Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 26 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC Villa Park 42,165 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ross Barkley 76' 1–0
1–1 90+6' Evanilson

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs AFC Bournemouth — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Nicholas Hopton
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct AFC Bournemouth H 1–1 D
22 Oct Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
19 Oct Fulham FC A 3–1 W
06 Oct Manchester United FC H 0–0 D
02 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–0 W
29 Sep Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Arsenal FC H 2–0 W
05 Oct Leicester City FC A 0–1 L
30 Sep Southampton FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep Liverpool FC A 0–3 L
14 Sep Chelsea FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC AFC Bournemouth
#16 Position #17
4 Points 3
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 0 / 3 / 2
4 Scored 6
9 Conceded 8
-5 GD -2
0.80 PPG 0.60
20% Win % 0%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). AFC Bournemouth are 17th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Bournemouth
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Marcus Tavernier 3 G
Alex Scott 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC43% Draw28% AFC Bournemouth29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
72%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
57%
Aston Villa FC or AFC Bournemouth
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC28% Draw50% AFC Bournemouth22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.