Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Fri 23 Feb 2024 · 09:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Kashima Antlers H 0–3 L
03 Dec Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
25 Nov Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
11 Nov Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
27 Oct Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
21 Oct Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Nagoya Grampus A 3–0 W
03 Dec Yokohama FC H 2–1 W
24 Nov Kawasaki Frontale A 0–3 L
11 Nov Kashiwa Reysol H 1–1 D
28 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–0 D
21 Oct Vissel Kobe A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Kashima Antlers
#3 Position #11
31 Points 45
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 15 / 0 / 3
46 Scored 40
44 Conceded 20
+2 GD +20
1.72 PPG 2.50
56% Win % 83%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashima Antlers
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/
76+
6/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Toyota Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Kashima Antlers are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 19' Magnificent from Hayato Nakama! That is 17 goals in 411 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 24' It looks surprising Kashima Antlers does not make any changes. Shoma Doi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aleksandar Cavric made 63 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 34' The travelling Kashima Antlers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 39' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ranko Popovic will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' The Kashima Antlers bench stirs into life. Shoma Doi is withdrawn and Tomoya Fujii gets his opportunity.
  • 47' Aleksandar Cavric has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 47 minutes.
  • 52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Katsuhiro Nakayama. He replaces Tojiro Kubo on 60 minute.
  • 62' The Japan Hayato Nakama breaks the deadlock on 62 minutes. 0-3!
  • 65' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Ken Masui comes on to replace Ryuji Izumi.
  • 69' Hidehiro Sugai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kimito Nono at the 69 minute mark.
  • 70' Yuma Suzuki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aleksandar Cavric at the 70 minute mark.
  • 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 80' Haruki Yoshida has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shion Inoue on 80 minute.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Hayato Nakama is replaced by Guilherme Parede.
  • 88' Fresh legs for Kashima Antlers! Shintaro Nago comes on to replace Kei Chinen.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98 Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus25% Draw26% Kashima Antlers49%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
51%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
75%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus18% Draw42% Kashima Antlers40%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
3.7%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 22% 33%
+1.5 67% 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
15%
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.