Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Jubilo Iwata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Wed 7 Aug 2024 · 10:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Jubilo IwataJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
1
Albirex Niigata 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Jubilo Iwata

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Aug Jubilo Iwata H 2–2 D
20 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W
13 Jul FC Tokyo A 0–2 L
06 Jul Sagan Tosu FC H 3–4 L
29 Jun Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 1–0 W
26 Jun Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Aug Albirex Niigata A 2–2 D
20 Jul Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
14 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 0–5 L
06 Jul Kawasaki Frontale H 2–2 D
30 Jun Urawa Red Diamonds A 0–3 L
26 Jun Tokyo Verdy H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium!
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Jubilo Iwata are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 14' A stunning finish from Eiji Miyamoto — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 19' Jubilo Iwata fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' That looks like a foul for a card for Yuji Ono.
  • 25' Hiroki Yamada catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 25.
  • 27' A goal from the Japan international Hiroki Akiyama! He fires home on 27 to make it 2-0!
  • 32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 37' Jordy Croux has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Kaito Suzuki is booked for Jubilo Iwata — card on 45.
  • 46' Jubilo Iwata ring the changes. Rikiya Uehara has done his job and it is now time for Masaya Matsumoto to step up.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Albirex Niigata side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ryo Germain.
  • 57' Fresh legs for Jubilo Iwata! Yosuke Furukawa comes on to replace Shota Kaneko.
  • 62' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Masaya Matsumoto made 278 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 66' What a moment for Ryo Germain! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 70' Albirex Niigata make a change. Eitaro Matsuda trudges off to be replaced by Danilo on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Jubilo Iwata is showing some good football. However, Jubilo Iwata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 80' Albirex Niigata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hayato Inamura is hanging Yuto Horigome on the field on 80 minute.
  • 85' Michael Fitzgerald has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 439 appearances.
  • 86' The Jubilo Iwata bench stirs into life. Leo Gomes is withdrawn and Ryo Watanabe gets his opportunity.
  • 88' Jubilo Iwata receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.74 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Jubilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Jubilo Iwata 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata44% Draw25% Jubilo Iwata31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
69%
Draw or Jubilo Iwata
56%
Albirex Niigata or Jubilo Iwata
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata32% Draw42% Jubilo Iwata26%
Actual: Albirex Niigata win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Jubilo Iwata covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 19% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
23%
Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.