Thursday , 1 October 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Sat 2 Mar 2019 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Referee Lee Mason
  • Referee Harry Lennard
  • Referee Ian Hussin
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

3
Aston Villa FC 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Derby County FC H 4–0 W
23 Feb Stoke City FC A 1–1 D
16 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–2 L
13 Feb Brentford FC A 0–1 L
08 Feb Sheffield United FC H 3–3 D
02 Feb Reading FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Aston Villa FC A 0–4 L
25 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 0–1 L
20 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
16 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–2 L
13 Feb Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
09 Feb Hull City AFC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Aston Villa FC gets underway.
  • 5' Aston Villa FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 9' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Conor Hourihane makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 14' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fikayo Tomori made 389 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 19' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 23' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 23.
  • 24' The referee calls foul for Conor Hourihane. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 29' Max Bird has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 34' Both keepers have barely been tested. Aston Villa FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 37' A goal from the England international Tammy Abraham! He fires home on 37 to make it 2-0!
  • 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 44' What composure from Conor Hourihane! The Ireland international strokes it home. 3-0.
  • 45' Jack Grealish adds to his 0 season tally! Aston Villa FC lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 46' Ashley Cole makes way for Scott Malone at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jack Grealish makes it 5-0.
  • 52' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 55' The supporters are chanting for Jayden Bogle. He replaces Mason Bennett on 55 minute.
  • 60' That is a Yellow card for Aston Villa FC. Kortney Hause will be fuming at that decision.
  • 65' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 67' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Tommy Elphick departs to be replaced by Neil Taylor.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Jack Grealish as he leaves the pitch. Tom Carroll steps in for Aston Villa FC.
  • 72' Duane Holmes is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
  • 77' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 80' Anwar El Ghazi makes way for Andre Green at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aston Villa FC.
  • 85' Aston Villa FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 90' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • The points are shared — Aston Villa FC 4-0 Derby County FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC64% Draw22% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Derby County FC
36%
Aston Villa FC or Derby County FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC47% Draw42% Derby County FC11%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 20% 58%
-1.5 42% — 58%
-1 42% 24% 34%
-0.5 66% — 34%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
45% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.