ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
- ACF Fiorentina 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Marco Guida
- Referee Davide Massa
- Referee Matteo Passeri
- Referee Antonio Di Martino
- Referee Luigi Rossi
5 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 11.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar | AC Milan | H | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Mar | Benevento Calcio | A | 4–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 3–3 | D |
| 03 Mar | AS Roma | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | Udinese Calcio | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Feb | Spezia Calcio | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Mar | Manchester United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Mar | SSC Napoli | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Mar | Manchester United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| ACF Fiorentina | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #5 |
| 4 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 6 | Scored | 10 |
| 12 | Conceded | 4 |
| -6 | GD | +6 |
| 0.80 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 20% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
ACF Fiorentina this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
ACF Fiorentina
| Franco Mastantuono | 3 G |
| Mateo Pellegrino | 2 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Artemio Franchi!
- 5' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 9' Against the run of play, Zlatan Ibrahimovic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 14' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 17' The Chile Erick Pulgar breaks the deadlock on 17 minutes. 1-1!
- 22' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 517 games and scored 603 goals.
- 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 37' Hakan Calhanoglu is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for ACF Fiorentina tonight.
- 41' Hakan Calhanoglu is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
- 44' Another substitution for ACF Fiorentina to replace Bartlomiej Dragowski by Pietro Terracciano on 44 minute.
- 48' Diogo Dalot was booked on 48.
- 51' Franck Ribery makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and ACF Fiorentina are in front.
- 56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dusan Vlahovic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for ACF Fiorentina.
- 57' The deadlock is broken! Brahim Diaz gets on the scoresheet on 57 minutes.
- 58' Samu Castillejo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alexis Saelemaekers on 58 minute.
- 63' Martin Caceres is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
- 68' ACF Fiorentina are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
- 71' Lorenzo Venuti gets the nod from ACF Fiorentina. He replaces Gaetano Castrovilli and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' Hakan Calhanoglu does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
- 77' Theo Hernandez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 79' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Erick Pulgar departs to be replaced by Jose Callejon.
- 80' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Brahim Diaz is withdrawn and Rade Krunic gets his opportunity.
- 85' Over 85 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 89' It’s a booking for ACF Fiorentina player. Christian Kouame gets a Yellow card.
- 90' A moment of madness from Soualiho Meite on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 90' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Hakan Calhanoglu is withdrawn and Soualiho Meite gets his opportunity.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. AC Milan take all three points.
Lineups
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 7
- 5
-
78
Erick Pulgar ↓ Jose Callejon 79'
- 69
- 20
- 4
- 92
- 9
- 22
- 2
Bench
- 34
- 27
-
77
Jose Callejon ↑ 79'
- 25
- 21
- 6
- 15
- 3
- 28
-
11
Christian Kouame ↑ 79'
-
1
Pietro Terracciano ↑ 44'
-
23
Lorenzo Venuti ↑ 71'
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Rade Krunic 80'
- 5
- 23
- 19
- 24
- 99
- 79
- 10
-
8
Sandro Tonali ↓ Ismael Bennacer 58'
- 11
- 56
Bench
- 1
- 90
-
7
Samu Castillejo ↑ 58'
-
18
Soualiho Meite ↑ 90'
-
33
Rade Krunic ↑ 80'
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 58'
- 46
- 20
- 15
- 30
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Erick Pulgar | 3 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 3 |
| Franck Ribery | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
Head to Head
ACF Fiorentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17
ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.62
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
ACF Fiorentina or Draw
42%
Draw or AC Milan
80%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 1
7.7%
1 – 3
7.6%
0 – 3
6.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 4
5%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 4
4.3%
2 – 1
4%
0 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina
| Handicap | ACF Fiorentina covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -0.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| +0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +1 | 33% | 20% | 47% |
| +1.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +2 | 53% | 19% | 27% |
| +2.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
Clean Sheet
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

