AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton FC — Premier League at Vitality Stadium.
- AFC Bournemouth 38 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Southampton FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
- Assistant 2 Dan Cook
19 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 10.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United FC | 38 | 39 |
| 2 | Burnley FC | 38 | 22 |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 38 | 20 |
| 4 | Arsenal FC | 38 | 85 |
| 5 | Manchester City FC | 38 | 78 |
| 6 | Manchester United FC | 38 | 71 |
| 7 | Aston Villa FC | 38 | 65 |
| 8 | Liverpool FC | 38 | 60 |
| 9 | AFC Bournemouth | 38 | 57 |
| 10 | Sunderland AFC | 38 | 54 |
| 11 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 38 | 53 |
| 12 | Brentford FC | 38 | 53 |
| 13 | Chelsea FC | 38 | 52 |
| 14 | Fulham FC | 38 | 52 |
| 15 | Newcastle United FC | 38 | 49 |
| 16 | Everton FC | 38 | 49 |
| 17 | Leeds United FC | 38 | 47 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace FC | 38 | 45 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest FC | 38 | 44 |
| 20 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 38 | 41 |
| 21 | Coventry City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Hull City AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Ipswich Town FC | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | Southampton FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | Liverpool FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Chelsea FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | Everton FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Aug | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | AFC Bournemouth | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Ipswich Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Sep | Manchester United FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Aug | Brentford FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Newcastle United FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Vitality Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Southampton FC have won 417 goals from 348 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' The 30-year-old Jan Bednarek has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Bournemouth and Southampton FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 17' GOAL! Evanilson scores on 17. Assisted by Marcus Tavernier
- 22' Tyler Dibling needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 27' Poor challenge from Mateus Fernandes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 32' What a strike from Dango Ouattara! The score is 2-0.
- 37' Southampton FC come into this ranked 19 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 39' What a strike from Antoine Semenyo! The score is 3-0.
- 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Bournemouth and Southampton FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' Marcus Tavernier was booked on 45.
- 46' Chimuanya Ugochukwu makes way for Ross Stewart at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
- 50' The referee has no hesitation. Milos Kerkez is booked for AFC Bournemouth — card on 50.
- 51' Taylor Harwood-Bellis doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yukinari Sugawara.
- 55' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tyler Dibling.
- 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 61' Justin Kluivert gets the nod from AFC Bournemouth. He replaces Dango Ouattara and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 70' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Mateus Fernandes is replaced by Adam Lallana on 70 minute.
- 75' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 76' Another substitution for AFC Bournemouth to replace Evanilson by Enes Unal on 76 minute.
- 81' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joe Aribo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Bournemouth.
- 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
- 89' The AFC Bournemouth manager makes a substitution. Antoine Semenyo departs to be replaced by Luis Sinisterra.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Adam Lallana.
- The final score is 3-1.
Lineups
AFC Bournemouth Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 24
- 4
- 15
- 13
-
16
Marcus Tavernier ↓ Alex Scott 76'
- 10
- 5
- 9
- 27
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 7
- 42
- 37
-
17
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 89'
-
19
Justin Kluivert ↑ 61'
-
26
Enes Unal ↑ 76'
- 22
-
8
Alex Scott ↑ 76'
- 2
Coach
Iraola
Southampton FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 30
-
24
Ryan Fraser ↓ Joe Aribo 46'
- 21
- 35
- 4
-
22
Maxwel Cornet ↓ Ben Brereton 46'
- 16
- 6
- 26
-
18
Mateus Fernandes ↓ Adam Lallana 70'
-
33
Tyler Dibling ↓ Cameron Archer 76'
Bench
-
10
Adam Lallana ↑ 70'
- 1
- 2
-
7
Joe Aribo ↑ 46'
- 9
-
17
Ben Brereton ↑ 46'
- 32
-
11
Ross Stewart ↑ 46'
-
19
Cameron Archer ↑ 76'
Coach
Russell Martin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Che Adams | 4 |
| Callum Wilson | 3 |
| Dango Ouattara | 2 |
| Nathan Redmond | 2 |
| Marcus Tavernier | 2 |
| James Ward-Prowse | 2 |
| Shane Long | 1 |
| Evanilson | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Bournemouth Form
Southampton FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46
AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Southampton FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Bournemouth win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
AFC Bournemouth or Draw
75%
Draw or Southampton FC
52%
AFC Bournemouth or Southampton FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth
| Handicap | AFC Bournemouth covers | Push | Southampton FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

