AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley FC — Premier League at Vitality Stadium.
- AFC Bournemouth 10 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sam Barrott (England)
- Assistant 1 Simon Bennett
- Assistant 2 Daniel Robathan
7 games this season
🟨 3.4/game
⚽ 14.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City FC | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool FC | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea FC | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton FC | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | AFC Bournemouth | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford FC | 10 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds United FC | 10 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa FC | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City AFC | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town FC | 10 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham FC | 10 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest FC | 10 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry City FC | 10 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United FC | 10 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland AFC | 10 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace FC | 10 | 7 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | Burnley FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | Everton FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Sep | Arsenal FC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 24 Sep | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | Chelsea FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | AFC Bournemouth | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Oct | Brentford FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 07 Oct | Chelsea FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 03 Oct | Luton Town FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | Newcastle United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Manchester United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
AFC Bournemouth this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Bournemouth
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Bournemouth
| Evanilson | 5 G | 4 A |
| Marcus Tavernier | 5 G | |
| Alex Scott | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Vitality Stadium. AFC Bournemouth are looking to make home advantage count against Burnley FC.
- 5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Vitality Stadium. AFC Bournemouth seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 11' Against the run of play, Charlie Taylor has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 16' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
- 21' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 22' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Antoine Semenyo makes it 1-1.
- 27' Anass Zaroury has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
- 28' Josh Cullen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 28.
- 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from James Trafford, as he is very good at scoring at Vitality Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 43' Lloyd Kelly has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 29 cards already picked up this season.
- 46' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Zeki Amdouni is replaced by Jay Rodriguez on 46 minute.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Bournemouth in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Burnley FC's compact 4-3-3.
- 56' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Charlie Taylor gets a Yellow card.
- 60' Another change for Burnley FC made on 60 minute. Josh Cullen leaves to be changed by Sander Berge.
- 65' The 27-year-old Dara O'Shea has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 67' Controversy at the stadium! Ameen Al Dakhil argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 69' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Anass Zaroury departs to be replaced by Jacob Bruun Larsen.
- 74' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 76' A goal from the Denmark international Philip Billing! He fires home on 76 to make it 2-1!
- 77' The referee has no hesitation. Philip Billing is booked for AFC Bournemouth — Yellow card on 77.
- 81' Burnley FC ring the changes. Luca Koleosho has done his job and it is now time for Mike Tresor to step up.
- 82' A change in the AFC Bournemouth ranks — Philip Billing exits the field as Joe Rothwell enters on 82.
- 84' Dango Ouattara was booked on 84.
- 85' It is a substitution in AFC Bournemouth team. Max Aarons is replaced by Adam Smith on 85 minute.
- 90' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Bournemouth must find a spark to ignite this game.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
AFC Bournemouth Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
- 24
- 9
-
29
Philip Billing ↓ Joe Rothwell 82'
-
37
Max Aarons ↓ Adam Smith 85'
- 6
-
16
Marcus Tavernier ↓ Milos Kerkez 81'
- 20
- 10
- 27
- 14
Bench
- 7
-
15
Adam Smith ↑ 85'
- 21
-
8
Joe Rothwell ↑ 82'
- 17
- 19
-
11
Dango Ouattara ↑ 69'
-
3
Milos Kerkez ↑ 81'
Coach
Iraola
Burnley FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 8
- 2
- 7
- 3
-
24
Josh Cullen ↓ Sander Berge 60'
- 22
- 1
- 28
- 19
-
30
Luca Koleosho ↓ Mike Tresor 81'
-
25
Zeki Amdouni ↓ Jay Rodriguez 46'
Bench
-
9
Jay Rodriguez ↑ 46'
- 4
-
15
Nathan Redmond ↑ 81'
- 49
-
34
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↑ 69'
-
16
Sander Berge ↑ 60'
- 44
- 47
-
31
Mike Tresor ↑ 81'
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ashley Barnes | 4 |
| Dominic Solanke | 2 |
| Benson Manuel | 2 |
| Anass Zaroury | 2 |
| Ashley Barnes | 2 |
| Antoine Semenyo | 2 |
| Jay Rodriguez | 2 |
| Matej Vydra | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Bournemouth Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37
AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Burnley FC xG
I would bet for:
AFC Bournemouth or Burnley FC 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Bournemouth win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
AFC Bournemouth or Draw
69%
Draw or Burnley FC
59%
AFC Bournemouth or Burnley FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth
| Handicap | AFC Bournemouth covers | Push | Burnley FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

