Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Villa Park.
- Aston Villa FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matt Donohue
- Referee Lee Mason
- Referee Harry Lennard
- Referee Ian Hussin
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Stoke City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Feb | Brentford FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 02 Feb | Reading FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Aston Villa FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Feb | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Feb | Hull City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Villa Park. Aston Villa FC are looking to make home advantage count against Derby County FC.
- 5' Florian Jozefzoon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Aston Villa FC tonight.
- 9' Conor Hourihane adds to his 0 season tally! Aston Villa FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 14' The home supporters are growing impatient. Aston Villa FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 19' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jayden Bogle suffering a number of foals already.
- 23' The referee has no hesitation. George Evans is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 23.
- 24' Conor Hourihane was booked on 24.
- 29' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 34' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 37' A stunning finish from Tammy Abraham — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 44' Conor Hourihane with the second goal in the match!
- 45' What a strike from Jack Grealish! The score is 4-0.
- 46' Scott Malone is replacing Ashley Cole for the Derby County FC side.
- 47' Jack Grealish does the damage! The net is bulging and Aston Villa FC surge ahead!
- 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 55' The supporters are chanting for Jayden Bogle. He replaces Mason Bennett on 55 minute.
- 60' Controversy at the stadium! Kortney Hause argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 67' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Tommy Elphick departs to be replaced by Neil Taylor.
- 71' Aston Villa FC make a change. Jack Grealish trudges off to be replaced by Tom Carroll on 71 minutes.
- 72' Poor challenge from Duane Holmes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 77' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Andre Green. He replaces Anwar El Ghazi on 80 minute.
- 85' Aston Villa FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 90' With 0 assists to his name this season, Fikayo Tomori is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
- With this win, Aston Villa FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 40
- 18
- 30
- 27
-
10
Jack Grealish C ↓ Tom Carroll 71'
- 37
- 14
- 6
-
22
Anwar El Ghazi ↓ Andre Green 80'
-
24
Tommy Elphick ↓ Neil Taylor 67'
- 12
Bench
-
19
Andre Green ↑ 80'
-
11
Tom Carroll ↑ 71'
- 15
- 20
-
3
Neil Taylor ↑ 67'
- 26
- 28
Coach
Dean Smith
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 41
-
17
George Evans ↓ Harry Wilson 46'
- 11
- 14
- 23
-
20
Mason Bennett ↓ Jayden Bogle 55'
- 5
-
26
Ashley Cole ↓ Scott Malone 46'
Bench
- 21
-
37
Jayden Bogle ↑ 55'
- 15
- 9
-
46
Scott Malone ↑ 46'
-
7
Harry Wilson ↑ 46'
- 43
Coach
Frank Lampard
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Conor Hourihane | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 2 |
| John McGinn | 2 |
| Jack Grealish | 1 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 1 |
| Anwar El Ghazi | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2019-03-02
Aston Villa FC
4–0
Derby County FC
L
2019-02-25
Nottingham Forest FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2019-02-20
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2019-02-16
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2019-02-13
Ipswich Town FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2019-02-09
Derby County FC
2–0
Hull City AFC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Aston Villa FC to win 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Derby County FC
36%
Aston Villa FC or Derby County FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 24% | 34% |
| -0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.