11
Tom Carroll ↑ 71'
- 15
- 20
-
3
Neil Taylor ↑ 67'
- 26
- 28
Coach
Dean Smith
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 41
-
17
George Evans ↓ Harry Wilson 46'
- 11
- 14
- 23
-
20
Mason Bennett ↓ Jayden Bogle 55'
- 5
-
26
Ashley Cole ↓ Scott Malone 46'
Bench
- 21
-
37
Jayden Bogle ↑ 55'
- 15
- 9
-
46
Scott Malone ↑ 46'
-
7
Harry Wilson ↑ 46'
- 43
Coach
Frank Lampard
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Conor Hourihane | 3 |
| John McGinn | 2 |
| Tammy Abraham | 2 |
| Jack Grealish | 1 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 1 |
| Anwar El Ghazi | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2019-03-02
Aston Villa FC
4–0
Derby County FC
L
2019-02-25
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2019-02-20
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2019-02-16
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2019-02-13
Ipswich Town FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2019-02-09
Derby County FC
2–0
Hull City AFC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Aston Villa FC to win 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Derby County FC
36%
Aston Villa FC or Derby County FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.