Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 PROMOTION PLAY OFFS FINAL
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Aston Villa FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Paul Tierney
- Referee Ian Hussin
- Referee Chris Kavanagh
- Referee Adrian Holmes
4 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 8.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May | Derby County FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 May | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 May | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 May | Norwich City FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Leeds United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May | Aston Villa FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 May | Leeds United FC | A | 4–2 | W |
| 11 May | Leeds United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 May | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 01 May | Swansea City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | Bristol City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at . Aston Villa FC are looking to make home advantage count against Derby County FC.
- 5' Tyrone Mings needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Aston Villa FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 25' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 28' Anwar El Ghazi was booked on 28.
- 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 38' Axel Tuanzebe, a Congo DR defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 44' Anwar El Ghazi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 44 minutes.
- 47' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Mason Bennett gets a Yellow card.
- 48' The referee shows Aston Villa FC player a Yellow card on 48.
- 51' The referee has no hesitation. Fikayo Tomori is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 51.
- 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dean Smith might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 59' The deadlock is broken! John McGinn gets on the scoresheet on 59 minutes.
- 63' Tom Huddlestone makes way for Jack Marriott at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
- 68' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 69' The whistle greets Mason Bennett as he departs to be replaced by Martyn Waghorn.
- 73' Aston Villa FC make a change. Albert Adomah trudges off to be replaced by Andre Green on 73 minutes.
- 78' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 81' A goal from the England international Martyn Waghorn! He fires home on 81 to make it 2-1!
- 86' The crowd applauds Tyrone Mings as he leaves the pitch. Kortney Hause steps in for Aston Villa FC.
- 90' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 90.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Aston Villa FC 2-1 Derby County FC.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
40
Tyrone Mings ↓ Kortney Hause 86'
- 18
- 27
- 3
- 4
- 10
-
37
Albert Adomah ↓ Andre Green 73'
- 14
- 22
- 7
- 12
Bench
-
19
Andre Green ↑ 73'
-
30
Kortney Hause ↑ 86'
- 15
- 8
- 6
- 26
- 28
Coach
Dean Smith
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 6
- 37
- 15
-
44
Tom Huddlestone ↓ Jack Marriott 63'
- 10
-
20
Mason Bennett ↓ Martyn Waghorn 69'
- 8
- 5
- 7
- 26
Bench
- 1
-
9
Martyn Waghorn ↑ 69'
- 17
-
11
Florian Jozefzoon ↑ 73'
-
14
Jack Marriott ↑ 63'
- 39
- 50
Coach
Frank Lampard
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Conor Hourihane | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 2 |
| John McGinn | 2 |
| Jack Grealish | 1 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 1 |
| Anwar El Ghazi | 1 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2019-05-27
Aston Villa FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2019-05-15
Leeds United FC
2–4
Derby County FC
W
2019-05-11
Derby County FC
0–1
Leeds United FC
L
2019-05-05
Derby County FC
3–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
2019-05-01
Swansea City AFC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2019-04-27
Bristol City FC
0–2
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
47%
Aston Villa FC or Derby County FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Aston Villa FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 22% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.