Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sat 7 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley FCFA Cup at Vitality Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Burnley FC H 2–4 L
03 Jan Manchester United FC A 0–3 L
31 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 0–2 L
27 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–2 L
12 Nov Everton FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Leeds United FC A 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan AFC Bournemouth A 4–2 W
02 Jan Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
30 Dec Stoke City FC A 1–0 W
27 Dec Birmingham City FC H 3–0 W
17 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 3–1 W
11 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AFC Bournemouth welcome Burnley FC for this crunch clash at Vitality Stadium.
  • 5' The travelling Burnley FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 6' Benson Manuel adds to his 0 season tally! Burnley FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 11' A quiet spell here at Vitality Stadium. Burnley FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 12' What a strike from Ryan Christie! The score is 1-1.
  • 17' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 22' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gary O'Neil might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 27' Burnley FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luke McNally is hanging Taylor Harwood-Bellis on the field on 27 minute.
  • 32' Jordan Zemura has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 39' Anass Zaroury puts Burnley FC on the lead.
  • 43' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Anass Zaroury makes it 1-3.
  • 46' Kieffer Moore is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joe Rothwell at the 46 minute mark.
  • 48' What composure from Dominic Solanke! The England international strokes it home. 2-3.
  • 49' Against the run of play, Dominic Solanke has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 54' Josh Cullen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 57' Benson Manuel with the second goal in the match!
  • 62' AFC Bournemouth currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 67' Burnley FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 69' AFC Bournemouth manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Siriki Dembele is hanging Ryan Christie on the field on 69 minute.
  • 70' Nathan Tella has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benson Manuel on 70 minute.
  • 75' Charlie Taylor has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 80' Darko Churlinov has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 81' Controversy at the stadium! Adam Smith argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 81' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Anass Zaroury exits the field as Darko Churlinov enters on 81.
  • 84' Controversy at the stadium! Darko Churlinov argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 89' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Josh Cullen.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AFC Bournemouth.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth26% Draw25% Burnley FC49%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
51%
Draw or Burnley FC
74%
AFC Bournemouth or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth21% Draw44% Burnley FC35%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 21% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
18%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.