Thursday , 2 July 2026

Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
3 1
Full Time
Sat 11 Nov 2023 · 15:00 UTC Emirates Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Leandro Trossard 45+1' 1–0
1–1 54' Josh Brownhill
William Saliba 57' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Burnley FCPremier League at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
19 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 9.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Burnley FC H 3–1 W
08 Nov Sevilla FC H 2–0 W
04 Nov Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L
28 Oct Sheffield United FC H 5–0 W
24 Oct Sevilla FC A 2–1 W
21 Oct Chelsea FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Nov Arsenal FC A 1–3 L
04 Nov Crystal Palace FC H 0–2 L
28 Oct AFC Bournemouth A 1–2 L
21 Oct Brentford FC A 0–3 L
07 Oct Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
03 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Burnley FC
#8 Position #2
0 Points 22
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 10 / 24
0 Scored 38
0 Conceded 75
+0 GD -37
PPG 0.58
Win % 11%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Arsenal FC are 8th (0 pts). Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Arsenal FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The travelling Burnley FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Arsenal FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Louis Beyer suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mikel Arteta might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Burnley FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' Jay Rodriguez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 46' The deadlock is broken! Leandro Trossard gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Michael Obafemi, as he is very good at scoring at Emirates Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 54' The England Josh Brownhill breaks the deadlock on 54 minutes. 1-1!
  • 57' A goal from the France international William Saliba! He fires home on 57 to make it 2-1!
  • 59' The Arsenal FC manager makes a substitution. Kai Havertz departs to be replaced by Fabio Vieira.
  • 64' It is a cagey affair so far. Arsenal FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Burnley FC's compact 4-4-2.
  • 69' Arsenal FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Burnley FC's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 74' Oleksandr Zinchenko makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Arsenal FC are in front.
  • 79' Martinelli needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 80' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Zeki Amdouni departs to be replaced by Aaron Ramsey.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Bukayo Saka as he leaves the pitch. Reiss Nelson steps in for Arsenal FC.
  • 83' Fabio Vieira is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Josh Brownhill is replaced by Michael Obafemi on 85 minute.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Vitinho is replaced by Wilson Odobert.
  • 89' Jakub Kiwior gets the nod from Arsenal FC. He replaces Martinelli and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Burnley FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.09 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.33 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Under — clean sheet likely 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC56% Draw32% Burnley FC12%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes21% 0% No79%
Avg goals/match: 1.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
88%
Draw or Burnley FC
44%
Arsenal FC or Burnley FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC32% Draw62% Burnley FC6%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.5%
1 – 0
25%
2 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
9.4%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
1.4%
4 – 0
1.4%
0 – 2
1.1%
2 – 2
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 16% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 31% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 8% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
72%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.