Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Nagoya Grampus | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | Yokohama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Nov | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kashima Antlers | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 31 | Points | 45 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 15 / 0 / 3 |
| 46 | Scored | 40 |
| 44 | Conceded | 20 |
| +2 | GD | +20 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 56% | Win % | 83% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
61%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/–
76+
6/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Toyota Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Kashima Antlers are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 19' Magnificent from Hayato Nakama! That is 17 goals in 411 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 24' It looks surprising Kashima Antlers does not make any changes. Shoma Doi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aleksandar Cavric made 63 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 34' The travelling Kashima Antlers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 39' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ranko Popovic will be considering his options from the bench.
- 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' The Kashima Antlers bench stirs into life. Shoma Doi is withdrawn and Tomoya Fujii gets his opportunity.
- 47' Aleksandar Cavric has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 47 minutes.
- 52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 57' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 60' The supporters are chanting for Katsuhiro Nakayama. He replaces Tojiro Kubo on 60 minute.
- 62' The Japan Hayato Nakama breaks the deadlock on 62 minutes. 0-3!
- 65' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Ken Masui comes on to replace Ryuji Izumi.
- 69' Hidehiro Sugai is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kimito Nono at the 69 minute mark.
- 70' Yuma Suzuki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aleksandar Cavric at the 70 minute mark.
- 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 80' Haruki Yoshida has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shion Inoue on 80 minute.
- 85' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Hayato Nakama is replaced by Guilherme Parede.
- 88' Fresh legs for Kashima Antlers! Shintaro Nago comes on to replace Kei Chinen.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↓ Masahito Ono 65'
- 2
- 14
- 15
-
10
Patric ↓ Kensuke Nagai 60'
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Ken Masui 65'
- 77
- 20
- 25
-
4
Shion Inoue ↓ Haruki Yoshida 80'
Bench
- 6
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 60'
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 65'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 60'
-
5
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 80'
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 65'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Kashima Antlers Lineups
Starting XI
-
13
Kei Chinen ↓ Shintaro Nago 88'
- 55
- 2
-
8
Shoma Doi ↓ Tomoya Fujii 46'
-
7
Aleksandar Cavric ↓ Yuma Suzuki 70'
- 5
- 14
- 33
- 1
- 25
-
32
Kimito Nono ↓ Hidehiro Sugai 69'
Bench
-
40
Yuma Suzuki ↑ 70'
-
30
Shintaro Nago ↑ 88'
-
77
Guilherme Parede ↑ 85'
-
15
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 46'
- –
- 37
-
16
Hidehiro Sugai ↑ 69'
Coach
Ranko Popovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Nakama | 4 |
| Shoma Doi | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Yuma Suzuki | 2 |
| Homare Tokuda | 2 |
| Tomoya Inukai | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Kashima Antlers Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98
Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
51%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
75%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
3.7%
1 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kashima Antlers covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 22% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

