Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 29 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–3 | W |
| 03 Jul | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–4 | L |
| 26 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Albirex Niigata launch into their encounter with Sagan Tosu FC.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hikaru Nakahara made 369 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 13' Kosuke Yamazaki puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
- 17' What a moment for Kaito Taniguchi! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
- 22' Over 22 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 32' GOAL! Ayumu Yokoyama fires home to make it 1-2!
- 34' Michael Fitzgerald has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 34.
- 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 43' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yoichi Naganuma on 43.
- 46' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Shota Hino trudges off to be replaced by Yuki Horigome on 46 minutes.
- 51' Yoichi Naganuma adds to his 0 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
- 53' Ayumu Yokoyama is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 58' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' Assisted by Yuzuru Shimada with the perfectly-timed delivery and Michael Fitzgerald makes no mistake. 2-4!
- 63' Kaito Taniguchi makes way for Yuji Ono at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
- 64' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Thomas Deng is replaced by Hayato Inamura.
- 65' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Taichi Kikuchi trudges off to be replaced by Kohei Tezuka on 65 minutes.
- 67' It’s gonna be a card for Danilo.
- 72' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 77' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Albirex Niigata side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 79' Marcelo Ryan makes way for So Kawahara at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
- 84' Soya Fujiwara makes no mistake. The score reads 3-4 and Albirex Niigata are in front.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Katsunori Ueebisu. He replaces Akito Fukuta on 87 minute.
- It finishes all square. Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu FC share the spoils 3-4.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Thomas Deng ↓ Hayato Inamura 64'
- 5
- 20
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Danilo 63'
- 25
- 6
- 31
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↓ Yuji Ono 63'
- 16
- 14
Bench
-
99
Yuji Ono ↑ 63'
-
17
Danilo ↑ 63'
- 18
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 64'
- 40
-
45
Hayato Inamura ↑ 64'
- 23
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
- 6
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ So Kawahara 79'
- 88
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Kohei Tezuka 65'
- 42
- 2
- 13
-
18
Shota Hino ↓ Yuki Horigome 46'
Bench
- 11
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 65'
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 87'
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 79'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 46'
-
5
So Kawahara ↑ 79'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yuji Ono | 2 |
| Kaito Taniguchi | 2 |
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
| Koji Suzuki | 1 |
| Atsushi Kawata | 1 |
| Akito Fukuta | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
2024-07-06
Albirex Niigata
3–4
Sagan Tosu FC
L
2024-06-29
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–1
Albirex Niigata
W
2024-06-26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Albirex Niigata
D
2024-06-22
Albirex Niigata
2–2
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2024-06-16
Kashima Antlers
1–1
Albirex Niigata
D
2024-06-01
FC Machida Zelvia
1–3
Albirex Niigata
W
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
63%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
63%
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 17% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.