Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Yokohama FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Denka Big Swan Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Albirex Niigata and Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Albirex Niigata in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
- 10' Eiji Miyamoto has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 24' A goal from the Japan international Kazunari Ichimi! He fires home on 24 to make it 0-1!
- 29' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Haruka Motoyama, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 39' Masaya Matsumoto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Albirex Niigata tonight.
- 44' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 47' Fumiya Hayakawa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 47.
- 52' Fagiano Okayama FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 56' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Takaya Kimura trudges off to be replaced by Lucao on 56 minutes.
- 61' The crowd applauds Yuji Ono as he leaves the pitch. Abdelrahman Saidi steps in for Albirex Niigata.
- 66' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 67' What composure from Eiji Shirai! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 72' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Michael Fitzgerald made 446 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 74' Albirex Niigata make a change. Takuya Shimamura trudges off to be replaced by Motoki Ohara on 74 minutes.
- 75' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 75 minute. Haruka Motoyama leaves to be changed by Masaya Matsumoto.
- 76' Time for substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC. Daichi Tagami is replaced by Yoshitake Suzuki.
- 81' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
- 83' Eiji Miyamoto has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
- 84' Fumiya Hayakawa makes way for Jason Geria at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Albirex Niigata.
- 88' Ryo Takeuchi is replacing Eiji Miyamoto for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 90' Albirex Niigata player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Kaito Fujii has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ataru Esaka on 90 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Albirex Niigata 1-1 Fagiano Okayama FC.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
99
Yuji Ono ↓ Abdelrahman Saidi 61'
-
28
Takuya Shimamura ↓ Motoki Ohara 74'
- 25
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↓ Kento Hashimoto 61'
-
15
Fumiya Hayakawa ↓ Jason Geria 84'
- 8
- 41
-
30
Jin Okumura ↓ Kaito Taniguchi 84'
- 21
-
22
Taiki Arai ↓ Hiroto Uemura 90'
Bench
- 18
-
2
Jason Geria ↑ 84'
-
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 61'
-
7
Kaito Taniguchi ↑ 84'
- 33
-
65
Abdelrahman Saidi ↑ 61'
-
50
Hiroto Uemura ↑ 90'
-
14
Motoki Ohara ↑ 74'
- 1
Coach
Toru Irie
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 18
- 22
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kaito Fujii 90'
- 33
- 15
- 50
-
41
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 88'
- 26
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Lucao 56'
- 4
Bench
- 77
- 88
-
43
Yoshitake Suzuki ↑ 76'
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 88'
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 75'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 56'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 76'
-
3
Kaito Fujii ↑ 90'
- 17
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kazunari Ichimi | 2 |
| Motoki Hasegawa | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Eiji Shirai | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-10-04
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Yokohama FC
D
2025-09-20
Tōkyō Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-08-30
Kyōto Sanga FC
5–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.28
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Albirex Niigata or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
71%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
59%
Albirex Niigata or Fagiano Okayama FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.8%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.