Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Nagoya Grampus

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Full Time

Kashima Antlers

Fri 23 Feb 2024 · 09:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 25 games · Avg 2.8 goals Kashima Antlers

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Kashima Antlers 2023-08-13 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Kashima Antlers 2023-05-14 Kashima Antlers 2–0 Nagoya Grampus 2022-06-26 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashima Antlers 2022-04-17 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Feb	Kashima Antlers	H	0–3	L
03 Dec	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
25 Nov	Vissel Kobe	A	1–2	L
11 Nov	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L
27 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
21 Oct	Gamba Osaka	A	1–0	W

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Feb	Nagoya Grampus	A	3–0	W
03 Dec	Yokohama FC	H	2–1	W
24 Nov	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–3	L
11 Nov	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–1	D
28 Oct	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–0	D
21 Oct	Vissel Kobe	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus		Kashima Antlers
#3	Position	#11
31	Points	45
18	Played	18
10 / 0 / 8	W / D / L	15 / 0 / 3
46	Scored	40
44	Conceded	20
+2	GD	+20
1.72	PPG	2.50
56%	Win %	83%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

14% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Kashima Antlers

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/5

61-75

3/–

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Kashima Antlers

Leo Ceara	11 G
Aleksandar Cavric	4 G	1 A
Takuya Uchida	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Toyota Stadium as Nagoya Grampus face off against Kashima Antlers in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Kashima Antlers is showing some good football. However, Kashima Antlers are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' Hidehiro Sugai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
15' Kashima Antlers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
19' GOAL! Hayato Nakama fires home to make it 0-1!
24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
29' Kennedy Egbus Mikuni has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
34' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
39' Patric is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
46' Shoma Doi makes way for Tomoya Fujii at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kashima Antlers.
47' What a strike from Aleksandar Cavric! The score is 0-2.
52' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
57' The 25-year-old Kaishu Sano has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
60' Katsuhiro Nakayama gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Tojiro Kubo and will look to change the dynamic.
62' Goal! Hayato Nakama scores his 17 goal in 416 matches.
65' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ken Masui is hanging Ryuji Izumi on the field on 65 minute.
69' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Kimito Nono is replaced by Hidehiro Sugai.
70' A tactical swap from Kashima Antlers — Yuma Suzuki on, Aleksandar Cavric off on 70 minutes.
75' It looks like no one’s ball. Kashima Antlers is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
80' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Shion Inoue is replaced by Haruki Yoshida on 80 minute.
85' Guilherme Parede has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hayato Nakama on 85 minute.
88' The crowd applauds Kei Chinen as he leaves the pitch. Shintaro Nago steps in for Kashima Antlers.
It finishes all square. Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers share the spoils 0-3.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

6
Takuji Yonemoto
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 60'
16
Yohei Takeda
17
Ken Masui ↑ 65'
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 60'
5
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 80'
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 65'

Coach Kenta Hasegawa

Kashima Antlers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

40
Yuma Suzuki ↑ 70'
30
Shintaro Nago ↑ 88'
77
Guilherme Parede ↑ 85'
15
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 46'
–
Taiki Yamada
37
Yuki Kakita
16
Hidehiro Sugai ↑ 69'

Coach Ranko Popović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Hayato Nakama	4
Mateus	3
Shoma Doi	3
Yuma Suzuki	2
Homare Tokuda	2
Tomoya Inukai	2
Takashi Kanai	2
Kei Chinen	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2024-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Kashima Antlers L 2023-12-03 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-11-25 Vissel Kobe 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-11-11 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-10-27 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-10-21 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W

Kashima Antlers Form

2024-02-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–3 Kashima Antlers W 2023-12-03 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Yokohama FC W 2023-11-24 Kawasaki Frontale 3–0 Kashima Antlers L 2023-11-11 Kashima Antlers 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D 2023-10-28 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Urawa Red Diamonds D 2023-10-21 Vissel Kobe 3–1 Kashima Antlers L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.19 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.98 Kashima Antlers xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Nagoya Grampus25% Draw26% Kashima Antlers49%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.17

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

51%

Draw or Kashima Antlers

75%

Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus18% Draw42% Kashima Antlers40%

Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.8%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

8.2%

0 – 1

7.7%

1 – 3

6.2%

0 – 0

5.8%

2 – 1

5.7%

2 – 2

5.6%

0 – 3

Actual

1 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

3.7%

1 – 4

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	13%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	46%	—	54%
+1	46%	22%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	17%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.