Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
AFC Bournemouth
2 – 4
Full Time
Burnley FC
Sat 7 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Adam Smith 81' Y
Y 84' Darko Churlinov
Y 89' Josh Cullen

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Burnley FC — FA Cup at Vitality Stadium.

Head-to-Head

3
2
5
AFC Bournemouth 10 games · Avg 2.7 goals Burnley FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 2–4 Burnley FC 2021-02-09 Burnley FC 0–2 AFC Bournemouth 2020-02-22 Burnley FC 3–0 AFC Bournemouth 2019-12-21 AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Burnley FC 2019-04-06 AFC Bournemouth 1–3 Burnley FC

Recent Form

AFC Bournemouth
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan Burnley FC H 2–4 L
03 Jan Manchester United FC A 0–3 L
31 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 0–2 L
27 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–2 L
12 Nov Everton FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Leeds United FC A 3–4 L
Burnley FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Jan AFC Bournemouth A 4–2 W
02 Jan Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
30 Dec Stoke City FC A 1–0 W
27 Dec Birmingham City FC H 3–0 W
17 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 3–1 W
11 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Vitality Stadium. AFC Bournemouth are looking to make home advantage count against Burnley FC.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 6' Benson Manuel does the damage! The net is bulging and Burnley FC surge ahead!
  • 11' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Bournemouth and Burnley FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 12' Ryan Christie doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 17' Burnley FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 22' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 27' Taylor Harwood-Bellis makes way for Luke McNally at the 27 minute mark. A tactical switch from Burnley FC.
  • 32' The 30-year-old Connor Roberts has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 37' AFC Bournemouth is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 39' What a moment for Anass Zaroury! That strike on 39 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 43' Anass Zaroury doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 46' AFC Bournemouth make a change. Joe Rothwell trudges off to be replaced by Kieffer Moore on 46 minutes.
  • 48' Against the run of play, Dominic Solanke has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 49' Against the run of play, Dominic Solanke has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Bournemouth must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 57' Benson Manuel with the second goal in the match!
  • 62' Jordan Zemura has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 67' Johann Berg Gudmundsson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 69' The AFC Bournemouth manager makes a substitution. Ryan Christie departs to be replaced by Siriki Dembele.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Burnley FC team. Benson Manuel is replaced by Nathan Tella on 70 minute.
  • 75' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 80' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marcos Senesi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Bournemouth.
  • 81' Adam Smith was booked on 81.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Anass Zaroury is replaced by Darko Churlinov.
  • 84' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Darko Churlinov.
  • 89' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Josh Cullen gets a Yellow card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AFC Bournemouth.

Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Gary O'Neil

Burnley FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincent Kompany

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ashley Barnes 4
Matej Vydra 2
Dominic Solanke 2
Benson Manuel 2
Anass Zaroury 2
Ashley Barnes 2
Antoine Semenyo 2
Jay Rodriguez 2

Head to Head

2023-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 2–4 Burnley FC 2021-02-09 Burnley FC 0–2 AFC Bournemouth 2020-02-22 Burnley FC 3–0 AFC Bournemouth 2019-12-21 AFC Bournemouth 0–1 Burnley FC 2019-04-06 AFC Bournemouth 1–3 Burnley FC

AFC Bournemouth Form

2023-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 2–4 Burnley FC L 2023-01-03 Manchester United FC 3–0 AFC Bournemouth L 2022-12-31 AFC Bournemouth 0–2 Crystal Palace FC L 2022-12-27 Chelsea FC 2–0 AFC Bournemouth L 2022-11-12 AFC Bournemouth 3–0 Everton FC W 2022-11-05 Leeds United FC 4–3 AFC Bournemouth L

Burnley FC Form

2023-01-07 AFC Bournemouth 2–4 Burnley FC W 2023-01-02 Swansea City AFC 1–2 Burnley FC W 2022-12-30 Stoke City FC 0–1 Burnley FC W 2022-12-27 Burnley FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC W 2022-12-17 Burnley FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC W 2022-12-11 Queens Park Rangers FC 0–3 Burnley FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth26% Draw25% Burnley FC49%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
51%
Draw or Burnley FC
74%
AFC Bournemouth or Burnley FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth21% Draw44% Burnley FC35%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 15% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 21% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.