Monday , 27 July 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Mon 30 Sep 2024 · 19:00 UTC Vitality Stadium 11,243 HT 45' · FT 45'
Evanilson 17' 1–0
Dango Ouattara 32' 2–0
Antoine Semenyo 39' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Southampton FCPremier League at Vitality Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook
19 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 10.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Southampton FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep Liverpool FC A 0–3 L
14 Sep Chelsea FC H 0–1 L
31 Aug Everton FC A 3–2 W
25 Aug Newcastle United FC H 1–1 D
17 Aug Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 1–3 L
21 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–3 L
31 Aug Brentford FC A 1–3 L
24 Aug Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Vitality Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Southampton FC have won 417 goals from 348 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' The 30-year-old Jan Bednarek has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Bournemouth and Southampton FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 17' GOAL! Evanilson scores on 17. Assisted by Marcus Tavernier
  • 22' Tyler Dibling needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 27' Poor challenge from Mateus Fernandes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 32' What a strike from Dango Ouattara! The score is 2-0.
  • 37' Southampton FC come into this ranked 19 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 39' What a strike from Antoine Semenyo! The score is 3-0.
  • 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Bournemouth and Southampton FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' Marcus Tavernier was booked on 45.
  • 46' Chimuanya Ugochukwu makes way for Ross Stewart at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
  • 50' The referee has no hesitation. Milos Kerkez is booked for AFC Bournemouth — card on 50.
  • 51' Taylor Harwood-Bellis doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yukinari Sugawara.
  • 55' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tyler Dibling.
  • 60' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 61' Justin Kluivert gets the nod from AFC Bournemouth. He replaces Dango Ouattara and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Mateus Fernandes is replaced by Adam Lallana on 70 minute.
  • 75' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 76' Another substitution for AFC Bournemouth to replace Evanilson by Enes Unal on 76 minute.
  • 81' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joe Aribo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Bournemouth.
  • 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
  • 89' The AFC Bournemouth manager makes a substitution. Antoine Semenyo departs to be replaced by Luis Sinisterra.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Adam Lallana.
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth48% Draw27% Southampton FC25%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
75%
Draw or Southampton FC
52%
AFC Bournemouth or Southampton FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth31% Draw48% Southampton FC21%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
34%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.