Wednesday , 4 November 2026

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 10:00 UTC Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kyōto Sanga FC vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA.

Head-to-Head

3
2
Kyoto Sanga FC 5 games · Avg 3.4 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Fagiano Okayama FC H 5–0 W
24 Aug FC Tokyo A 4–0 W
16 Aug Tokyo Verdy H 1–0 W
10 Aug Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
21 Jul Avispa Fukuoka A 2–2 D
05 Jul Albirex Niigata H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–5 L
23 Aug Shonan Bellmare H 1–0 W
17 Aug Kashiwa Reysol H 2–1 W
10 Aug Gamba Osaka A 3–0 W
20 Jul Vissel Kobe H 1–2 L
05 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Kyoto Sanga FC Fagiano Okayama FC
#8 Position #6
23 Points 26
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
32 Scored 41
39 Conceded 46
-7 GD -5
1.28 PPG 1.44
44% Win % 44%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Kyoto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/8
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/4
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Kyoto Sanga FC
Rafael Elias 7 G 3 A
Haruki Arai 4 G
Ryuma Nakano 2 G 1 A
Fagiano Okayama FC
Kota Kawano 3 G
Lucao 1 G 1 A
Noah Browne 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.67 Kyōto Sanga FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kyōto Sanga FC61% Draw20% Fagiano Okayama FC19%
Actual: Kyōto Sanga FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Kyōto Sanga FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
39%
Kyōto Sanga FC or Fagiano Okayama FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Kyōto Sanga FC46% Draw35% Fagiano Okayama FC19%
Actual: Kyōto Sanga FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.6%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Kyōto Sanga FC

Handicap Kyōto Sanga FC covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 17% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 20% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 11% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Kyōto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✗
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.