Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 2 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Villa Park 38,991 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jhon Duran 79' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs FC Bayern MünchenChampions League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Radu Petrescu
  • Assistant 1 Adrian Ghinguleac (Romania)
  • Assistant 2 Mircea Grigoriu
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Aston Villa FC 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals FC Bayern München

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–0 W
29 Sep Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
21 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–1 W
17 Sep BSC Young Boys A 3–0 W
14 Sep Everton FC H 3–2 W
31 Aug Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
28 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D
21 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 5–0 W
17 Sep GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 9–2 W
14 Sep Holstein Kiel A 6–1 W
01 Sep SC Freiburg H 2–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Harry Kane 14 G 2 A
Luis Diaz 7 G 3 A
Michael Olise 5 G 6 A
Lennart Karl 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Villa Park will turn into a battlefield for Aston Villa FC and FC Bayern München.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ollie Watkins made 344 appearances and scored 138 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 21' The referee has no hesitation. Dayot Upamecano is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — card on 21.
  • 26' A quiet spell here at Villa Park. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 27' The supporters are chanting for Leon Bailey. He replaces Jacob Ramsey on 27 minute.
  • 32' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 37' The travelling FC Bayern München supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 42' FC Bayern München started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 42.
  • 46' Jamal Musiala has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kingsley Coman on 46 minute.
  • 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 56' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 60' Aston Villa FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ross Barkley is hanging Amadou Onana on the field on 60 minute.
  • 65' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Unai Emery will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Serge Gnabry.
  • 66' Leroy Sane gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Michael Olise and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' Jhon Duran has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ollie Watkins on 70 minute.
  • 75' Kingsley Coman, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 76' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Joao Palhinha comes on to replace Aleksandar Pavlovic.
  • 79' Assisted by Pau Torres with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jhon Duran makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 84' Harry Kane has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 86' Mathys Tel is ready to make an impact after coming on for Konrad Laimer at the 86 minute mark.
  • 90' Ian Maatsen is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Aston Villa FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or FC Bayern München 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC44% Draw28% FC Bayern München28%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Bayern München
56%
Aston Villa FC or FC Bayern München
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC28% Draw49% FC Bayern München23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
32%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.