Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 3 Dec 2023 · 14:00 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Antoine Semenyo 10' 1–0
1–1 20' Leon Bailey
Dominic Solanke 52' 2–1
2–2 90+1' Ollie Watkins

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Vitality Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Bramall
  • Assistant 1 Neil Davies
  • Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)
7 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Aston Villa FC H 2–2 D
25 Nov Sheffield United FC A 3–1 W
11 Nov Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W
04 Nov Manchester City FC A 1–6 L
28 Oct Burnley FC H 2–1 W
21 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 2–2 D
26 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
12 Nov Fulham FC H 3–1 W
05 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
29 Oct Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
22 Oct West Ham United FC H 4–1 W

Season Stats

AFC Bournemouth Aston Villa FC
#7 Position #10
15 Points 13
10 Played 10
4 / 3 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
16 Scored 14
14 Conceded 17
+2 GD -3
1.50 PPG 1.30
40% Win % 30%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

AFC Bournemouth are 7th (15 pts). Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Evanilson 5 G 4 A
Marcus Tavernier 5 G
Alex Scott 1 G
Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth49% Draw24% Aston Villa FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
73%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
51%
AFC Bournemouth or Aston Villa FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth38% Draw41% Aston Villa FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 21% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.