Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Aston Villa FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Sat 10 Nov 2018 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Aston Villa FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Lee Venamore
  • Referee John Brooks
  • Referee Philip Dermott
  • Referee Tony Harrington

Head-to-Head

3
Derby County FC 3 games · Avg 3.3 goals Aston Villa FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Nov Aston Villa FC H 0–3 L
03 Nov Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
27 Oct Middlesbrough FC A 1–1 D
24 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 4–1 W
20 Oct Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
06 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Nov Derby County FC A 3–0 W
02 Nov Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
26 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–1 L
23 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–2 L
20 Oct Swansea City AFC H 1–0 W
06 Oct Millwall FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Aston Villa FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' Scott Hogan is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
  • 15' It looks surprising Aston Villa FC does not make any changes. Harry Wilson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 17' The referee calls foul for Albert Adomah. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 22' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Neil Taylor suffering a number of foals already.
  • 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 32' Aston Villa FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 37' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Dean Smith will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 42' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' Ahmed El Mohamady has so much to prove this time. He replaces Neil Taylor on 46 minute.
  • 51' Florian Jozefzoon gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Mason Bennett and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 56' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aston Villa FC backline.
  • 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Aston Villa FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 66' Aston Villa FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 70' The crowd applauds Jonathan Kodjia as he leaves the pitch. Yannick Bolasie steps in for Aston Villa FC.
  • 74' Brilliant from the ! John McGinn makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 74.
  • 76' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for John McGinn.
  • 78' Tammy Abraham adds to his 0 season tally! Aston Villa FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 80' David Nugent is replacing Craig Forsyth for the Derby County FC side.
  • 84' The deadlock is broken! Conor Hourihane gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
  • 84' The referee calls foul for Tom Huddlestone. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 87' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Tammy Abraham is replaced by Scott Hogan on 87 minute.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jack Marriott on 90 minutes.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Aston Villa FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC28% Draw28% Aston Villa FC44%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
72%
Derby County FC or Aston Villa FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC19% Draw46% Aston Villa FC35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
10.1%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 23% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.