Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 2 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Villa Park 38,991 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jhon Duran 79' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs FC Bayern MünchenChampions League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Radu Petrescu
  • Assistant 1 Adrian Ghinguleac (Romania)
  • Assistant 2 Mircea Grigoriu
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 3.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Aston Villa FC 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals FC Bayern München

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–0 W
29 Sep Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
21 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–1 W
17 Sep BSC Young Boys A 3–0 W
14 Sep Everton FC H 3–2 W
31 Aug Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
28 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D
21 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 5–0 W
17 Sep GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 9–2 W
14 Sep Holstein Kiel A 6–1 W
01 Sep SC Freiburg H 2–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Aston Villa FC gets underway.
  • 5' Dayot Upamecano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 10' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Bayern Munchen that had 540 games and scored 1057 goals.
  • 20' It’s high time Vincent Kompany made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 21' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 27' The supporters are chanting for Leon Bailey. He replaces Jacob Ramsey on 27 minute.
  • 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alphonso Davies made 276 appearances and scored 31 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 42' The travelling FC Bayern Munchen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jamal Musiala is hanging Kingsley Coman on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Digne suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Amadou Onana by Ross Barkley on 60 minute.
  • 65' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 66' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 66' The whistle greets Michael Olise as he departs to be replaced by Leroy Sane.
  • 70' The whistle greets Ollie Watkins as he departs to be replaced by Jhon Duran.
  • 75' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 76' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Aleksandar Pavlovic is replaced by Joao Palhinha.
  • 79' What a strike from Jhon Duran! The score is 1-0.
  • 84' FC Bayern Munchen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 86' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Konrad Laimer is replaced by Mathys Tel.
  • 90' Aston Villa FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.3 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or FC Bayern München 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC44% Draw28% FC Bayern München28%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Bayern München
56%
Aston Villa FC or FC Bayern München
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC28% Draw49% FC Bayern München23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
32%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.