Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
4 0
Full Time
Mon 4 May 2026 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'
Gianluca Mancini 13' 1–0
Wesley 17' 2–0
Mario Hermoso 34' 3–0
Niccolo Pisilli 58' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ceccon (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May ACF Fiorentina H 4–0 W
25 Apr Bologna FC 1909 A 2–0 W
18 Apr Atalanta BC H 1–1 D
10 Apr AC Pisa 1909 H 3–0 W
05 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–5 L
22 Mar US Lecce H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May AS Roma A 0–4 L
26 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–0 D
20 Apr US Lecce A 1–1 D
13 Apr SS Lazio H 1–0 W
04 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
22 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 1–1 D

Season Stats

AS Roma ACF Fiorentina
#3 Position #15
73 Points 42
38 Played 38
23 / 4 / 11 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
59 Scored 41
31 Conceded 50
+28 GD -9
1.92 PPG 1.11
61% Win % 24%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stadio Olimpico, Rome will turn into a battlefield for AS Roma and ACF Fiorentina.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Wesley made 382 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 13' Gianluca Mancini puts AS Roma on the lead.
  • 17' GOAL! Wesley scores on 17. Assisted by Mario Hermoso
  • 22' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' The referee shows ACF Fiorentina player a card on 25.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 34' Goal! Mario Hermoso scores his 20 goal in 286 matches.
  • 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ACF Fiorentina that had 456 games and scored 420 goals.
  • 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 48' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mario Hermoso on 48.
  • 53' It looks like no one’s ball. ACF Fiorentina is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 58' GOAL! Niccolo Pisilli scores on 58. Assisted by Donyell Malen
  • 63' Dodo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 66' Fabiano Parisi is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
  • 71' David De Gea needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 76' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 81' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 81 minutes.
  • 86' It’s high time Gian Piero Gasperini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' AS Roma player sees a card in front of him.
  • With this win, AS Roma is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.1 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: AS Roma to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma64% Draw22% ACF Fiorentina14%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
86%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
36%
AS Roma or ACF Fiorentina
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma47% Draw42% ACF Fiorentina11%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12%
1 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 20% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 24% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
45%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.