Sunday , 16 August 2026

Burnley FC vs AFC Bournemouth, FA Cup 2020-21 ROUND 5

FA Cup · 2020-21
Tue 9 Feb 2021 · 17:30 UTC Turf Moor HT 45+1' · FT 45+4'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs AFC BournemouthFA Cup at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Referee James Mainwaring
  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Referee Gary Beswick

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb AFC Bournemouth H 0–2 L
06 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D
03 Feb Manchester City FC H 0–2 L
31 Jan Chelsea FC A 0–2 L
27 Jan Aston Villa FC H 3–2 W
24 Jan Fulham FC A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Burnley FC A 2–0 W
06 Feb Birmingham City FC H 3–2 W
02 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–2 L
29 Jan Reading FC A 1–3 L
26 Jan Crawley Town FC H 2–1 W
19 Jan Derby County FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Burnley FC vs AFC Bournemouth — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' AFC Bournemouth are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Burnley FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Matthew Lowton is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Burnley FC.
  • 21' Sam Surridge doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 26' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dwight McNeil, as he is very good at scoring at Turf Moor with 6 goals in the last 6 games.
  • 36' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Burnley FC and AFC Bournemouth are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' AFC Bournemouth ring the changes. Jack Stacey has done his job and it is now time for Chris Mepham to step up.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' AFC Bournemouth fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Phil Bardsley made 342 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 63' David Brooks makes way for Lewis Cook at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Bournemouth.
  • 65' The crowd applauds Josh Benson as he leaves the pitch. Ashley Westwood steps in for Burnley FC.
  • 70' The 27-year-old Joel Mumbongo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 74' Burnley FC make a change. Jay Rodriguez trudges off to be replaced by Ashley Barnes on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Philip Billing needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 84' Junior Stanislas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Bournemouth tonight.
  • 85' Dwight McNeil is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
  • 88' The deadlock is broken! Junior Stanislas gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Phil Bardsley. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. AFC Bournemouth take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.4 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or AFC Bournemouth 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC42% Draw29% AFC Bournemouth29%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
71%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
58%
Burnley FC or AFC Bournemouth
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC30% Draw49% AFC Bournemouth21%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
33%
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.