Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
AFC Bournemouth
2 – 4
Full Time
Burnley FC
Sat 7 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Adam Smith 81' Y
Y 84' Darko Churlinov
Y 89' Josh Cullen

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at Vitality Stadium.

Head-to-Head

3
2
5
AFC Bournemouth 10 games · Avg 2.7 goals Burnley FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 2–4 Burnley FC 2021-02-09 Burnley FC 0–2 AFC Bournemouth 2020-02-22 Burnley FC 3–0 AFC Bournemouth 2019-12-21 AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Burnley FC 2019-04-06 AFC Bournemouth 1–3 Burnley FC

Recent Form

AFC Bournemouth
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Burnley FC H 2–4 L
03 Jan Manchester United FC A 0–3 L
31 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 0–2 L
27 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–2 L
12 Nov Everton FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Leeds United FC A 3–4 L
Burnley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan AFC Bournemouth A 4–2 W
02 Jan Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
30 Dec Stoke City FC A 1–0 W
27 Dec Birmingham City FC H 3–0 W
17 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 3–1 W
11 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Vitality Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Anass Zaroury has been relatively quiet despite scoring 23 goals in his last 272 appearances.
  • 6' Benson Manuel is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 11' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marcos Senesi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 12' GOAL! Ryan Christie fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 17' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Bournemouth side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 27' Luke McNally gets the nod from Burnley FC. He replaces Taylor Harwood-Bellis and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 32' Taylor Harwood-Bellis, a England defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 37' Jordan Zemura is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Bournemouth so far.
  • 39' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Anass Zaroury makes it 1-2.
  • 43' The deadlock is broken! Anass Zaroury gets on the scoresheet on 43 minutes.
  • 46' Kieffer Moore is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joe Rothwell at the 46 minute mark.
  • 48' The deadlock is broken! Dominic Solanke gets on the scoresheet on 48 minutes.
  • 49' The deadlock is broken! Dominic Solanke gets on the scoresheet on 49 minutes.
  • 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Bournemouth must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 57' Benson Manuel puts Burnley FC on the lead.
  • 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 67' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 69' Fresh legs for AFC Bournemouth! Siriki Dembele comes on to replace Ryan Christie.
  • 70' A change in the Burnley FC ranks — Benson Manuel exits the field as Nathan Tella enters on 70.
  • 75' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 80' AFC Bournemouth is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 81' A moment of madness from Adam Smith on 81 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AFC Bournemouth will be frustrated.
  • 81' Darko Churlinov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Anass Zaroury on 81 minute.
  • 84' The referee calls foul for Darko Churlinov. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Josh Cullen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • Another three points for Burnley FC.

Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gary O'Neil

Burnley FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincent Kompany

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ashley Barnes 4
Jay Rodriguez 2
Matej Vydra 2
Dominic Solanke 2
Benson Manuel 2
Anass Zaroury 2
Ashley Barnes 2
Antoine Semenyo 2

Head to Head

2023-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 2–4 Burnley FC 2021-02-09 Burnley FC 0–2 AFC Bournemouth 2020-02-22 Burnley FC 3–0 AFC Bournemouth 2019-12-21 AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Burnley FC 2019-04-06 AFC Bournemouth 1–3 Burnley FC

AFC Bournemouth Form

2023-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 2–4 Burnley FC L 2023-01-03 Manchester United FC 3–0 AFC Bournemouth L 2022-12-31 AFC Bournemouth 0–2 Crystal Palace FC L 2022-12-27 Chelsea FC 2–0 AFC Bournemouth L 2022-11-12 AFC Bournemouth 3–0 Everton FC W 2022-11-05 Leeds United FC 4–3 AFC Bournemouth L

Burnley FC Form

2023-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 2–4 Burnley FC W 2023-01-02 Swansea City AFC 1–2 Burnley FC W 2022-12-30 Stoke City FC 0–1 Burnley FC W 2022-12-27 Burnley FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC W 2022-12-17 Burnley FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC W 2022-12-11 Queens Park Rangers FC 0–3 Burnley FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth26% Draw25% Burnley FC49%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
51%
Draw or Burnley FC
74%
AFC Bournemouth or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth21% Draw44% Burnley FC35%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 21% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.