Saturday , 14 November 2026

Luton Town FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 5 Dec 2023 · 20:15 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Martinelli
Gabriel Osho 25' 1–1
1–2 45' Gabriel Jesus
Elijah Adebayo 49' 2–2
Ross Barkley 57' 3–2
3–3 60' Kai Havertz
3–4 90+7' Declan Rice

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Arsenal FC — Premier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Harry Lennard
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton
7 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 14.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Luton Town FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Arsenal FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec Arsenal FC H 3–4 L
02 Dec Brentford FC A 1–3 L
25 Nov Crystal Palace FC H 2–1 W
11 Nov Manchester United FC A 0–1 L
05 Nov Liverpool FC H 1–1 D
29 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Dec Luton Town FC A 4–3 W
02 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
29 Nov Racing Club de Lens H 6–0 W
25 Nov Brentford FC A 1–0 W
11 Nov Burnley FC H 3–1 W
08 Nov Sevilla FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
70% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
4/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Kenilworth Road. Luton Town FC are looking to make home advantage count against Arsenal FC.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Luton Town FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' Magnificent from Martinelli! That is 66 goals in 81 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 25' The deadlock is broken! Gabriel Osho gets on the scoresheet on 25 minutes.
  • 30' Ross Barkley has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 33' That is a Yellow card for Luton Town FC. Jacob Brown will be fuming at that decision.
  • 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Luton Town FC and Arsenal FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 43' It looks surprising Arsenal FC does not make any changes. Elijah Adebayo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 44' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Ross Barkley gets a Yellow card.
  • 45' Gabriel Jesus is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the forward.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Arsenal FC player. Gabriel Jesus gets a Yellow card.
  • 49' Against the run of play, Elijah Adebayo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 54' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rob Edwards will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' Ross Barkley doubles the advantage! 3-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 60' What a strike from Kai Havertz! The score is 3-3.
  • 61' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Elijah Adebayo exits the field as Carlton Morris enters on 61.
  • 62' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Andros Townsend is withdrawn and Chiedozie Ogbene gets his opportunity.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Jakub Kiwior as he leaves the pitch. Oleksandr Zinchenko steps in for Arsenal FC.
  • 69' England international Ben White has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
  • 74' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 79' Leandro Trossard has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 84' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 88' Jordan Clark has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pelly-Ruddock Mpanzu on 88 minute.
  • Luton Town FC will have plenty to reflect on. Arsenal FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.89 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Arsenal FC 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC33% Draw23% Arsenal FC44%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Arsenal FC
67%
Luton Town FC or Arsenal FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC28% Draw38% Arsenal FC34%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 1
3.4%
2 – 0
3.3%
3 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 16% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 18% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 13% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.