Saturday , 14 November 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Albirex Niigata
3 – 4
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 6 Jul 2024 · 09:30 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Michael Fitzgerald 34' Y
Y 43' Yoichi Naganuma
Danilo 67' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
Albirex Niigata 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-06 Albirex Niigata 3–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata 2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-20 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Albirex Niigata

Recent Form

Albirex Niigata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jul Sagan Tosu FC H 3–4 L
29 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–0 W
26 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
22 Jun Kawasaki Frontale H 2–2 D
16 Jun Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D
01 Jun FC Machida Zelvia A 3–1 W
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jul Albirex Niigata A 4–3 W
03 Jul Yokohama F.Marinos A 1–0 W
30 Jun Kashiwa Reysol H 1–4 L
26 Jun Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
22 Jun Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–0 W
16 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 0–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Albirex Niigata is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Albirex Niigata side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Albirex Niigata must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 13' Against the run of play, Kosuke Yamazaki has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 17' Assisted by Yota Komi with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kaito Taniguchi makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 22' Soya Fujiwara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 11 cards already picked up this season.
  • 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 32' What a moment for Ayumu Yokoyama! That strike on 32 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 34' Michael Fitzgerald picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 43' The referee shows Sagan Tosu FC player a card on 43.
  • 46' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Shota Hino by Yuki Horigome on 46 minute.
  • 51' Goal! Yoichi Naganuma scores his 16 goal in 346 matches.
  • 53' What a moment for Ayumu Yokoyama! That strike on 53 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 58' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Cayman Togashi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 61' The Japan Michael Fitzgerald breaks the deadlock on 61 minutes. 2-4!
  • 63' A change in the Albirex Niigata ranks — Kaito Taniguchi exits the field as Yuji Ono enters on 63.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Thomas Deng is replaced by Hayato Inamura.
  • 65' The whistle greets Taichi Kikuchi as he departs to be replaced by Kohei Tezuka.
  • 67' Danilo was booked on 67.
  • 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 77' Japan international Seiji Kimura has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 79' So Kawahara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcelo Ryan on 79 minute.
  • 84' GOAL! Soya Fujiwara fires home to make it 3-4!
  • 87' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Akito Fukuta trudges off to be replaced by Katsunori Ueebisu on 87 minutes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Albirex Niigata.

Lineups

Albirex Niigata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rikizo Matsuhashi

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kaito Taniguchi 2
Ayumu Yokoyama 2
Yuji Ono 2
Yoichi Naganuma 1
Kosuke Yamazaki 1
Michael Fitzgerald 1
Soya Fujiwara 1
Koji Suzuki 1

Head to Head

2024-07-06 Albirex Niigata 3–4 Sagan Tosu FC 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata 2023-10-21 Albirex Niigata 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-20 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Albirex Niigata

Albirex Niigata Form

2024-07-06 Albirex Niigata 3–4 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-29 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Albirex Niigata W 2024-06-26 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2024-06-22 Albirex Niigata 2–2 Kawasaki Frontale D 2024-06-16 Kashima Antlers 1–1 Albirex Niigata D 2024-06-01 FC Machida Zelvia 1–3 Albirex Niigata W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-07-06 Albirex Niigata 3–4 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-07-03 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-22 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata37% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC37%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
63%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
63%
Albirex Niigata or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata28% Draw42% Sagan Tosu FC30%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.