Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 29 Jun | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul | Albirex Niigata | A | 4–3 | W |
| 03 Jul | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–4 | L |
| 26 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu FC get this one started.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rikizo Matsuhashi might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 13' A stunning finish from Kosuke Yamazaki — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 17' Kaito Taniguchi adds to his 0 season tally! Albirex Niigata lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 22' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 27' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 32' Sagan Tosu FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ayumu Yokoyama on 32.
- 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Michael Fitzgerald on 34.
- 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 43' The referee calls foul for Yoichi Naganuma. He receives a card.
- 46' Yuki Horigome has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shota Hino on 46 minute.
- 51' Yoichi Naganuma does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
- 53' Ayumu Yokoyama with the second goal in the match!
- 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 61' What a moment for Michael Fitzgerald! That strike on 61 puts his side firmly in control.
- 63' Yuji Ono has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kaito Taniguchi on 63 minute.
- 64' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Thomas Deng departs to be replaced by Hayato Inamura.
- 65' Kohei Tezuka gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Taichi Kikuchi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' A moment of madness from Danilo on 67 minutes earns him a card. Albirex Niigata will be frustrated.
- 72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
- 77' Hiroki Akiyama is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sagan Tosu FC tonight.
- 79' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. So Kawahara is hanging Marcelo Ryan on the field on 79 minute.
- 84' Soya Fujiwara doubles the advantage! 3-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Katsunori Ueebisu. He replaces Akito Fukuta on 87 minute.
- With this win, Sagan Tosu FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
-
3
Thomas Deng ↓ Hayato Inamura 64'
- 5
- 20
-
22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Danilo 63'
- 25
- 6
- 31
- 21
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↓ Yuji Ono 63'
- 16
- 14
Bench
-
99
Yuji Ono ↑ 63'
-
17
Danilo ↑ 63'
- 18
-
33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 64'
- 40
-
45
Hayato Inamura ↑ 64'
- 23
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
- 6
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ So Kawahara 79'
- 88
- 71
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Kohei Tezuka 65'
- 42
- 2
- 13
-
18
Shota Hino ↓ Yuki Horigome 46'
Bench
- 11
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 65'
-
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 87'
-
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 79'
-
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 46'
-
5
So Kawahara ↑ 79'
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ayumu Yokoyama | 2 |
| Yuji Ono | 2 |
| Kaito Taniguchi | 2 |
| Michael Fitzgerald | 1 |
| Soya Fujiwara | 1 |
| Koji Suzuki | 1 |
| Atsushi Kawata | 1 |
| Akito Fukuta | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
2024-07-06
Albirex Niigata
3–4
Sagan Tosu FC
L
2024-06-29
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
0–1
Albirex Niigata
W
2024-06-26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Albirex Niigata
D
2024-06-22
Albirex Niigata
2–2
Kawasaki Frontale
D
2024-06-16
Kashima Antlers
1–1
Albirex Niigata
D
2024-06-01
FC Machida Zelvia
1–3
Albirex Niigata
W
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
63%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
63%
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 17% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.