Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burnley FC vs AFC Bournemouth, FA Cup 2020-21 ROUND 5

FA Cup · 2020-21
Tue 9 Feb 2021 · 17:30 UTC Turf Moor HT 45+1' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs AFC Bournemouth — FA Cup at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Referee James Mainwaring
  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Referee Gary Beswick
6 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 7.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb AFC Bournemouth H 0–2 L
06 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D
03 Feb Manchester City FC H 0–2 L
31 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–2 L
27 Jan Aston Villa FC H 3–2 W
24 Jan Fulham FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Burnley FC A 2–0 W
06 Feb Birmingham City FC H 3–2 W
02 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
29 Jan Reading FC A 1–3 L
26 Jan Crawley Town FC H 2–1 W
19 Jan Derby County FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Turf Moor. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' AFC Bournemouth have won 466 goals from 349 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Burnley FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Burnley FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AFC Bournemouth's shape.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 21' Sam Surridge adds to his 14 season tally! AFC Bournemouth lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 26' Junior Stanislas has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 31' Over 31 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 36' It’s high time Jonathan Woodgate made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' The AFC Bournemouth bench stirs into life. Jack Stacey is withdrawn and Chris Mepham gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Jack Stacey has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 63' Lewis Cook is ready to make an impact after coming on for David Brooks at the 63 minute mark.
  • 65' The whistle greets Josh Benson as he departs to be replaced by Ashley Westwood.
  • 70' Jay Rodriguez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 60 goals in his last 392 appearances.
  • 74' Burnley FC make a change. Jay Rodriguez trudges off to be replaced by Ashley Barnes on 74 minutes.
  • 79' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jonathan Woodgate will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 84' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 85' Poor challenge from Dwight McNeil. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 88' Brilliant from the ! Junior Stanislas makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 88.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Burnley FC player. Phil Bardsley gets a Yellow card.
  • AFC Bournemouth celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.4 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or AFC Bournemouth 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC42% Draw29% AFC Bournemouth29%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
71%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
58%
Burnley FC or AFC Bournemouth
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC30% Draw49% AFC Bournemouth21%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
26% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.