Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Wed 1 May 2019 · 18:45 UTC Liberty Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Liberty Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Mark Jones
  • Referee Peter Bankes
  • Referee Andrew Fox
  • Referee Andy Woolmer

Head-to-Head

5
3
5
Swansea City AFC 13 games · Avg 2.3 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Derby County FC H 1–1 D
27 Apr Hull City AFC H 2–2 D
22 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 1–0 W
19 Apr Rotherham United FC H 4–3 W
13 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–4 L
09 Apr Stoke City FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 May Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Bristol City FC A 2–0 W
22 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
19 Apr Birmingham City FC A 2–2 D
13 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC H 4–0 W
09 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Swansea City AFC Derby County FC
#1 Position #22
17 Points 5
8 Played 8
5 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
13 Scored 7
6 Conceded 14
+7 GD -7
2.13 PPG 0.63
63% Win % 13%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Swansea City AFC
Adam Idah 3 G 1 A
Ji-sung Eom 2 G 2 A
Joseph Opoku 2 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.86 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC52% Draw26% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
77%
Draw or Derby County FC
48%
Swansea City AFC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC40% Draw44% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 23% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.