Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Aston Villa FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Sat 10 Nov 2018 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Aston Villa FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Lee Venamore
  • Referee John Brooks
  • Referee Philip Dermott
  • Referee Tony Harrington

Head-to-Head

3
Derby County FC 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Nov Aston Villa FC H 0–3 L
03 Nov Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
27 Oct Middlesbrough FC A 1–1 D
24 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 4–1 W
20 Oct Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
06 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Nov Derby County FC A 3–0 W
02 Nov Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
26 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L
23 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
20 Oct Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
06 Oct Millwall FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Derby County FC and Aston Villa FC.
  • 5' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Frank Lampard will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 17' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Albert Adomah on 17 minutes.
  • 22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
  • 27' Aston Villa FC is showing some good football. However, Aston Villa FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 46' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Neil Taylor has done his job and it is now time for Ahmed El Mohamady to step up.
  • 51' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Mason Bennett is replaced by Florian Jozefzoon on 51 minute.
  • 56' The travelling Aston Villa FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 61' The 29-year-old Harry Wilson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 66' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 70' A change in the Aston Villa FC ranks — Jonathan Kodjia exits the field as Yannick Bolasie enters on 70.
  • 74' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. John McGinn makes it 0-1.
  • 76' John McGinn is having his name booked by the referee on 76.
  • 78' A goal from the England international Tammy Abraham! He fires home on 78 to make it 0-2!
  • 80' The whistle greets Craig Forsyth as he departs to be replaced by David Nugent.
  • 84' The deadlock is broken! Conor Hourihane gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
  • 84' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 84.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Scott Hogan. He replaces Tammy Abraham on 87 minute.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Jack Marriott. He receives a Yellow card.
  • The points are shared — Derby County FC 0-3 Aston Villa FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Aston Villa FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC28% Draw28% Aston Villa FC44%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
72%
Derby County FC or Aston Villa FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC19% Draw46% Aston Villa FC35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 23% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.