Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2018-19 PROMOTION PLAY OFFS FINAL

Championship · 2018-19
Mon 27 May 2019 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 May Derby County FC H 2–1 W
14 May West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–1 L
11 May West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
05 May Norwich City FC H 1–2 L
28 Apr Leeds United FC A 1–1 D
22 Apr Millwall FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 May Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
15 May Leeds United FC A 4–2 W
11 May Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
05 May West Bromwich Albion FC H 3–1 W
01 May Swansea City AFC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Bristol City FC A 2–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Aston Villa FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
  • 20' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' Aston Villa FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 28' The referee calls foul for Anwar El Ghazi. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ashley Cole, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Fikayo Tomori suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' Anwar El Ghazi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 47' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Mason Bennett.
  • 48' The referee shows Aston Villa FC player a Yellow card on 48.
  • 51' Controversy at the stadium! Fikayo Tomori argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 56' Jack Marriott needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 59' John McGinn adds to his 3 season tally! Aston Villa FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 63' The whistle greets Tom Huddlestone as he departs to be replaced by Jack Marriott.
  • 68' The home supporters are growing impatient. Aston Villa FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 69' Martyn Waghorn gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Mason Bennett and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Albert Adomah is replaced by Andre Green on 73 minute.
  • 78' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 81' Against the run of play, Martyn Waghorn has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 86' Kortney Hause is replacing Tyrone Mings for the Aston Villa FC side.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Derby County FC player. Harry Wilson gets a Yellow card.
  • 2-1 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC53% Draw25% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
47%
Aston Villa FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC37% Draw45% Derby County FC18%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.