Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs Aston Villa FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Sat 10 Nov 2018 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
Derby County FC 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Nov Aston Villa FC H 0–3 L
03 Nov Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
27 Oct Middlesbrough FC A 1–1 D
24 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 4–1 W
20 Oct Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
06 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Nov Derby County FC A 3–0 W
02 Nov Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
26 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L
23 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
20 Oct Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
06 Oct Millwall FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Derby County FC vs Aston Villa FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Aston Villa FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 17' Albert Adomah is having his name booked by the referee on 17.
  • 22' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Jonathan Kodjia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 27' Jayden Bogle is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aston Villa FC so far.
  • 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aston Villa FC backline.
  • 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 46' Ahmed El Mohamady is ready to make an impact after coming on for Neil Taylor at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Mason Bennett is replaced by Florian Jozefzoon.
  • 56' Aston Villa FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 66' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 70' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Jonathan Kodjia by Yannick Bolasie on 70 minute.
  • 74' Aston Villa FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by John McGinn on 74.
  • 76' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for John McGinn.
  • 78' A stunning finish from Tammy Abraham — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for David Nugent. He replaces Craig Forsyth on 80 minute.
  • 84' A stunning finish from Conor Hourihane — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 84' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Aston Villa FC. Tammy Abraham is replaced by Scott Hogan.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Jack Marriott argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • The points are shared — Derby County FC 0-3 Aston Villa FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Aston Villa FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC28% Draw28% Aston Villa FC44%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
72%
Derby County FC or Aston Villa FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC19% Draw46% Aston Villa FC35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 23% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.