Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Burnley FC H 2–1 W
02 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–0 W
28 Sep Fulham FC H 3–1 W
25 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 1–0 W
21 Sep Sunderland AFC A 1–1 D
13 Sep Everton FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
27 Sep Manchester City FC A 1–5 L
20 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
30 Aug Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Burnley FC
#11 Position #2
0 Points 22
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 10 / 24
0 Scored 38
0 Conceded 75
+0 GD -37
PPG 0.58
Win % 11%

Key Stats

90% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Burnley FC kicks off things out of here…
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Aston Villa FC take all three points.

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.33 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC59% Draw28% Burnley FC13%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Burnley FC
41%
Aston Villa FC or Burnley FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC35% Draw54% Burnley FC11%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
19.1%
0 – 0
17.5%
2 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.1%
0 – 2
2.1%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 17% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 28% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 11% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
58%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.