Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 Vissel Kobe 18 35 2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31 3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30 5 Gamba Osaka 18 28 6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26 7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24 8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23 9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21 10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21 11 Kashima Antlers 18 45 12 FC Tokyo 18 37 13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37 14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28 15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28 16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25 17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20 18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20 19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18 20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 06 Jul Sagan Tosu FC H 3–4 L 29 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–0 W 26 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D 22 Jun Kawasaki Frontale H 2–2 D 16 Jun Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D 01 Jun FC Machida Zelvia A 3–1 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 06 Jul Albirex Niigata A 4–3 W 03 Jul Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–0 W 30 Jun Kashiwa Reysol H 1–4 L 26 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L 22 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–0 W 16 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 0–2 L Key Stats
75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Denka Big Swan Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Albirex Niigata and Sagan Tosu FC.
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 13' Kosuke Yamazaki puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
- 17' GOAL! Kaito Taniguchi scores on 17. Assisted by Yota Komi
- 22' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 32' Goal! Ayumu Yokoyama scores his 6 goal in 262 matches.
- 34' Michael Fitzgerald is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
- 39' Hiroki Akiyama needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Yellow cards this season.
- 43' The referee calls foul for Yoichi Naganuma. He receives a card.
- 46' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuki Horigome is hanging Shota Hino on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Goal! Yoichi Naganuma scores his 12 goal in 313 matches.
- 53' GOAL! Ayumu Yokoyama scores on 53. Assisted by Akito Fukuta
- 58' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 61' GOAL! Michael Fitzgerald scores on 61. Assisted by Yuzuru Shimada
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Yuji Ono. He replaces Kaito Taniguchi on 63 minute.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Hayato Inamura. He replaces Thomas Deng on 64 minute.
- 65' The whistle greets Taichi Kikuchi as he departs to be replaced by Kohei Tezuka.
- 67' That looks like a foul for a card for Danilo.
- 72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
- 77' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 79' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Marcelo Ryan is replaced by So Kawahara.
- 84' What a strike from Soya Fujiwara! The score is 3-4.
- 87' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Akito Fukuta departs to be replaced by Katsunori Ueebisu.
- The final score is 3-4.
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Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
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3
Thomas Deng ↓ Hayato Inamura 64'
- 5
- 20
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22
Eitaro Matsuda ↓ Danilo 63'
- 25
- 6
- 31
- 21
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7
Kaito Taniguchi ↓ Yuji Ono 63'
- 16
- 14
Bench
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99
Yuji Ono ↑ 63'
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17
Danilo ↑ 63'
- 18
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33
Yoshiaki Takagi ↑ 64'
- 40
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45
Hayato Inamura ↑ 64'
- 23
Coach Rikizo MatsuhashiSagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
- 6
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99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ So Kawahara 79'
- 88
- 71
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23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Kohei Tezuka 65'
- 42
- 2
- 13
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18
Shota Hino ↓ Yuki Horigome 46'
Bench
- 11
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7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 65'
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16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 87'
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8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 79'
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21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 46'
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5
So Kawahara ↑ 79'
- 1
Coach Kenta Kawai -
3
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Kaito Taniguchi 2 Ayumu Yokoyama 2 Yuji Ono 2 Yoichi Naganuma 1 Kosuke Yamazaki 1 Michael Fitzgerald 1 Soya Fujiwara 1 Koji Suzuki 1 Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
2024-07-06 Albirex Niigata 3–4 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-29 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Albirex Niigata W 2024-06-26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2024-06-22 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale D 2024-06-16 Kashima Antlers 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2024-06-01 FC Machida Zelvia 1–3 Albirex Niigata WSagan Tosu FC Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.61 Albirex Niigata xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.71 Sagan Tosu FC xGI would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.32Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 95% 5% ± 1.5 84% 16% ± 2.5 63% 37% ± 3.5 42% 58% ± 4.5 24% 76% Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw 63%Draw or Sagan Tosu FC 63%Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC 74%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HTCorrect Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual1 – 1 10.9%1 – 2 8.2%2 – 1 7.7%2 – 2 6.5%0 – 1 5.5%0 – 2 5.3%0 – 0 5.2%1 – 0 5.1%2 – 0 4.7%1 – 3 4.6%3 – 1 4.2%2 – 3 3.8%Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers -2.5 7% — 93% -2 7% 11% 82% -1.5 18% — 82% -1 18% 17% 64% -0.5 36% — 64% +0.5 61% — 39% +1 61% 19% 21% +1.5 79% — 21% +2 79% 12% 9% +2.5 91% — 9% Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet 19% ✓Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet 21% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

