Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
4 – 0
Full Time
Mon 4 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'
Gianluca Mancini 13' 1–0
Wesley 17' 2–0
Mario Hermoso 34' 3–0
Niccolo Pisilli 58' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ceccon (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May ACF Fiorentina H 4–0 W
25 Apr Bologna FC 1909 A 2–0 W
18 Apr Atalanta BC H 1–1 D
10 Apr AC Pisa 1909 H 3–0 W
05 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–5 L
22 Mar US Lecce H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May AS Roma A 0–4 L
26 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–0 D
20 Apr US Lecce A 1–1 D
13 Apr SS Lazio H 1–0 W
04 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
22 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 1–1 D

Season Stats

AS Roma ACF Fiorentina
#1 Position #17
13 Points 4
5 Played 5
4 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
14 Scored 6
3 Conceded 12
+11 GD -6
2.60 PPG 0.80
80% Win % 20%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

AS Roma are 1st (13 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. ACF Fiorentina kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AS Roma side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' The 30-year-old Gianluca Mancini has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 13' Gianluca Mancini makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AS Roma are in front.
  • 17' The Brazil Wesley breaks the deadlock on 17 minutes. 2-0!
  • 22' Mario Hermoso is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AS Roma tonight.
  • 25' That looks like a foul for a card for Marin Pongracic.
  • 30' It looks surprising ACF Fiorentina does not make any changes. Bryan Cristante has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' GOAL! Mario Hermoso scores on 34.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 44' It looks like no one’s ball. AS Roma is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 48' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Mario Hermoso.
  • 53' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 58' Assisted by Donyell Malen with the perfectly-timed delivery and Niccolo Pisilli makes no mistake. 4-0!
  • 63' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 66' Controversy at the stadium! Fabiano Parisi argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 71' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 76' Luca Ranieri has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 81' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marco Brescianini, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Olimpico, Rome with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 86' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' That is a card for AS Roma. Stephan El Shaarawy will be fuming at that decision.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AS Roma players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.8 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: AS Roma to win 80% + Over 2.5 goals 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma80% Draw12% ACF Fiorentina8%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 4.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
92%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
20%
AS Roma or ACF Fiorentina
88%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma71% Draw24% ACF Fiorentina5%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
10.6%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.8%
5 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7.1%
4 – 1
6.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
5 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
4.7%
6 – 0
4.7%
1 – 1
3.5%
6 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 56% — 44%
-2 56% 19% 25%
-1.5 75% — 25%
-1 75% 14% 11%
-0.5 89% — 11%
+0.5 97% — 3%
+1 97% 2% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
3% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.