Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 28 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Charlie Taylor
Antoine Semenyo 22' 1–1
Philip Billing 76' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley FC — Premier League at Vitality Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Sam Barrott (England)
  • Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
7 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 14.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Burnley FC H 2–1 W
21 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
07 Oct Everton FC A 0–3 L
30 Sep Arsenal FC H 0–4 L
24 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–3 L
17 Sep Chelsea FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct AFC Bournemouth A 1–2 L
21 Oct Brentford FC A 0–3 L
07 Oct Chelsea FC H 1–4 L
03 Oct Luton Town FC A 2–1 W
30 Sep Newcastle United FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Manchester United FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Evanilson 5 G 4 A
Marcus Tavernier 5 G
Alex Scott 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Vitality Stadium. AFC Bournemouth are looking to make home advantage count against Burnley FC.
  • 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Vitality Stadium. AFC Bournemouth seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 11' Against the run of play, Charlie Taylor has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 16' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 21' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 22' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Antoine Semenyo makes it 1-1.
  • 27' Anass Zaroury has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 28' Josh Cullen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 28.
  • 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from James Trafford, as he is very good at scoring at Vitality Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 43' Lloyd Kelly has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 29 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Zeki Amdouni is replaced by Jay Rodriguez on 46 minute.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Bournemouth in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Burnley FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 56' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Charlie Taylor gets a Yellow card.
  • 60' Another change for Burnley FC made on 60 minute. Josh Cullen leaves to be changed by Sander Berge.
  • 65' The 27-year-old Dara O'Shea has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 67' Controversy at the stadium! Ameen Al Dakhil argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 69' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Anass Zaroury departs to be replaced by Jacob Bruun Larsen.
  • 74' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 76' A goal from the Denmark international Philip Billing! He fires home on 76 to make it 2-1!
  • 77' The referee has no hesitation. Philip Billing is booked for AFC Bournemouth — Yellow card on 77.
  • 81' Burnley FC ring the changes. Luca Koleosho has done his job and it is now time for Mike Tresor to step up.
  • 82' A change in the AFC Bournemouth ranks — Philip Billing exits the field as Joe Rothwell enters on 82.
  • 84' Dango Ouattara was booked on 84.
  • 85' It is a substitution in AFC Bournemouth team. Max Aarons is replaced by Adam Smith on 85 minute.
  • 90' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Bournemouth must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: AFC Bournemouth or Burnley FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth41% Draw28% Burnley FC31%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
69%
Draw or Burnley FC
59%
AFC Bournemouth or Burnley FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth28% Draw47% Burnley FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.