Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–3 | L |
| 03 Dec | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Nagoya Grampus | A | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | Yokohama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Nov | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Oct | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kashima Antlers | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 31 | Points | 45 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 15 / 0 / 3 |
| 46 | Scored | 40 |
| 44 | Conceded | 20 |
| +2 | GD | +20 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 56% | Win % | 83% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Toyota Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Kashima Antlers have won 468 goals from 447 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' Shion Inoue, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 19' Assisted by Naomichi Ueda with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hayato Nakama makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 24' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 29' The travelling Kashima Antlers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Koki Anzai suffering a number of foals already.
- 39' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 44' Nagoya Grampus are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' A tactical swap from Kashima Antlers — Tomoya Fujii on, Shoma Doi off on 46 minutes.
- 47' Aleksandar Cavric is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 52' Mitch Langerak has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 57' Hidehiro Sugai has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 447 appearances.
- 60' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Tojiro Kubo is withdrawn and Katsuhiro Nakayama gets his opportunity.
- 62' GOAL! Hayato Nakama scores on 62. Assisted by Aleksandar Cavric
- 65' The whistle greets Ryuji Izumi as he departs to be replaced by Ken Masui.
- 69' Hidehiro Sugai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kimito Nono on 69 minute.
- 70' Fresh legs for Kashima Antlers! Yuma Suzuki comes on to replace Aleksandar Cavric.
- 75' Japan international Yuta Higuchi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 80' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Shion Inoue trudges off to be replaced by Haruki Yoshida on 80 minutes.
- 85' Guilherme Parede has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hayato Nakama on 85 minute.
- 88' Shintaro Nago has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kei Chinen on 88 minute.
- The final score is 0-3.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
66
Ryosuke Yamanaka ↓ Masahito Ono 65'
- 2
- 14
- 15
-
10
Patric ↓ Kensuke Nagai 60'
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Ken Masui 65'
- 77
- 20
- 25
-
4
Shion Inoue ↓ Haruki Yoshida 80'
Bench
- 6
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↑ 60'
- 16
-
17
Ken Masui ↑ 65'
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 60'
-
5
Haruki Yoshida ↑ 80'
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 65'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Kashima Antlers Lineups
Starting XI
-
13
Kei Chinen ↓ Shintaro Nago 88'
- 55
- 2
-
8
Shoma Doi ↓ Tomoya Fujii 46'
-
7
Aleksandar Cavric ↓ Yuma Suzuki 70'
- 5
- 14
- 33
- 1
- 25
-
32
Kimito Nono ↓ Hidehiro Sugai 69'
Bench
-
40
Yuma Suzuki ↑ 70'
-
30
Shintaro Nago ↑ 88'
-
77
Guilherme Parede ↑ 85'
-
15
Tomoya Fujii ↑ 46'
- –
- 37
-
16
Hidehiro Sugai ↑ 69'
Coach
Ranko Popovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Nakama | 4 |
| Shoma Doi | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Kashima Antlers Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98
Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
51%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
75%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
3.7%
1 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kashima Antlers covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 22% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

