Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
AFC Bournemouth
2 – 4
Full Time
Burnley FC
Sat 7 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Adam Smith 81' Y
Y 84' Darko Churlinov
Y 89' Josh Cullen

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at Vitality Stadium.

Head-to-Head

3
2
5
AFC Bournemouth 10 games · Avg 2.7 goals Burnley FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 2–4 Burnley FC 2021-02-09 Burnley FC 0–2 AFC Bournemouth 2020-02-22 Burnley FC 3–0 AFC Bournemouth 2019-12-21 AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Burnley FC 2019-04-06 AFC Bournemouth 1–3 Burnley FC

Recent Form

AFC Bournemouth
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Burnley FC H 2–4 L
03 Jan Manchester United FC A 0–3 L
31 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 0–2 L
27 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–2 L
12 Nov Everton FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Leeds United FC A 3–4 L
Burnley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan AFC Bournemouth A 4–2 W
02 Jan Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
30 Dec Stoke City FC A 1–0 W
27 Dec Birmingham City FC H 3–0 W
17 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 3–1 W
11 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AFC Bournemouth host Burnley FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Bournemouth must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 6' Against the run of play, Benson Manuel has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 11' The travelling Burnley FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 12' What a strike from Ryan Christie! The score is 1-1.
  • 17' AFC Bournemouth are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burnley FC backline.
  • 22' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 27' Another substitution for Burnley FC to replace Taylor Harwood-Bellis by Luke McNally on 27 minute.
  • 32' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mark Travers is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
  • 37' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gary O'Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' Against the run of play, Anass Zaroury has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 43' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Anass Zaroury makes it 1-3.
  • 46' AFC Bournemouth ring the changes. Joe Rothwell has done his job and it is now time for Kieffer Moore to step up.
  • 48' Magnificent from Dominic Solanke! That is 92 goals in 411 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 49' Dominic Solanke adds to his 0 season tally! AFC Bournemouth lead 3-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 57' Burnley FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Benson Manuel on 57.
  • 62' Burnley FC have won 408 goals from 346 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 67' Nathan Tella needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 69' The AFC Bournemouth manager makes a substitution. Ryan Christie departs to be replaced by Siriki Dembele.
  • 70' Nathan Tella is ready to make an impact after coming on for Benson Manuel at the 70 minute mark.
  • 75' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Bournemouth and Burnley FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 80' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 81' Adam Smith catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 81.
  • 81' The Burnley FC manager makes a substitution. Anass Zaroury departs to be replaced by Darko Churlinov.
  • 84' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Darko Churlinov gets a Yellow card.
  • 89' The referee shows Burnley FC player a Yellow card on 89.
  • The points are shared — AFC Bournemouth 2-4 Burnley FC. Honours even.

Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gary O'Neil

Burnley FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincent Kompany

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ashley Barnes 4
Anass Zaroury 2
Ashley Barnes 2
Antoine Semenyo 2
Jay Rodriguez 2
Matej Vydra 2
Dominic Solanke 2
Benson Manuel 2

Head to Head

2023-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 2–4 Burnley FC 2021-02-09 Burnley FC 0–2 AFC Bournemouth 2020-02-22 Burnley FC 3–0 AFC Bournemouth 2019-12-21 AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Burnley FC 2019-04-06 AFC Bournemouth 1–3 Burnley FC

AFC Bournemouth Form

2023-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 2–4 Burnley FC L 2023-01-03 Manchester United FC 3–0 AFC Bournemouth L 2022-12-31 AFC Bournemouth 0–2 Crystal Palace FC L 2022-12-27 Chelsea FC 2–0 AFC Bournemouth L 2022-11-12 AFC Bournemouth 3–0 Everton FC W 2022-11-05 Leeds United FC 4–3 AFC Bournemouth L

Burnley FC Form

2023-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 2–4 Burnley FC W 2023-01-02 Swansea City AFC 1–2 Burnley FC W 2022-12-30 Stoke City FC 0–1 Burnley FC W 2022-12-27 Burnley FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC W 2022-12-17 Burnley FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC W 2022-12-11 Queens Park Rangers FC 0–3 Burnley FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth26% Draw25% Burnley FC49%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
51%
Draw or Burnley FC
74%
AFC Bournemouth or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth21% Draw44% Burnley FC35%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 21% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.