AZ vs NEC, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

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NEC

Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AZ vs NEC — Eredivisie .

AZ 7 games · 19 pts (2026/27)
NEC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk

6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	7	19
2	Feyenoord Rotterdam	7	17
3	PSV	7	16
4	FC Twente '65	7	16
5	AFC Ajax	7	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	13
7	SBV Excelsior	7	11
8	FC Groningen	7	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	10
10	SC Heerenveen	7	9
11	NEC	7	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5
13	Telstar 1963	7	5
14	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	7	5
15	FC Utrecht	7	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	2
18	Willem II Tilburg	7	2

Head-to-Head

AZ 10 games · Avg 3.1 goals NEC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-31 AZ 1–3 NEC 2025-09-28 NEC 2–1 AZ 2025-03-29 NEC 3–3 AZ 2024-08-17 AZ 1–0 NEC 2024-04-28 NEC 0–3 AZ

Recent Form

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	NEC	H	1–3	L
25 Jan	Telstar 1963	A	1–0	W
21 Jan	SBV Excelsior	H	1–1	D
17 Jan	PEC Zwolle	A	1–3	L
10 Jan	FC Volendam	H	1–0	W
21 Dec	Fortuna Sittard	A	3–4	L

NEC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	AZ	A	3–1	W
24 Jan	PEC Zwolle	H	2–1	W
17 Jan	NAC Breda	A	4–3	W
20 Dec	AFC Ajax	H	2–2	D
13 Dec	Telstar 1963	A	2–2	D
07 Dec	FC Volendam	A	3–2	W

Season Stats

AZ		NEC
#1	Position	#11
19	Points	8
7	Played	7
6 / 1 / 0	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 3
18	Scored	12
6	Conceded	13
+12	GD	-1
2.71	PPG	1.14
86%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season

AZ are 1st (19 pts). NEC are 11th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

0-15

2/–

16-30

1/3

31-45

3/–

46-60

4/–

61-75

4/1

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

NEC

0-15

3/2

16-30

1/2

31-45

1/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Ro-Zangelo Daal	4 G
Mexx Meerdink	3 G	2 A
Jizz Hornkamp	2 G
Ayoub Oufkir	2 G
Calvin Stengs	1 G	1 A

NEC

Tjaronn Chery	3 G	2 A
Kaj Sierhuis	2 G
Adam Tahauia	2 G
Bryan Linssen	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AZ is hosting NEC for another epic battle.
NEC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

AZ Lineups

NEC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jesper Karlsson	7
Jordy Bruijn	2
Ernest Poku	2
Hakon Evjen	2
Rodrigo Guth	2
Vito van Crooij	2
Vangelis Pavlidis	2
Sven Mijnans	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.27 AZ xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 NEC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

AZ48% Draw24% NEC28%

Actual: NEC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.71

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

AZ or Draw

72%

Draw or NEC

52%

AZ or NEC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AZ41% Draw38% NEC21%

Actual: NEC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–3 not predicted

1 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

8.8%

2 – 1

8.8%

3 – 1

6.6%

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

6.3%

1 – 2

5.6%

1 – 0

5.1%

3 – 2

4.7%

3 – 0

4.7%

4 – 1

3.8%

0 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — AZ

Handicap	AZ covers	Push	NEC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	16%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	20%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

AZ keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

NEC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.