Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Sat 2 Mar 2019 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
Aston Villa FC 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Derby County FC H 4–0 W
23 Feb Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
16 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–2 L
13 Feb Brentford FC A 0–1 L
08 Feb Sheffield United FC H 3–3 D
02 Feb Reading FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Aston Villa FC A 0–4 L
25 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
20 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
16 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–2 L
13 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
09 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Villa Park. Aston Villa FC are looking to make home advantage count against Derby County FC.
  • 5' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 9' Aston Villa FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Conor Hourihane on 9.
  • 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ashley Cole suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 23' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. George Evans gets a Yellow card.
  • 24' Conor Hourihane was booked on 24.
  • 29' Tommy Elphick is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Aston Villa FC tonight.
  • 34' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 37' Brilliant from the ! Tammy Abraham makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 37.
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 44' Goal! Conor Hourihane scores his 33 goal in 355 matches.
  • 45' Jack Grealish doubles the advantage! 4-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Ashley Cole as he leaves the pitch. Scott Malone steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 47' A stunning finish from Jack Grealish — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 52' The 31-year-old Duane Holmes has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 55' Jayden Bogle is replacing Mason Bennett for the Derby County FC side.
  • 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Kortney Hause.
  • 65' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Tommy Elphick is replaced by Neil Taylor.
  • 71' Tom Carroll is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jack Grealish at the 71 minute mark.
  • 72' Poor challenge from Duane Holmes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 77' Scott Carson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 80' Andre Green is replacing Anwar El Ghazi for the Aston Villa FC side.
  • 85' The home supporters are growing impatient. Aston Villa FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 90' The energy levels are beginning to show. Frank Lampard might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Aston Villa FC and Derby County FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC64% Draw22% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Derby County FC
36%
Aston Villa FC or Derby County FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC47% Draw42% Derby County FC11%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 20% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 24% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
45%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.