Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata are looking to make home advantage count against Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Masaya Matsumoto, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 24' Goal! Kazunari Ichimi scores his 12 goal in 403 matches.
- 29' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
- 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 44' Fagiano Okayama FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 47' It’s gonna be a card for Fumiya Hayakawa.
- 52' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Fagiano Okayama FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 56' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Takaya Kimura departs to be replaced by Lucao.
- 61' The whistle greets Yuji Ono as he departs to be replaced by Abdelrahman Saidi.
- 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 67' Eiji Shirai does the damage! The net is bulging and Albirex Niigata surge ahead!
- 72' Albirex Niigata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fagiano Okayama FC's shape.
- 74' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Takuya Shimamura has done his job and it is now time for Motoki Ohara to step up.
- 75' Masaya Matsumoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Haruka Motoyama on 75 minute.
- 76' Fagiano Okayama FC ring the changes. Daichi Tagami has done his job and it is now time for Yoshitake Suzuki to step up.
- 81' Albirex Niigata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 83' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Eiji Miyamoto on 83 minutes.
- 84' Albirex Niigata make a change. Fumiya Hayakawa trudges off to be replaced by Jason Geria on 84 minutes.
- 88' Eiji Miyamoto makes way for Ryo Takeuchi at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kento Hashimoto.
- 90' Kaito Fujii is replacing Ataru Esaka for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
99
Yuji Ono ↓ Abdelrahman Saidi 61'
-
28
Takuya Shimamura ↓ Motoki Ohara 74'
- 25
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↓ Kento Hashimoto 61'
-
15
Fumiya Hayakawa ↓ Jason Geria 84'
- 8
- 41
-
30
Jin Okumura ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 84'
- 21
-
22
Taiki Arai ↓ Hiroto Uemura 90'
Bench
- 18
-
2
Jason Geria ↑ 84'
-
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 61'
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 84'
- 33
-
65
Abdelrahman Saidi ↑ 61'
-
50
Hiroto Uemura ↑ 90'
-
14
Motoki Ohara ↑ 74'
- 1
Coach
Toru Irie
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
- 22
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kaito Fujii 90'
- 33
- 15
- 50
-
41
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 88'
- 26
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Lucao 56'
- 4
Bench
- 77
- 88
-
43
Yoshitake Suzuki ↑ 76'
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 88'
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 75'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 56'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 76'
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↑ 90'
- 17
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kazunari Ichimi | 2 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Eiji Shirai | 1 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-10-04
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Yokohama FC
D
2025-09-20
Tokyo Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-08-30
Kyoto Sanga FC
5–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.28
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
71%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
59%
Albirex Niigata or Fagiano Okayama FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.