Wednesday , 30 September 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2020-21
Sun 21 Mar 2021 · 17:00 UTC Stadio Artemio Franchi HT 45+2' · FT 45+7'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Referee Matteo Passeri
  • Referee Antonio Di Martino
  • Referee Luigi Rossi
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar AC Milan H 2–3 L
13 Mar Benevento Calcio A 4–1 W
07 Mar Parma Calcio 1913 H 3–3 D
03 Mar AS Roma H 1–2 L
28 Feb Udinese Calcio A 0–1 L
19 Feb Spezia Calcio H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 3–2 W
18 Mar Manchester United FC H 0–1 L
14 Mar SSC Napoli H 0–1 L
11 Mar Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
07 Mar Hellas Verona FC A 2–0 W
03 Mar Udinese Calcio H 1–1 D

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
#17 Position #5
4 Points 11
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
6 Scored 10
12 Conceded 4
-6 GD +6
0.80 PPG 2.20
20% Win % 60%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G
AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.62 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina20% Draw22% AC Milan58%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
42%
Draw or AC Milan
80%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina14% Draw36% AC Milan50%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
7.6%
0 – 3
6.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 4
5%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 4
4.3%
2 – 1
4%
0 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 9% 85%
-0.5 15% — 85%
+0.5 33% — 67%
+1 33% 20% 47%
+1.5 53% — 47%
+2 53% 19% 27%
+2.5 73% — 27%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.